📊 FX Option Expiries — April 1, 2026 (NY Cut)

📊 FX Option Expiries — April 1, 2026 (NY Cut)

1 4月 2026, 12:27
Masayuki Sakamoto
0
4

📊 FX Option Expiries — April 1, 2026 (NY Cut)

■ Spot
Pair Spot
EUR/USD 1.1574
USD/JPY 158.71
GBP/USD 1.3257
USD/CHF 0.7965
USD/CAD 1.3900
AUD/USD 0.6912
NZD/USD 0.5744
EUR/GBP 0.8728

■ Wednesday (April 1)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1450 (3.6B)
  • 1.1500 (6.3B)
  • 1.1505 (1.5B)
  • 1.1525 (1.1B)
  • 1.1600 (1.1B)
  • 1.1625 (2.6B)
  • 1.1650 (3.2B)
  • 1.1700 (3.6B) ★ Massive

👉 Spot: 1.1574

✔ Downside: 1.1450–1.1500 (heavy zone)
✔ Upside: 1.1625–1.1700 (massive zone)

👉 Clearly a “sandwiched range market” (range-locked)


USD/JPY

  • 156.50 (2.2B) ★ Largest
  • 158.00 (530M)
  • 159.10 (760M)

👉 Spot: 158.71

✔ Downside: 156.50 dominates
✔ Upside: lighter resistance near 159

👉 Sell-on-rally structure


GBP/USD

  • 1.3000 (550M)
  • 1.3320 (650M)
  • 1.3475 (820M)

👉 Mid-range (~1.325)
No clear direction


USD/CHF

  • 0.7885 (650M)

👉 Downward magnetic pull


USD/CAD

  • 1.3900 (630M)

👉 Spot exactly at strike
Fully pinned level


AUD/USD

  • 0.6800 (1.7B) ★ Largest
  • 0.6900 (530M)
  • 0.7035 (870M)
  • 0.7050 (500M)

👉 Spot: 0.6912

✔ Downside: 0.6800
✔ Upside: 0.7035

👉 Range-bound structure


■ Thursday (April 2)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1400 (930M)
  • 1.1450 (550M)
  • 1.1500 (1.3B)
  • 1.1540 (780M)
  • 1.1590 (620M)
  • 1.1650 (1.3B)

👉 More distributed than prior day
→ Range continues, but with slightly more flexibility


USD/JPY

  • 157.00 (1.5B) ★ Strong
  • 159.00 (920M)
  • 160.00 (1.0B)
  • 160.50 (580M)

👉 Range confirmed: 157–160


USD/CAD

  • 1.3705 (730M)
  • 1.3825 (560M)

AUD/USD

  • 0.6800 (890M)
  • 0.6900 (660M)
  • 0.7025 (740M)

👉 Range maintained: 0.68–0.70


■ Overall Structure (Key)

EUR/USD

👉 Large option clusters both above and below

=
👉 No trend zone (range-dominant environment)


USD/JPY

👉 Downside (156–157) is extremely strong

=
👉 Upside limited → sell-on-rally bias


AUD/USD

👉 Anchored at 0.6800

=
👉 Range trading is optimal


🎯 Trading Conclusion

✔ Trend trading → ❌ Ineffective
✔ Breakout trading → ❌ High probability of false moves


👉 Optimal strategy:

“Trade rotations within option-defined ranges”


📌 One-Line Summary

👉 “Heavy option clusters on both sides — fully range-controlled market.”