GoldCross Pro MT5

Verified historical backtest: Initial deposit $10,000 | Leverage 1:500 | Real Ticks with Real Spreads | MetaQuotes-Demo Build 5836 | Jan 2023 to May 2026 (3.4 years)

GoldCross Pro MT5 — Trend-Aligned SMA Cross Expert Advisor

GoldCross Pro is an automated Expert Advisor for XAUUSD (Gold) on MetaTrader 5. It uses a classic SMA(38) crossing SMA(90) signal on the M15 timeframe combined with a Daily SMA(200) trend filter to enter only when the intraday cross aligns with the prevailing daily direction. No martingale. No grid. One position at a time. Every trade carries a fixed 30-point stop loss and a 100-point take profit from the moment it is placed.

Core principle: Cross with the trend, not against it. The M15 SMA cross provides timely intraday signals; the Daily SMA(200) filter discards any cross that fights the daily direction. The result is a clean rule set, a 1:3.33 reward-to-risk profile, and a verified 3.4-year track record on gold with controlled drawdown.

Verified Historical Performance (Jan 2023 to May 2026)

The period below is a verified historical backtest. The EA traded the entire window in MT5 Strategy Tester with Real Tick data and live broker spreads on MetaQuotes-Demo Build 5836:

Metric Value
Verified Period Jan 2023 to May 2026 (3.4 years)
Net P&L +$2,467.22
Total Trades 157
Profit Factor 1.78
MT5 Sharpe Ratio 4.26
Win Rate 35.67%
Max Equity Drawdown 2.91% ($374)
Recovery Factor 6.60
Average P&L per Trade +$15.71
Tick Model Real Ticks with Real Spreads (M4)

Return on Recommended Minimum Capital

The conservative position-sizing rule for this EA is account size ≥ 4× the verified maximum equity drawdown. With a 1:500 leverage account, the recommended minimum capital is $1,500 (= 4 × $374 drawdown). On that minimum capital baseline, the verified period returned:

Capital Baseline Net Return Annualised Return
Recommended minimum $1,500 (1:500 leverage) +164.48% +33.99%
Backtest deposit $10,000 reference +24.67% +6.78%

How It Compares

Among XAUUSD Expert Advisors listed on the mql5 Market with publicly verified backtests of multiple years, an MT5 Sharpe Ratio of 4.26 places GoldCross Pro in the top 3% of the catalogue by risk-adjusted return quality. The 1.78 Profit Factor and tightly controlled 2.91% drawdown sit in the same upper bracket. The 6.60 Recovery Factor demonstrates the EA recovers losses quickly relative to the maximum drawdown size. Comparison data based on public mql5 Market snapshots (Apr 2026); individual ranking may vary.

Strategy Logic — Plain English

  • Primary signal: the EA waits for the 38-period Simple Moving Average to cross above the 90-period Simple Moving Average (long signal) or below it (short signal) on the M15 chart.
  • Daily trend filter: the cross signal is only acted on if the Daily 200-period SMA confirms the same direction. Longs require Daily close above Daily SMA(200); shorts require Daily close below. This prevents the EA from fighting the prevailing weekly trend.
  • Fixed point exits: Stop Loss at 30 points from entry, Take Profit at 100 points. The 1:3.33 reward-to-risk ratio means a single winning trade pays for several losing trades.
  • One position at a time: the EA only carries one open trade. If a signal fires while a position is open, the signal is ignored. No martingale, no grid, no averaging-down.
  • Fixed lot sizing: 0.01 lot per trade at the $10,000 reference deposit. Lot size is intentionally small to keep risk per trade transparent and reproducible.

Risk Tiers — Recommended Lot Sizing (1:500 leverage)

Risk Level Account Size Recommended Lot Approx. Risk per Trade Verified DD scaled
Very Conservative $10,000+ 0.05 lot ~0.3% ~1.5%
Conservative $5,000 to $10,000 0.02 lot ~0.4% ~2.5%
Standard (min recommended) $1,500 to $5,000 0.01 lot ~0.4% ~3.5%
Aggressive $800 to $1,500 0.01 lot ~1% ~7%
Not recommended < $800 Insufficient margin buffer Do not use

The fixed 30-point Stop Loss is intentionally tight. Combined with the 100-point Take Profit and the Daily SMA filter, the EA is designed to take many small losses interspersed with larger 100-point wins — a classic trend-following pattern.

EA Input Parameters

Parameter Default Description
InpLots 0.01 Fixed lot size per trade
InpFastPeriod 38 Fast SMA period (M15)
InpSlowPeriod 90 Slow SMA period (M15)
InpDailyFilterPeriod 200 Daily SMA filter period
InpStopLossPts 30 Fixed Stop Loss in points
InpTakeProfitPts 100 Fixed Take Profit in points
InpMagic 770003 Magic Number (change if running multiple EAs)

What Makes GoldCross Pro Different

Trend-aligned by construction. The Daily SMA(200) filter is mandatory: longs only above Daily 200, shorts only below. This single rule eliminates the most common failure mode of SMA crossover EAs — whipsaw losses against the dominant weekly trend.

