Thanks for comments, but I have not succeeded to test the indicator in EA. I tested to call difference between moving average buffer and future buffer or compare difference between future buffer values for example 0 and -1 or -2 with no success. In addition I noticed if you change future bar number input the result is always same and number of predicted bars can not be adjusted. Any comment?
I just want to check the future prediction result in EA with a normal moving average. A normal moving average if you open and close trades with its signal has a success rate between 20 to 40 percent, usually around 30 percent. Is result from extrapolation which predict future is different? Maybe.
The problem is not negative value of buffer. If you call the indicator in tester it takes a strange long long time for a single opened trade to hit stop or profit which usually take less than a second. Normal?!
Holt-Winters exponential double smoothing (with linear forecasting component) posted here : https://www.mql5.com/en/forum/175037/page954
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
forecast on Forex
Sergey Golubev, 2016.04.18 13:02
News is different from forecast, and forecast is different from technical analysis.This is how I understand it:
Forecasts. You are following some system which is 'black box' for you and can not be disclosed in public. You just believe in this unknown system/person/trader/coder which is making forecast for you. Forecasts are made with no any alternatives, for example: "buy EUR/USD at 1.2440 now/tomorrow at 10 am etc."It is similar with weather forecast (no one is responsible for false signal for example). There are free forecasts and commercial forecasts.
Technical analysis. The person is using indicators or/and price action to make a technical analysis describing the market condition in the past together with price movement explanation to the future on alternative ways. For example: "if the price breaks this level to above so ...., alternative - if the price will cross this level to below so ...".In this case - technical analysis is acting as the science which everybody can repeat in MT4/MT5, and you are always having the choice about what to do (to buy, or to sell, or to do nothing).There are free technical analysis and commercial technical analysis.There are some websites and sources which are publishing the articles with the word 'Forecast' (dailyfx.com and investing.com for example) but if you look at those articles so you will understand that it is the technical analysis only.Analysts (the persons who are providing the technical analysis) consider the forecasts/forecasters as the forex scam (so, basicly they do not like each other).We do not have forecasts on this part of the forum because it will be consider as an advertisement with commercial promotion anyway (technical analysis and forecasts can not be on the same subforums because of the differences between them: technical analysis is the science, and forecast is commercial or promotional service.------
I mean - if someone will post some link to the website with the forex forecast/trading signals and so on (and if it will be real forecast without technical analysis) so this your thread will be deleted sorry.
Sergey Golubev, 2016.04.18 13:17
And there are some differences between forecasts and signal services too. For example, the best way to check forecast/forecaster is to ask him to provide the signals so everybody will see/check the results. But in case of forecasts - it is not very good way because forecasts are making once in a month or once in a week so I think - no one will subscribe to the signals which are trading one time in a month/week just to prove some article/post about "where the price will go to in May" for example ... so ... Forecasts, signal services and technical analysis are 3 different services: we have just one of them here - signals as a service (and free technical analysis by free indicators from CodeBase here on the forum).
Sergey Golubev, 2017.03.29 13:10
As we know, almost all the brokers are making technical/fundamental analysis just to promote themselves and receive new clients.So, the technical/fundamental analysis from the brokers are prohibited on the forum because of the strong promotional/advertisable purposes of such the brokers' analysis.
Anyway, the users can provide this activity on the brogs on inside the profiles for example.
Gold is Reaching at 1270
Sergey Golubev, 2013.07.01 21:04
How can we know: correction, or bullish etc (in case of using indicator for example)?
well ... let's take AbsoluteStrength indicator from MT5 CodeBase.
bullish (Bull market) :
bearish (Bear market) :
ranging (choppy market - means: buy and sell on the same time) :
flat (sideways market - means: no buy and no sell) :
correction in a bear market (Bear Market Rally) :
And just to remind -