💱 Tokyo & London Market Summary: Directionless Trading, Focus Shifts to Powell’s Speech

💱 Tokyo & London Market Summary: Directionless Trading, Focus Shifts to Powell’s Speech

19 8月 2025, 11:29
Masayuki Sakamoto
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💱 Tokyo & London Market Summary: Directionless Trading, Focus Shifts to Powell’s Speech

📌 Tokyo Session Highlights

  • S&P affirmed U.S. sovereign credit rating at “stable” outlook → brief dollar buying, but gains faded.

  • USD/JPY moved lower compared with the previous day, while EUR/USD and GBP/USD saw some short covering.

  • Overall, markets transitioned into a range-bound, directionless phase.

🌍 Political & Geopolitical Risks

  • Ukraine peace talks remain at an “entry stage”.

  • Speculation of a Trump-aligned deal exists, but feasibility seen as 50/50.

  • U.S. and Europe pushing forward with security assistance for Ukraine; EU and NATO maintain a hardline stance.


📊 Key Economic Data & Events Ahead

  • U.S. Housing Starts: Forecast 1.297M (previous 1.321M)

  • U.S. Building Permits: Forecast 1.386M (previous 1.393M)

  • Canada CPI: Headline YoY +1.8% expected; Median & Trimmed Core +3.1%

  • Speeches: Fed Vice Chair Bowman

  • Earnings: Home Depot, Medtronic


💹 London Session Early Moves

  • EUR/USD climbed to 1.1692

  • GBP/USD rose to 1.3531

  • U.S. 10-year Treasury yields eased from 4.34% to 4.33%, fueling dollar selling pressure

  • Home Depot earnings: Same-store sales missed estimates → U.S. equity futures weakened


📈 Indicative Ranges by Currency Pair

Pair Range Key Level / Focus
USD/JPY 148.80 – 150.20 Can USD/JPY break through heavy resistance at 150?
EUR/USD 1.1650 – 1.1720 Battle around the 1.1700 zone
GBP/USD 1.3480 – 1.3550 Holding above 1.3500 opens path higher
GBP/JPY 199.50 – 201.00 Watch sustainability of break above 200
CAD/JPY 109.20 – 110.20 Tonight’s CPI could trigger large moves
AUD/JPY 97.80 – 98.80 Equity strength supports firmness
ZAR/JPY 7.95 – 8.15 Risk-on sentiment keeps ZAR steady

✅ Wrap-Up

  • S&P’s U.S. rating affirmation was only a short-lived factor; FX markets remain directionless.

  • Tonight’s focus: U.S. housing data, Canada CPI, and Fed Vice Chair Bowman’s remarks.

  • Main event of the week: Jackson Hole Symposium & Powell’s speech on Aug 22.

  • Until then, markets likely to remain range-bound with only temporary reactions.