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Is the USD Waking Up to Fed Risk Again? – BNPP
Research Team at BNP Paribas, notes that the US 2y yields are around
their highest levels seen since Fed Chair Yellen’s dovish speech as
continued gains in equity and crude prices raises concerns that the Fed
could deliver a more hawkish message.
Key Quotes
“While
a further repricing of Fed expectations could extend a bit in the days
ahead, USD gains are likely to trigger higher USDCNY fixings and
potentially derail the oil price recovery, we suspect that feedback to
the risk environment would prevent markets form pricing significant
prospects for a June rate hike.”