📊 Technical Overview – Major FX, Gold & BTC 📅 October 9, 2025

📊 Technical Overview – Major FX, Gold & BTC 📅 October 9, 2025

9 10月 2025, 09:57
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Overview – Major FX, Gold & BTC
📅 October 9, 2025

🟩🟥⚪ Color Legend

  • 🟩 Bullish (Uptrend)

  • 🟥 Bearish (Downtrend)

  • Neutral (Sideways / Consolidation)


💱 Multi-Timeframe Technical Signals

Pair / Asset 5-min 15-min 1-hr Daily
EUR/USD 🟩 Strong Buy ⚪ Neutral 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
USD/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy
GBP/USD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Buy 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
AUD/USD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Buy 🟩 Buy
USD/CAD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy
USD/CHF 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy
USD/NZD 🟥 Sell 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy
GBP/JPY ⚪ Neutral 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy
AUD/JPY ⚪ Neutral 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy
CAD/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy
CHF/JPY 🟥 Sell 🟥 Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy
XAU/USD (Gold) ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
NZD/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/GBP 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟥 Sell
EUR/AUD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
NZD/CAD 🟩 Buy 🟥 Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
BTC/USD 🟩 Buy 🟥 Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy

⚙️ Trend Summary

📈 Bullish Bias (Uptrend)

Cross-yen pairs (JPY weakness)
EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY, CAD/JPY, CHF/JPY, NZD/JPY all maintain uptrends on the daily chart.
→ Yen weakness remains entrenched — “buy-on-dip with intervention caution” is the main approach.

AUD Pairs (AUD/USD, AUD/JPY)
→ Broad-based Aussie strength supported by rising commodity prices and global risk-on sentiment.

Gold (XAU/USD) & Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Gold consolidates above $4,000, reinforcing its bullish structure.
BTC holds above $120K, attracting demand both as a risk asset and an alternative currency.


📉 Bearish Bias (Downtrend)

Euro Complex (EUR/USD, EUR/AUD, EUR/GBP)
→ Persistent selling across all timeframes, especially EUR/AUD showing a clear downward trend.
→ Weak tone continues amid ECB’s dovish stance and sluggish eurozone data.

Dollar Straight Pairs (USD/CAD, USD/CHF)
→ Short-term dollar selling dominates; capped around 1.39–1.40 levels.


Neutral / Range-Bound

GBP/USD, USD/JPY (short term), NZD/CAD
→ Mixed short-term signals suggest momentum loss.
→ Best to stay in wait-and-see mode or use limit orders for entries.


🌍 Market Landscape

Theme Description
💵 USD/JPY holds above ¥152 Despite nearing intervention levels, persistent U.S. rate differentials sustain yen selling pressure.
🪙 Euro remains weak Economic stagnation and rate-cut expectations weigh on sentiment.
💰 Gold & BTC firm Coexistence of liquidity flows and global hedging demand.
🌏 AUD leads gains Supported by higher commodity prices and revived China demand outlook.

🔍 Top 3 Pairs to Watch

  1. USD/JPY – Testing intervention zone; remains in a medium-term uptrend.

  2. AUD/USD – Bullish across all timeframes; breakout above 0.66 could accelerate gains.

  3. XAU/USD (Gold) – Sustained momentum above $4,000; dips remain buying opportunities.


⚠️ Pairs to Watch for Weakness

  • EUR/USD, EUR/AUD, EUR/GBP → Broad euro weakness; focus on sell-on-rally strategy.

  • NZD/CAD → Bearish tone continues, tracking commodity-linked weakness.


📌 Overall Summary

“High USD/JPY, weak EUR, strong AUD, firm Gold & BTC.”
— The first half of October 2025 is defined by a triple theme: yen selling, euro weakness, and commodity-currency strength.
While brief corrections may occur, the medium-term backdrop remains risk-on, favoring diversified bullish positioning across assets.