✅ Technical Analysis – Friday, April 4, 2025

4 4月 2025, 10:33
Masayuki Sakamoto
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Technical Analysis – Friday, April 4, 2025
(Major FX pairs and assets ranked by liquidity)

🏦 Major Currency Pairs

EUR/USD (1.0994)

  • ⏱ 5-min: Neutral
  • ⏱ 15-min: Strong Sell
  • ⏱ 1H: Sell
  • 📆 Daily: Strong Buy
    ⚠️ Short-term correction in progress, but long-term uptrend remains intact

USD/JPY (145.79)

  • ⏱ All Timeframes: Strong Sell
    Clear bearish pressure with JPY strength dominating

GBP/USD (1.2988)

  • ⏱ 5-min: Neutral
  • ⏱ 15-min–1H: Strong Sell
  • 📆 Daily: Buy
    ⚠️ Short- to mid-term pressure; daily holding trend support

AUD/USD (0.6187)

  • ⏱ All Timeframes: Strong Sell
    Well-defined downtrend, trend-following shorts favored

USD/CAD (1.4171)

  • ⏱ 5-min–1H: Strong Buy
  • 📆 Daily: Strong Sell
    ⚠️ Short-term bullish momentum, but long-term caution warranted

USD/CHF (0.8552)

  • ⏱ 5-min: Buy
  • ⏱ 15-min: Neutral
  • ⏱ 1H–Daily: Strong Sell
    ⚠️ Short-term bounce, but overall bearish structure

USD/NZD (1.7606)

  • ⏱ 5-min: Neutral
  • ⏱ 15-min–Daily: Strong Buy
    Resumed uptrend, long positioning supported

💱 Cross Yen Pairs

EUR/JPY (160.29)

  • ⏱ All Timeframes: Strong Sell
    JPY strength driving pair lower, short bias confirmed

GBP/JPY (189.35)

  • ⏱ All Timeframes: Strong Sell
    Downtrend intact, favoring continuation shorts

AUD/JPY (90.21)

  • ⏱ All Timeframes: Strong Sell
    Momentum accelerating, trend-following shorts favored

CAD/JPY (102.89)

  • ⏱ All Timeframes: Strong Sell
    Broad-based weakness across JPY crosses

CHF/JPY (170.48)

  • ⏱ 5-min–15-min: Strong Sell
  • ⏱ 1H–Daily: Buy to Strong Buy
    ⚠️ Short-term pullback, but higher timeframes still support upside

NZD/JPY (82.83)

  • ⏱ All Timeframes: Strong Sell
    Combined NZD weakness and JPY buying fuels downside

🌟 Other Assets

XAU/USD (Gold – 3,097.26)

  • ⏱ 5-min: Strong Buy
  • ⏱ 15-min: Buy
  • ⏱ 1H: Sell
  • 📆 Daily: Strong Buy
    ⚠️ Minor short-term correction, long-term trend remains bullish

EUR/GBP (0.8466)

  • ⏱ All Timeframes: Strong Buy
    Well-supported trend, long trades favored

EUR/AUD (1.7769)

  • ⏱ All Timeframes: Strong Buy
    Solid momentum, dip buying strategy effective

NZD/CAD (0.8050)

  • ⏱ 5-min–1H: Strong Sell
  • ⏱ 15-min: Neutral
  • 📆 Daily: Strong Sell
    NZD weakness vs CAD strength confirms downtrend

BTC/USD (83,555.0)

  • ⏱ All Timeframes: Sell to Strong Sell
    ⚠️ Continued downward trend, no reversal signs yet

🚀 Trade Strategy Summary

📌 Short-Term Trend Focus

  • Longs: USD/NZD, EUR/AUD, EUR/GBP, XAU/USD
  • Shorts: AUD/USD, NZD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, BTC/USD

📌 Medium-Term Watchlist

  • Longs: USD/NZD, CHF/JPY
  • Shorts: AUD/USD, USD/JPY, JPY Crosses

📌 Long-Term View

  • Gold: Buy dips within an uptrend
  • Bitcoin: Trend still bearish, cautious short positioning
  • Cross JPY: JPY remains strong, downside bias persists

Key Takeaways

  • USD: Mixed – strength vs NZD/CAD, weakness elsewhere
  • EUR: Strong against GBP and AUD, weak vs JPY
  • JPY: Leading strength across crosses
  • Gold: Bullish structure continues, long setups valid
  • BTC: Still in downtrend, no bottoming pattern yet seen

📊 Stay nimble ahead of NFP & Powell. Market volatility likely to remain elevated.