📊 FX Option Expiries — April 7, 2026

📊 FX Option Expiries — April 7, 2026

7 4月 2026, 13:51
Masayuki Sakamoto
0
2
📊 FX Option Expiries — April 7, 2026

■ Spot

Pair Spot
EUR/USD 1.1537
USD/JPY 159.73
GBP/USD 1.3229
USD/CHF 0.7984
USD/CAD 1.3917
AUD/USD 0.6915
NZD/USD 0.5701
EUR/GBP 0.8718

■ Tuesday (April 7)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1400 (930M)
  • 1.1450 (1.1B)
  • 1.1500 (1.9B) ★ Largest
  • 1.1525 (1.1B)
  • 1.1550 (960M)
  • 1.1575 (780M)
  • 1.1580 (900M)
  • 1.1600 (1.7B)
  • 1.1625 (1.1B)

👉 Extremely dense cluster centered at 1.1500

👉 Spot: 1.1537
→ Price is effectively locked in place (difficult to move in either direction)


USD/JPY

  • 159.00 (810M)
  • 160.00 (680M)
  • 160.25 (650M)
  • 160.50 (760M)

👉 Spot: 159.73

✔ Upside: heavy resistance around 160 zone
✔ Downside: pullback pressure toward 159

👉 Tight range: 159–160


GBP/USD

  • 1.3000 (940M)
  • 1.3545 (1.3B)

👉 Wide range structure
→ No clear directional bias for the day


AUD/USD

  • 0.6800 (1.0B)
  • 0.6950 (830M)
  • 0.7000 (1.4B) ★ Largest

👉 Spot: 0.6915

✔ Upside awareness toward 0.7000
👉 But still prone to pullbacks toward 0.6950


EUR/GBP

  • 0.8700 (600M)

■ Wednesday (April 8)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1400 (2.6B) ★ Massive
  • 1.1450 (1.4B)
  • 1.1500 (1.5B)
  • 1.1560 (860M)
  • 1.1600 (1.8B)
  • 1.1625 (1.6B)
  • 1.1700 (1.0B)

👉 Large positioning on both sides

👉 Key feature:
“Full sandwich structure” (price trapped between large strikes)


USD/JPY

  • 158.00 (620M)
  • 158.45 (700M)
  • 160.00 (1.1B) ★ Largest

👉 Upside bias remains
👉 But prone to choppy consolidation mid-range


GBP/USD

  • 1.3200 (550M)

■ Overall Structure (Key)


EUR/USD

  • Apr 7 → Dense cluster at 1.1500
  • Apr 8 → Large strikes on both sides

=
👉 Range lock → Failed breakout structure


USD/JPY

👉 Confined within 159–160

=
👉 Volatility compression phase


AUD/USD

👉 Largest option at 0.7000

=
👉 Upside awareness, but unreached magnet


🎯 Trading Conclusion

✔ Breakouts → High probability of false moves
✔ Trend-following → Likely to get trapped

👉 Optimal approach:

Trade only the moves that return to the center


⚠️ Professional Insight (Critical)

This positioning suggests:

👉 “Calm before the storm”


✔ Volatility compression
✔ Heavy option concentration
✔ Lack of direction

=

👉 Signals a potential major trend ahead