Aurum Causal Regime Portfolio: Multi-Horizon Gold Architecture for MT5

Aurum Causal Regime Portfolio: Multi-Horizon Gold Architecture for MT5

13 November 2026, 08:14
Li Lu
0
16

Spot Gold (XAUUSD) has undergone a structural price-regime transformation over the past decade, moving from legacy 1,200–1,900 USD/oz ranges into 3,000–4,150+ USD/oz territory. Two classic failure modes routinely break older Gold Expert Advisors in live execution:

  • Regime Blind Spots: Trend-only systems sit idle or whipsaw during V-bottom recoveries and tactical macro-bull corrections, while unbounded grid/martingale systems carry catastrophic tail risk when Gold trends 300+ USD without mean reversion.
  • Hard-Clamped Legacy Dollar Stops: Fixed dollar or capped stop/target multipliers calibrated for 1,800 USD/oz Gold become tighter than normal hourly market noise above 3,500 USD/oz.

To solve both problems from first principles, I have released Aurum Causal Regime Portfolio on the MQL5 Market for MetaTrader 5.

1. Multi-Horizon 7-Group Signal Architecture (Zero Martingale, Zero Grid)

Rather than relying on a single entry trigger, the portfolio coordinates 64 causal signal archetypes across seven distinct market mechanics, gated by a 36-bit closed-bar H1 regime vector:

  • Macro Donchian & Pullback Continuations: 36h–96h breakouts and H1 SMA(24/36/48) pullback re-breakouts.
  • Intrabar-Pullback Discount Entries: Enters completed breakout bars only when 22%–30% intrabar rejection wicks offer a built-in entry discount.
  • Tactical Bull Recoveries & Bear Squeezes: Captures medium-horizon V-bottom turns and high-conviction downside compressions inside broader macro structures.
  • Liquidity-Sweep Springs, M30 Coils & News-Filtered First Crosses: Combines volatility-normalized SMA band springs, London/NY session coil breakouts, and intrabar crosses with an optional 15:00 server-hour filter for major US macro releases.

2. Uncapped Spot-Proportional Exit Scaling & 4 Complementary Trailing Profiles

Every position carries a hard server-side Stop Loss, Take Profit, and bounded 72h–96h holding timer across four exit profiles (tight, medium, and asymmetric late-trail H1 runners plus a 3-stage tick MFE ratchet). With Uncapped Price-Proportional Scaling enabled by default, protective stops and profit locks adapt linearly to Gold's current spot price—lifting unseen 2025–2026 forward Strategy Tester performance significantly compared with legacy capped scaling while maintaining strict single-trade risk.

3. Production Broker Safety Out of the Box

  • Supports both Hedging (up to 7 independent portfolio slots via isolated Magic IDs) and Netting accounts.
  • Full two-step Market Execution stop attachment, 1-second timer safety supervision, digit-invariant basis-point spread filtering (InpMaxSpreadBps), pre-trade OrderCalcMargin free-margin checks, and crash-safe restart state persistence.

Explore the full architecture, Strategy Tester diagnostics, and input guide on the MQL5 Market page (unlimited license and 1/3/6/12-month rental plans available):
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/208110

Disclaimer: Historical Strategy Tester backtests are presented for quantitative research evaluation and never guarantee future live trading results. Multi-horizon regime portfolios can experience multi-month consolidation periods; always test in the Strategy Tester and size risk conservatively.