Your Economic data/Event calendar for today 21 June 2016 Greetings one and all and welcome to Tuesday's edition of Brexit poll countdown. Not a lot on the data front again but that's not stopping the fun n games particularly on GBP related pairs...
Japan April All Industries Activity index 21 June 2016 +0.2% prev revised up from +0.1% Better than expected but not a price changer in its own right, especially with so much else going on right now...
BoA / ML on euro, yen and Swiss franc (oh, and the GBP) We expect both GBP/USD and GBP/JPY to be the major causalities as Brexit triggers a broader risk-off wave. Our Japanese strategists believe USD/JPY is likely to fall decisively below ¥100 and is technically vulnerable to a move toward ¥95...
Here's a piece from Reuters on liquidity considerations as we head into June 23 It's a good background read on structural developments in markets: ... prices, especially exchange rates, suddenly taking off in one direction or the other...
Bank of Japan April monetary policy board meeting minutes Underlying trend in inflation improving gradually Japan's economy continuing to recover gradually A few members more cautious on outlook for Japan inflation trend Should consider more flexible JGB purchases...
Actually, its author J.K Rowling ... but since she is the creator of the 3 in the headline I've taken a bit of licence...
I'll keep this brief, if you want a detailed nitty gritty timetable of when, for example, Upper Kumbuckta West will declare, this ain't it. Forget Shakespeare, this is the question: Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union...
The results of the Reuters Tankan survey for June. Via, errr, yeah, Reuters. Headline results: June manufacturers' sentiment index +3 vs +2 in May Service-sector firms' index hit three-year low of +17 (from 19 in May...
Coming up during the European session on Tuesday, something to keep an eye out for Germany's constitutional court rules on the legality of the European Central Bank's outright monetary transactions (OMT) scheme The OMT gives the ECB powers to buy the debt of financially strained member countries...
The UK Telegraph report: George Osborne refuses to rule out suspending trading on the London stock market if Britons vote for Brexit Also suggested that redundancy notices could be issued hours after Britons vote to leave the EU at the vote Chancellor osborne speaking in an LBC radio interview on...
Legendary trader George Soros writing in an op-ed for the Guardian newspaper British voters "grossly underestimating" true costs of Brexit Says value of pound would "decline precipitously" in the event of a Brexit Sterling almost certain to "fall steeply and quickly" if Britain votes to leave EU...
Here are the 2 polls just out, in the order they hit: Brexit poll: ORB 53 remain, 46 leave Next Brexit poll - NatCen: 53% Remain, vs. 47% Leave YouGov Brexit poll: 42 % Remain vs. 44% Leave GBP on the 'Remain' winning results (the first two to hit) ... a bit of a pop...
USD/JPY flat despite risk rally The conditions are nearly perfect for a rally in USD/JPY but the pair is stubbornly soft. A rally to 104.85 earlier has been beaten back and the pair is at a session low of 104.24, virtually erasing a gap higher at the open...
Japanese exporters halt yen-buying - Nikkei Asian Review The Nikkei Asian Review reports that Japanese exporters have cut yen buying because of the post-BOJ jump last week. The story is what may be hitting USD/JPY now. The pair has dropped 30 pips in a flash and took out 104.00...
Talk that today's polls will be released in about 4 hours Just what this crazy market needs is two polls showing the 'leave' side way ahead...
Results of the US 2-year note auction Was trading at 0.740% on the bid side in the when issued market Prior was 0.920% Bid to cover at 2.72 vs 3.00 prior The market has shifted a long way from a month ago when the Fed was stoking rate hike talk...
Retail brokers are tightening up ahead of the big vote It's almost becoming a daily event that the emails get pinged around from brokers warning of margin changes. IG will be increasing GBP fx pairs margins to 6% from 14.00 GMT Wednesday...
Why Trump is down to his last strike and has replaced his campaign manager The path to the White House for Donald Trump was clear...
Closing gains/losses in the main bourses UK FTSE +3.1% German DAX +3.5% French CAC +3.6% Spain IBEX +3.4...
Which indicators are good at predicting recessions Economists are horrible forecasters. It's so bad that the Fed's own James Bullard says they should quit altogether because the public is so-often sent the wrong signals. The WSJ surveys economists monthly and the latest reading is 21...
