📊 Technical Analysis & Trade Strategy – July 25, 2025

📊 Technical Analysis & Trade Strategy – July 25, 2025

25 7月 2025, 11:43
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Analysis & Trade Strategy – July 25, 2025

🏦 Major Currency Pairs

EUR/USD (1.1715)

  • Short-term: Bearish bias

  • Daily: Firm support tone
    Strategy: Favor selling on rallies; break above 1.1750 flips bias to bullish. Key support: 1.1680.

USD/JPY (147.87)

  • All timeframes: Strong bullish momentum
    Strategy: Maintain buy-on-dips. Next target: 148.20; support at 146.90.

GBP/USD (1.3443)

  • All timeframes: Strong selling pressure
    Strategy: Continue selling rallies; close shorts above 1.3460. Watch 1.3400 for downside.

AUD/USD (0.6561)

  • Short-term: Selling pressure

  • Daily: Signs of bullish recovery
    Strategy: Hold long bias if 0.6550 holds; break below accelerates selling.

USD/CAD (1.3677)

  • Short-term: Bullish

  • Daily: Cautious on topside
    Strategy: Break above 1.3700 confirms further upside; 1.3640 acts as pullback buy zone.


💱 Cross-Yen Pairs & Other Assets

EUR/JPY (173.23)

  • Short-term: Mild selling pressure

  • Daily: Strong bullish tone
    Strategy: Buy dips above 173.00; below 172.60 weakens bias.

GBP/JPY (198.77)

  • Choppy, lacking clear direction
    Strategy: Above 199.00 resumes bullish trend; below 198.00 suggests deeper correction.

AUD/JPY (97.01) / NZD/JPY (88.84)

  • Yen selling pressure strong
    Strategy: Maintain buy-the-dip approach; watch 96.70 as key support for AUD/JPY.

CAD/JPY (108.12) / CHF/JPY (185.39)

  • Broad bullish dominance
    Strategy: Stay long above 108.00 / 185.00; tighten stops if levels break.

XAU/USD (Gold: 3,340.08)

  • Overall selling pressure persists
    Strategy: Hold above 3,335 for rebound; break lower opens path to 3,320.

BTC/USD (116,800)

  • Short-term: Bullish tilt

  • Daily: Neutral bias
    Strategy: Break back above 117,000 keeps bullish outlook; key pullback support at 115,500.


🚀 Key Trade Ideas

🔼 Buy Opportunities (Dip-Buying / Continuation):

  • USD/JPY, CAD/JPY, AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY (cross-yen strength)

  • BTC/USD (buy dips if 117K reclaimed)

🔽 Sell Opportunities (Short-Term Pullbacks):

  • EUR/USD, GBP/USD (sell rallies)

  • XAU/USD (watch for breakdown below 3,335)

  • NZD/CAD (strong bearish signal persists)


📌 Key Levels

  • EUR/USD: Resistance 1.1750, Support 1.1680

  • USD/JPY: Target 148.20, Support 146.90

  • XAU/USD: Support 3,335, Resistance 3,355 for rebound

  • BTC/USD: Bullish above 117,000, Support 115,500