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There is no rest for pollsters nor markets on the eve of the big vote. Two fresh polls show are showing a last moment lean against Leave and for Remain. This is different from the very tight polls released earlier in the day. YouGov shows 51% for Remain and 49% for Leave with no undecideds...
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 13:30
Brexit or Bremain? This is a question the whole world is asking. If Brits vote to remain in the EU, we could witness a relief rally in the pound, euro, other risk currencies and stock markets. If Brits want out, the pound could plunge, the euro will follow and so will stocks...
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 13:25
The latest opinion polls by Opinium shows a marginal lead for Leave: 45% against 44%. This is a very small change from the previous poll that showed an even picture of 44%. One can say that it shows no fresh momentum for Remain but a more careful way to look at it shows basically no change...
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 13:15
The Brexit / Bremain vote is upon us, with wide ranging implications...
Currency
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 13:12
All the areas and estimated verification and count times Here's the expected schedule for the vote counts. Area Estimated time for verification Estimated time for count completion...
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 12:49
As voting gets underway for the EU referendum here's a few thoughts 23 June 2016 Normally in the UK it's customary to reserve the right to privacy when it comes to voting but many here have asked to have the views of the ForexLive UK contingent so here's a few thoughts as to my voting bias when I...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 12:20
Ipsos Mori poll tweeted the result Ipsos says that it's a 74% likelihood of remain winning. Cable hits a new high at 1.4890...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 12:13
The main event today and potentially the main event this year is the UK’s EU Referendum. Throughout today the UK general public will be casting their votes on whether to remain in or leave the EU...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 11:28
Italy industrial orders April report 23 June 2016 prev revised down from -3.3% yy NSA -11.3% vs +0.1% prev industrial sales mm +2.1% vs -1.6% prev yy WDA +0.1% vs -3.6% prev...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 10:23
Provisional Germany Markit/BME June mftg PMI report 23 June 2016 52.1 prev services 53.2 vs 55.00 exp vs 55.2 prev composite 54.1 vs 54.3 exp vs 54.5 prev Good headline but others not so great...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 10:22
France provisional June Markit mftg PMI report 23 June 2016 48,4 prev services 49.9 vs 51.6 exp/prev composite 49.4 vs 51.0 exp vs 50.9 prev Disappointing data but EURUSD underpinned by dip demand in EURGBP and EURJPY...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 09:08
Voting is now underway in the UK referendum on EU membership 23 June 2016 Yes folks, after all the bluster and bitterness the UK finally gets to vote with polling stations just opened up for business. I'll be posting a few thoughts on my own position shortly as many of you have requested...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 08:20
Japan April leading index CI final data now released 23 June 2016 coincident index final 112.0 vs 112.2 flash The Leading Indicators Index is a composite index based on 12 economic indicators, that is designed to predict the future direction of the economy. Not a price changer, especially today...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 08:05
Your economic data/event calendar for today 23 June Greetings from a dark and stormy South of England. Heavy rain overnight and more to come. ( just a heads up for those of you making trading decisions based on the Brexit voting being weather affected...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 08:04
Huang Weimin Self-taught hedge fund manager Gained more than 6,200% last year (trading Chinese stock-index futures) Made 60% in the first two months of 2016 Been in cash since...
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 07:36
MNI's monthly business sentiment indicator for China In June +9% m/m to 54.5 (a big jump from May's 50 & April at 50...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 07:35
Preliminary Nikkei / Markit Japan manufacturing PMI for June Barely changed on the month for the headline. Fourth consecutive month in decline In brief, the breakdown: Amy Brownbill, economist at Markit...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 23 June 2016, 07:34
Its tough living here in the future sometimes And ... the calendar is sparse, with two speakers to at least weigh in. Oh ... there are 2 Brexit polls due at 2100GMT - they usually hit a little early, so be ready, coming up in the next 30 minutes or so...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 22 June 2016, 22:52
One idea has sustained 'remain' optimism From the announcement of the Brexit referendum, I've been saying the same thing: Buy the Brexit dip because voters almost always get election day jitters and vote for the status quo. That's been a great trade Thursday...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 22 June 2016, 22:09
More jitters beginning to circulate Two polls released today have shown the 'leave' side in front (Opinium and TNS). They show varying degrees of momentum...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 22 June 2016, 19:18