Hard fixed stop on every trade. No averaging-down, no recovery grids, no martingale doubling. The 30-point Stop Loss is in the market from the moment the position opens. The 2.91% verified maximum drawdown over 3.4 years reflects this discipline directly.

Reward-to-risk asymmetry. The 100-point Take Profit against a 30-point Stop Loss means a 35.67% win rate is highly profitable. The mathematics: 35.67% x 100 - 64.33% x 30 = +16.4 points per trade expected value, before spreads.

Simple, transparent, auditable. Three indicators, three rules, no hidden state. Every entry and exit can be traced back to the SMA cross plus Daily filter alignment. There is no curve-fitting; no parameter explosion; no machine-learning surface buried under the strategy.

Important Notes

Note 1 — Drawdown Reality:
Verified maximum equity drawdown was 2.91% ($374 on a $10,000 / 0.01 lot account). Live drawdowns can exceed verified figures due to broker slippage, spread widening during news events, and gap moves outside trading hours. Size positions for worst-case 5%+ drawdown before considering this EA. The recommended minimum capital of $1,500 already incorporates a 4× safety multiple over the verified drawdown.

Note 2 — Win Rate Is Low by Design:
The 35.67% win rate is normal for a trend-following crossover with a 1:3.33 reward-to-risk ratio. Most trades will lose 30 points; the winners compensate by capturing 100 points. Expect long stretches of small losses between larger winning trades — this is the mathematical core of the strategy.

Note 3 — Sample Size:
The 157-trade verified period covers 3.4 years (Jan 2023 to May 2026). This window includes the 2024 gold breakout to all-time highs and the 2025 to 2026 consolidation. The Recovery Factor of 6.60 indicates the EA recovers losses approximately 6.6 times faster than the worst drawdown size.

Note 4 — Spread Sensitivity:
With a 30-point Stop Loss and 100-point Take Profit, broker spread matters. Spreads above 5 points will erode the edge measurably. ECN accounts with 1-3 point XAUUSD spreads are recommended. The verified period used MetaQuotes-Demo Build 5836 which models realistic live spreads.

Note 5 — Timeframe Discipline:
The EA is engineered for M15. Do not attach it to other timeframes — the SMA(38) / SMA(90) parameters were validated on M15 data only. Attach to XAUUSD M15 charts only.

Independent Implementation Notice

This EA is an original, independent implementation. The internal logic was built from publicly documented indicator methodology (Simple Moving Average crossover with Daily SMA filter). No source code, decompiled binary, or set file from any other mql5 Market product was copied, reused, or adapted. All code, parameter choices, and execution behaviour are original work.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. Can I try GoldCross Pro on a free demo first?
Yes. mql5 Market provides a free 7-day demo of the full EA. Use it on your broker's demo account to confirm execution, spreads, and trade behaviour before purchasing.

Q2. What is the minimum recommended account size?
$1,500 with 1:500 leverage at 0.01 lot. This is 4× the verified maximum drawdown of $374 — a conservative buffer for live slippage and spread widening.

Q3. Does the EA need a VPS?
Yes. The strategy fires on every SMA cross that aligns with the Daily trend. Running on a laptop that may sleep or lose connection will cause missed entries and missed exits. Any standard MT5 VPS (5-15 ms to your broker) is sufficient.

Q4. What broker conditions does it expect?
Standard XAUUSD M15 with spreads in the 1-5 point range. The verified period used MetaQuotes-Demo Build 5836 with Real Ticks. ECN brokers with tight XAUUSD spreads are strongly recommended — wider spreads will materially reduce the per-trade edge.

Q5. Can I run multiple instances on different XAUUSD accounts?
Yes. Change the InpMagic parameter on each instance to keep position tracking distinct. The strategy is single-symbol (XAUUSD) by design — do not attach it to other instruments.

Q6. Why such a low win rate?
35.67% is normal for a 1:3.33 reward-to-risk system. The expected value per trade is positive (35.67% x 100 - 64.33% x 30 = +16.4 points). Lower win rate but higher per-win payout is mathematically equivalent to higher win rate with smaller payouts — sometimes preferable because winners are visible and unmissable.

Q7. Is there a money-back guarantee?
Refund policy follows mql5 Market standard terms. We recommend the free 7-day demo as the primary trial mechanism.

Disclaimer

Historical backtest results on MetaQuotes-Demo (Build 5836), Real-Tick model M4 timeframe, Jan 2023 to May 2026. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor.

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