
💱 Tokyo & London Market Summary: Directionless Trading, Focus Shifts to Powell’s Speech

💱 Tokyo & London Market Summary: Directionless Trading, Focus Shifts to Powell’s Speech
📌 Tokyo Session Highlights
-
S&P affirmed U.S. sovereign credit rating at “stable” outlook → brief dollar buying, but gains faded.
-
USD/JPY moved lower compared with the previous day, while EUR/USD and GBP/USD saw some short covering.
-
Overall, markets transitioned into a range-bound, directionless phase.
🌍 Political & Geopolitical Risks
-
Ukraine peace talks remain at an “entry stage”.
-
Speculation of a Trump-aligned deal exists, but feasibility seen as 50/50.
-
U.S. and Europe pushing forward with security assistance for Ukraine; EU and NATO maintain a hardline stance.
📊 Key Economic Data & Events Ahead
-
U.S. Housing Starts: Forecast 1.297M (previous 1.321M)
-
U.S. Building Permits: Forecast 1.386M (previous 1.393M)
-
Canada CPI: Headline YoY +1.8% expected; Median & Trimmed Core +3.1%
-
Speeches: Fed Vice Chair Bowman
-
Earnings: Home Depot, Medtronic
💹 London Session Early Moves
-
EUR/USD climbed to 1.1692
-
GBP/USD rose to 1.3531
-
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields eased from 4.34% to 4.33%, fueling dollar selling pressure
-
Home Depot earnings: Same-store sales missed estimates → U.S. equity futures weakened
📈 Indicative Ranges by Currency Pair
Pair | Range | Key Level / Focus |
---|---|---|
USD/JPY | 148.80 – 150.20 | Can USD/JPY break through heavy resistance at 150? |
EUR/USD | 1.1650 – 1.1720 | Battle around the 1.1700 zone |
GBP/USD | 1.3480 – 1.3550 | Holding above 1.3500 opens path higher |
GBP/JPY | 199.50 – 201.00 | Watch sustainability of break above 200 |
CAD/JPY | 109.20 – 110.20 | Tonight’s CPI could trigger large moves |
AUD/JPY | 97.80 – 98.80 | Equity strength supports firmness |
ZAR/JPY | 7.95 – 8.15 | Risk-on sentiment keeps ZAR steady |
✅ Wrap-Up
-
S&P’s U.S. rating affirmation was only a short-lived factor; FX markets remain directionless.
-
Tonight’s focus: U.S. housing data, Canada CPI, and Fed Vice Chair Bowman’s remarks.
-
Main event of the week: Jackson Hole Symposium & Powell’s speech on Aug 22.
-
Until then, markets likely to remain range-bound with only temporary reactions.