FX Options Outlook – March 23, 2026

FX Options Outlook – March 23, 2026

23 3月 2026, 10:29
Masayuki Sakamoto
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FX Options Outlook – March 23, 2026

🔹 Spot Levels

  • EUR/USD: 1.1540
  • USD/JPY: 159.47
  • GBP/USD: 1.3311
  • USD/CHF: 0.7893
  • USD/CAD: 1.3722
  • AUD/USD: 0.6967
  • NZD/USD: 0.5804
  • EUR/GBP: 0.8667

📅 Monday (March 23)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1500 (€760M)
  • 1.1550 (€890M)
  • 1.1600 (€1.8B) ★ Largest
  • 1.1650 (€760M)

👉 Current: 1.1540

  • 1.1550 acts as a short-term pin
  • Strong magnetic pull toward 1.1600

USD/JPY

  • 158.00 ($1.0B)
  • 158.95 ($610M)
  • 160.00 ($570M)

👉 Current: 159.47

  • Range-bound between 159–160
  • Upside attraction toward 160 remains

USD/CHF

  • 0.7935 ($910M)

USD/CAD

  • 1.3650 ($820M)

AUD/USD

  • 0.7070 ($620M)
  • 0.7125 ($580M)

👉 Current: 0.6967

  • Options positioned above → upside resistance / pullback pressure

📅 Tuesday (March 24)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1430 (€890M)
  • 1.1450 (€590M)
  • 1.1500 (€3.0B) ★ Largest
  • 1.1600 (€1.0B)
  • 1.1645 (€540M)
  • 1.1650 (€510M)
  • 1.1660 (€670M)
  • 1.1670 (€560M)

👉 Massive pin at 1.1500

  • Market structure heavily centered around this level

USD/JPY

  • 158.00 ($1.9B) ★ Largest

👉 Strong downside attraction

  • Pullback pressure toward 158

AUD/USD

  • 0.6975 ($540M)

👉 Current: 0.6967

  • Almost perfectly pinned

NZD/USD

  • 0.5750 ($630M)

🌐 Overall Structure

EUR/USD

  • Monday: 1.1550–1.1600 range
  • Tuesday: Fully anchored at 1.1500

USD/JPY

  • Monday: 159–160 range-bound
  • Tuesday: Pullback structure toward 158

AUD/USD

  • Near-perfect pin at 0.6975

🎯 Key Takeaway

👉 Clear NY cut-driven “pinning market”

  • EUR/USD → Centered at 1.1500
  • USD/JPY → Downward gravitational pull
  • AUD/USD → Near-fixed price action