British voters face a historic and critical choice about the future of the United Kingdom and the European Union on Thursday June 23...
Presidential spokesman denies ceasefire report WTI crude is down more than $1, in part because of reports of a ceasefire between Nigerian government forces and oil militants. However, President Buhari's spokesman denied it. "If there is anything like that you'll be formally informed...
It's taken a while but finally someone has managed to put forward some sensible reasoning on the EU vote Thumbs up to Andrew Lilico of Europe Economics for presenting some interesting analysis on one side of the argument, and Timothy Lee from Vox for bringing it to our attention...
It's been almost a month since I gave my own views on the Brexit saga so has anything changed? If you want to catch up, this was my post a month ago, just detailing how I saw things then...
Nikkei has a good day session highs 21 June 2016 +203.81 open 15875.81 high 16202.30 low 15770.96...
Japanese PM speaking in Tokyo 21 June 2016 wants to make use of neg rates for growth investments will do utmost to shorten period of pension eligibility to compile extra budget once tax revenue estimate is confirmed benefits for low-income pensioners a pressing issue...
Your Economic data/Event calendar for today 21 June 2016 Greetings one and all and welcome to Tuesday's edition of Brexit poll countdown. Not a lot on the data front again but that's not stopping the fun n games particularly on GBP related pairs...
Japan April All Industries Activity index 21 June 2016 +0.2% prev revised up from +0.1% Better than expected but not a price changer in its own right, especially with so much else going on right now...
BoA / ML on euro, yen and Swiss franc (oh, and the GBP) We expect both GBP/USD and GBP/JPY to be the major causalities as Brexit triggers a broader risk-off wave. Our Japanese strategists believe USD/JPY is likely to fall decisively below ¥100 and is technically vulnerable to a move toward ¥95...
Here's a piece from Reuters on liquidity considerations as we head into June 23 It's a good background read on structural developments in markets: ... prices, especially exchange rates, suddenly taking off in one direction or the other...
Bank of Japan April monetary policy board meeting minutes Underlying trend in inflation improving gradually Japan's economy continuing to recover gradually A few members more cautious on outlook for Japan inflation trend Should consider more flexible JGB purchases...
Actually, its author J.K Rowling ... but since she is the creator of the 3 in the headline I've taken a bit of licence...
I'll keep this brief, if you want a detailed nitty gritty timetable of when, for example, Upper Kumbuckta West will declare, this ain't it. Forget Shakespeare, this is the question: Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union...
The results of the Reuters Tankan survey for June. Via, errr, yeah, Reuters. Headline results: June manufacturers' sentiment index +3 vs +2 in May Service-sector firms' index hit three-year low of +17 (from 19 in May...
Coming up during the European session on Tuesday, something to keep an eye out for Germany's constitutional court rules on the legality of the European Central Bank's outright monetary transactions (OMT) scheme The OMT gives the ECB powers to buy the debt of financially strained member countries...
The UK Telegraph report: George Osborne refuses to rule out suspending trading on the London stock market if Britons vote for Brexit Also suggested that redundancy notices could be issued hours after Britons vote to leave the EU at the vote Chancellor osborne speaking in an LBC radio interview on...
Legendary trader George Soros writing in an op-ed for the Guardian newspaper British voters "grossly underestimating" true costs of Brexit Says value of pound would "decline precipitously" in the event of a Brexit Sterling almost certain to "fall steeply and quickly" if Britain votes to leave EU...
Here are the 2 polls just out, in the order they hit: Brexit poll: ORB 53 remain, 46 leave Next Brexit poll - NatCen: 53% Remain, vs. 47% Leave YouGov Brexit poll: 42 % Remain vs. 44% Leave GBP on the 'Remain' winning results (the first two to hit) ... a bit of a pop...
USD/JPY flat despite risk rally The conditions are nearly perfect for a rally in USD/JPY but the pair is stubbornly soft. A rally to 104.85 earlier has been beaten back and the pair is at a session low of 104.24, virtually erasing a gap higher at the open...
Japanese exporters halt yen-buying - Nikkei Asian Review The Nikkei Asian Review reports that Japanese exporters have cut yen buying because of the post-BOJ jump last week. The story is what may be hitting USD/JPY now. The pair has dropped 30 pips in a flash and took out 104.00...
