Trader Daily Market Update

19 January 2016, 09:02
Mohammed Abdulwadud Soubra
0
81
9 January 2016, Time of Writing: 09:00 am
Trader Daily Market Update
  
Major Calendar News
Time (GMT)NameCountryVol.Prev.        Cons.        Sentiment
09:30CPI y/yGBPHigh0.1%0.1%Neutral
09:30PPI Input m/mGBPMed.-1.6%-1.4%Negative
09:30RPI y/yGBPMed.1.1%1.0%Neutral
10:00German ZEW Economic SentimentEURHigh16.18.2Negative
10:00Final CPI y/yEURMed.0.2%0.2%Negative
10:00ZEW Economic SentimentEURMed.33.927.9Negative
TentativeGDT Price IndexNZDHigh-1.6%-Negative
21:45CPI q/qNZDHigh0.3%-0.2%Negative
23:30Westpac Consumer SentimentAUDMed.-0.8%-Neutral
Vol.: Volatility; Prev.: Previous; Cons.: Consensus
Key Support/Resistance Levels
H4R2R1PivotS1S2
EURUSD1.09551.09231.08961.08651.0837
GBPUSD1.43561.43031.42691.42161.4183
USDJPY117.81117.60117.23117.02116.65
AUDUSD0.69610.69170.68840.68390.6806
USDCAD1.46331.45891.45351.44911.4439
Latest News

Overnight price action was dictated primarily by the release of economic data out of China, which came in below forecasts – including fourth quarter GDP reaching its lowest mark since 1990, industrial production, fixed assets and retail sales figures. This resulted in a strong knee-jerk reaction in AUDUSD, initially falling to 0.6835, followed by a robust move up which currently sees the pair trading above 0.69 as reports began surfacing regarding further easing from the PBOC. Meanwhile, the Yen had a similar knee-jerk reaction during the overnight session, initially strengthening then weakening, with USDJPY currently trading around the 118 handle following comments from Bank of Japan’s Kuroda stating that the central bank will continue easing until their 2% inflation target is stable. Lastly, the CAD is seeing a relief rally, after reaching extreme overbought conditions in addition to oil prices trading slightly higher this morning, with USDCAD currently trading around 1.4450.

Volatility should spill over into the European session, as the UK gets set to release inflation date, which is expected to remain unchanged, while Germany is expected to show that economic sentiment fell last month. NZD traders should be on the lookout for the bi-weekly dairy auction which begins at 12:00GMT and is expected to remain under pressure, in addition to tonight’s release of inflation figures which are expected to have dipped back into deflation territory.

Daily Technical Analysis
 Summary:Trend:Momentum:Daily Target:Volatility (14D):
EURUSDSELLSIDEWAYSSELL1.083095 Pips
GBPUSDSELLSELLNEUTRAL1.4215109 Pips
USDJPYNEUTRALSELLBUY117.00 - 118.90101 Pips
AUDUSDNEUTRALSELLBUY0.6835 - 0.6980101 Pips
USDCADNEUTRALBUYSELL1.4330 - 1.4600131 Pips
Daily Technical Analysis is conducted using proprietary technology based on advanced methods of time-series analysis and custom build technical indicators. Detailed quantitative analysis of the market state on different timeframes let us accurately evaluate current Trend and Momentum. Going further we deduce the daily target from the multiple factors such as long and short term momentum, different volatility measures, mode of market behaviour and other characteristics. For a ranged market we will show a range instead of a single number.
Daily Forecasts
 Spot Price*Last Update1 Day1 Week1 Month
EURUSD1.088819/01/20161.08051.081.07
GBPUSD1.425419/01/20161.43201.451.45
USDJPY117.5619/01/2016118.40117118
AUDUSD0.687319/01/20160.69400.700.69
USDCAD1.450219/01/20161.43801.441.45

*spot prices as of 07:00GMT

Daily Forecasts consists of both technical and fundamental analysis as well as a review of open sources from major FX contributors. 

Share it with friends: