📊 July 1, 2025 | Technical Analysis & Trade Strategy Summary

📊 July 1, 2025 | Technical Analysis & Trade Strategy Summary

1 7月 2025, 11:18
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 July 1, 2025 | Technical Analysis & Trade Strategy Summary

🏦 Major Currency Pairs

EUR/USD (1.1813)

  • Short-term: Mixed signals (buying and selling pressure)

  • Daily chart: Bullish trend intact
    Strategy: Mid-term uptrend remains intact. Maintain a buy-on-dip stance as long as the pair holds above 1.1800. A breakout above 1.1850 could accelerate gains.

USD/JPY (142.91)

  • Overall: Selling pressure increasing
    Strategy: Favor selling on rallies. Even if it holds in the 143s, upside is capped. Risk of testing into the 141 range.

GBP/USD (1.3777)

  • All timeframes: Strong bullish momentum
    Strategy: Holding above 1.3700 supports a continuation of the uptrend. Key resistance now at 1.3800.

AUD/USD (0.6587)

  • Short-term: Mixed

  • Mid to long-term: Uptrend
    Strategy: Maintain a bullish bias above 0.6550. On pullbacks, 0.6530–0.6540 expected to act as a defense zone.

USD/CAD (1.3605)

  • Short-term: Some buying, but

  • Daily chart: Downtrend continues
    Strategy: If the pair fails to break above 1.3650, selling pressure should dominate. A drop below 1.3550 could accelerate the downtrend.


💱 Cross Yen Pairs & Other Assets

EUR/JPY (168.82) / GBP/JPY (196.89) / AUD/JPY (94.13) / CAD/JPY (105.05)

  • Overall: Soft tone across yen crosses
    Strategy: Yen remains in demand. Caution on rebounds; focus on potential support breaks.

CHF/JPY (181.29) / NZD/JPY (87.41)

  • CHF: Holds high ground but may be stalling

  • NZD: Capped to the upside
    Strategy: Buy dips in CHF/JPY. Be cautious of further downside in NZD/JPY.

XAU/USD (Gold: 3,350.53)

  • Overall: Strong bullish trend continues
    Strategy: Stay with the uptrend. Use 3,340 as support with a view toward a break above 3,380.

BTC/USD (106,750)

  • Short-term: Bearish signals dominate

  • Daily chart: Some signs of recovery
    Strategy: Favor short-term selling on rallies. Watch for a sharp decline if 105,000 breaks. Resistance at 107,500 remains heavy.


🚀 Key Strategy Highlights

🔼 Buy Opportunities (Pullback/Trend Continuation)

  • EUR/USD, GBP/USD (Bullish continuation)

  • XAU/USD (Gold), NZD/CAD (Strong buying across all timeframes)

  • EUR/AUD, EUR/GBP (Euro remains in demand)

🔽 Sell Opportunities (Short-Term Rebounds)

  • USD/JPY, AUD/JPY, CAD/JPY (Yen strength trend)

  • USD/CAD (Selling rallies)

  • BTC/USD (Persistent upside resistance)