📊 FX Option Expiries — March 27, 2026 (NY Cut)

📊 FX Option Expiries — March 27, 2026 (NY Cut)

27 3月 2026, 11:20
Masayuki Sakamoto
0
2

📊 FX Option Expiries — March 27, 2026 (NY Cut)

■ Spot
Pair Spot
EUR/USD 1.1543
USD/JPY 159.61
GBP/USD 1.3343
USD/CHF 0.7952
USD/CAD 1.3854
AUD/USD 0.6904
NZD/USD 0.5772
EUR/GBP 0.8650

■ Friday (March 27)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1390 (530M)
  • 1.1550 (730M)
  • 1.1575 (890M) ★ Largest
  • 1.1600 (1.5B)
  • 1.1650 (500M)
  • 1.1665 (710M)

👉 Spot: 1.1543

  • 1.1550–1.1575 = strong pin zone
  • Above: 1.1600 acts as a heavy resistance

USD/JPY

  • 159.00 (590M)
  • 161.40 (900M)

👉 Spot: 159.61

  • Downside: pullback pressure toward 159
  • Upside: 161.40 is a distant magnet (low short-term impact)

GBP/USD

  • 1.3300 (570M)
  • 1.3400 (540M)
  • 1.3450 (750M) ★ Largest

👉 Range centered around 1.3350


USD/CAD

  • 1.3800 (580M)

👉 Spot: 1.3854

👉 Downward attraction toward 1.3800


AUD/USD

  • 0.6900 (510M)
  • 0.6950 (740M)
  • 0.7000 (810M)
  • 0.7100 (690M)

👉 Spot: 0.6904

  • 0.6900–0.6950 = key zone
  • Below: strong support
  • Above: sell-on-rally area

■ Monday (March 30)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1700 (910M)

👉 A standalone upside magnet
👉 Potential gap-up target


■ Overall Structure

EUR/USD
→ 1.1550–1.1575 pin zone + 1.1600 resistance

USD/JPY
→ Pullback structure toward 159

GBP/USD
→ Range centered at 1.3350

USD/CAD
→ Attraction toward 1.3800

AUD/USD
→ 0.6900–0.6950 support zone


■ Market Implication

👉 This is a classic:

“NY cut-driven + pre-weekend range-bound market”


Key characteristics:

  • Trends are unlikely to develop
  • Price tends to revert to central levels
  • Breakouts are prone to failure

🎯 Trading Strategy

✔ Effective Approach

👉 Mean reversion (fade trades)

  • Sell highs
  • Buy lows
  • Target moves back toward central strikes

✔ Key Levels

  • EUR/USD: 1.1550–1.1575
  • USD/JPY: 159
  • AUD/USD: 0.6900–0.6950

👉 Focus on option “magnet” levels


❌ Avoid

  • Breakout chasing
  • Trend-following setups

📌 One-Line Summary

👉 “Option gravity dominates — mean reversion day.”