+75,706 USD – Ride the Trend! How to Navigate the Waves of Yen Strength & Risk-Off Sentiment

+75,706 USD – Ride the Trend! How to Navigate the Waves of Yen Strength & Risk-Off Sentiment

8 2月 2025, 11:45
Masayuki Sakamoto
0
20

+75,706 USD – Ride the Trend! How to Navigate the Waves of Yen Strength & Risk-Off Sentiment

✅ Weekly Trading Results (Feb 3 - Feb 7)

💰 Profit: +75,706 USD
🎯 Key Strategies:

  • USD/JPY & EUR/JPY short trades on yen strengthUnsuccessful!
  • Short-term Bitcoin (BTC/USD) tradesSuccessful!
  • Gold (XAU/USD) dip buyingFailed… missed the rebound

📌 Market Overview This Week

🌎 Market shaken by Trump tariffs & Japan-US summit
💴 Speculation of additional BOJ rate hikes accelerated yen appreciation
📉 Gold gained as a safe-haven asset, but timing issues led to missed profits
📈 Bitcoin trades secured solid gains


🔍 Forex Strategy for the Week of February 10

📌 1. USD/JPY

📉 Bias: Sell on Rallies (Yen Strength Expected)
🔎 Key Points:

  • Feb 12 U.S. January CPI Report is Crucial
    • Higher CPI → Fed rate cuts pushed back → USD bullish
    • Lower CPI → Trump pressures Fed for cuts → USD bearish
  • BOJ rate hike speculation strengthens yen buying pressure
  • Sell at 152.50-153.00, target 148.00-149.00

📌 2. EUR/USD

📉 Bias: Bearish (ECB Dovish Stance)
🔎 Key Points:

  • Weak GDP data from France, Germany, and Eurozone → ECB rate cut speculation
  • Eurozone Industrial Production data in focus
  • Sell at 1.08-1.0850, target 1.07-1.0650

📌 3. GBP/JPY

📉 Bias: Weak Momentum (BOE Dovish Policy)
🔎 Key Points:

  • BOE unanimously cutting rates → GBP under selling pressure
  • Weak UK GDP & Industrial Production could push GBP lower
  • Sell at 195.00-195.50, target 192.00-191.50

📌 4. CAD/JPY

⚖️ Bias: Neutral (High Uncertainty)
🔎 Key Points:

  • Trump's tariffs postponed to March → Stabilized price action
  • BOC may signal additional rate cuts at the March meeting
  • Strategy: Stay on the sidelines until clearer direction emerges

📌 5. AUD/JPY

📉 Bias: Bearish (RBA Rate Cut Expectations)
🔎 Key Points:

  • RBA meeting on Feb 17-18 could signal rate cuts
  • Risk-off sentiment from US-China trade tensions remains
  • Sell at 95.50-96.00, target 94.00-93.50

📌 6. ZAR/JPY

📉 Bias: Continued Downtrend
🔎 Key Points:

  • Uncertainty over Trump’s South Africa policies → ZAR selling continues
  • Strategy: Stay on the sidelines until clearer trend emerges

📅 Key Events for February 10 Week

📌 Feb 10 (Mon) – Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence
📌 Feb 11 (Tue) – NAB Business Confidence (Australia)
📌 Feb 12 (Wed)U.S. January CPI Report (Main Market Focus 🔥)
📌 Feb 13 (Thu) – Eurozone Industrial Production, NZ Government Financial Statement
📌 Feb 17-18 (Mon-Tue) – RBA Policy Decision


📌 Japan-US Summit: Key Takeaways & Market Impact

📝 Trump-Ishiba Meeting Highlights

  • U.S. demands Japan reduce its trade surplus → Potential FX market impact
  • Toyota & Isuzu U.S. investments → Factor supporting yen depreciation
  • Nippon Steel & U.S. Steel investment plans → Strengthening economic ties

📉 Impact on Forex Market

  • Agreement that FX policies will be handled by finance ministers
  • However, Trump’s statements could still trigger yen appreciation

📌 Final Thoughts: Trading & Health – A Strategic Approach

Just as in trading, health requires a well-planned strategy to maintain focus and longevity in the market. A strong heart is key for traders managing stress and long hours.

Heart-Friendly Foods for Traders:

🥬 Leafy Greens (Kale, Spinach, Romaine Lettuce) – Help maintain blood vessel elasticity & stabilize blood pressure.
🥦 Cruciferous Vegetables (Broccoli, Cauliflower, Brussels Sprouts) – High in Vitamin K & folate to enhance circulation.
🧄 Onions & Garlic – Improve blood circulation & lower blood pressure.
🥕 Beets & Carrots – Promote blood flow & provide antioxidant protection.
🥑 Nuts, Avocado, Olive Oil – Healthy fats reduce heart strain & regulate cholesterol.


📌 Trading & Health: Both Require a Consistent Strategy

Just like reading market trends, maintaining a healthy lifestyle requires strategic planning. Start small – "This week, I'll focus on eating more vegetables" – and gradually build habits for long-term success.

📢 Let’s approach next week with clear judgment and strategic trades! 🔥💹