✅ [June 6 FX Market Summary] All Eyes on U.S. Jobs Report |An Upside Surprise Could Shock the Market

6 6月 2025, 11:10
Masayuki Sakamoto
0
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[June 6 FX Market Summary] All Eyes on U.S. Jobs Report |An Upside Surprise Could Shock the Market

📰 Today’s Key Market Focus

The spotlight is on the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for May.
FX, equities, and bond markets are all treading cautiously ahead of the release.


📈 NFP Forecast Overview

Indicator Forecast Previous
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) +126K +177K
Unemployment Rate 4.2% 4.2%
Avg. Hourly Earnings (MoM) +0.3% +0.2%
Avg. Hourly Earnings (YoY) +3.7% +3.8%
 

📌 Economist forecast range: +75K to +190K
A stronger-than-expected result could trigger significant market reactions, particularly given the weak ADP data earlier this week, which has primed the market for a softer print.


💬 Notable Topics Today

  • Trump’s Verbal Pressure on the Fed
    After the ADP release earlier this week, Trump once again criticized Fed Chair Powell, saying “rate cuts are too slow.”
    A similar comment today could stir up short-term volatility.

  • ECB Speakers on Deck
    Several central bank officials including President Lagarde are scheduled to speak.
    Markets will closely listen for guidance on the future policy path following Thursday’s 0.25% rate cut.

  • Last Day Before Fed Blackout Period Begins
    As the Fed enters its policy communication blackout this weekend, today’s comments from Fed members may carry added weight.


🌍 Other Key Economic Releases

Time Indicator Region
GDP (Final Q1) Eurozone  
Retail Sales (April) Eurozone  
Employment Report (May) Canada  
 

💬 Trader Comment

“Tonight’s NFP is set to be market-moving, especially with recent ADP and JOLTS figures painting a mixed picture. I’ll be ready for a swift response to any surprise. Also watching EUR crosses—comments from ECB officials may stir fresh movement.”