Fundamental Q4'16 Forecasts for Brent Crude Oil (based on the article)
Brent Crude Oil - "Crude oil price has reacted cleanly to the
200 day simple moving average for the past year and a half offering 5
touches of price support and resistance. Therefore, a move below the
common trend indicator would be worrisome to the H&S pattern
traders. A break below would open the door to more bearish potential
towards $40 and then possibly $35."
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash Rate and 15 pips price movement
2016-10-04 03:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)
[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.
From Australian Broker article:
AUD/USD M5: 15 pips range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event
GBP/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: U.K. Construction PMI and 22 pips price movement
2016-10-04 08:30 GMT | [GBP - Construction PMI]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for GBP in our case)
[GBP - Construction PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the construction industry.
GBPD/USD M5: 22 pips range price movement by U.K. Construction PMI news event
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Oil Bulls Can Almost Taste 3-Month Highs (based on the article)
Daily price is on bullish masrket condition for 51.10 resistance level to be tested for the bullish trend to be continuing.
If the price breaks 51.10 resistance level to above on daily close bar so the primary bullish trend will be continuing.If the price breaks 45.70 support level to below on close bar so the local downtrend as the secondary correction within the primary bullish trend will be started.If the price breaks 43.44 support level so we may see the reversal of the daily price movement to the primary bearish market condition.
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Sergey Golubev, 2013.10.16 08:04
How to Use Renko Bricks and Moving Averages to Find Trades
To add a 13-period exponential moving average to the Renko chart, choose
EMA from the Add Indicator menu then change “Number of periods” to 13.
Notice the chart above which displays both Renko bars and a 13-period
exponential moving average. A simple system can be built around the
Renko bars and the moving average. When Renko price bars cross below the
moving average and turns red, traders can enter short and stay with the
trend until the Renko bars cross back above the moving average.
An initial stop could be placed just above the last blue Renko brick.
Keep in mind that in the above example, each brick is equal to five
pips. In the above example, the red circles mark where the Renko bars
crossed below the moving average. A trader can see that a number of pips
could have been gathered as the bars stayed below the moving average.
On the other hand, when the Renko bars change color and cross above the
moving average, traders can enter long placing stop just below the last
red Renko brick. The above chart shows in the green circles, points were
the Renko price bars moved above the moving average generating a clear
Renko charts, without the dimension of time, may take a little getting a
little used to. But once you get the hang of them, you may find it
difficult to go back to the candles. Adding a moving average gives
excellent signals for entry and exit. Marrying them up with other
indicators can magnify the benefits of trading without noise and scary
Expert Advisors: Renko Line Break vs RSI EA
Sergey Golubev, 2014.03.28 07:39
Developed in the 18th century in Japan to trade rice, Renko charting is a
trend following technique. It is excellent for filtering out price
“noise” so traders can catch a major part a given Forex trend. It was
believed that the name “Renko” originated from the Japanese word ‘renga’
Similar to Kagi and Point and Figure charting, Renko ignores the element
of time used on candlesticks, bar charts, and line charts. Instead,
Renko focuses on sustained price movement of a preset amount of pips.
For example, a trader can set the bricks for as little as 5 pips or as
many as 100 or more. A new brick will not be formed until price has
moved 100 pips. It could take 24 hours for a new brick to form or it
could take just a few hours. However, no bricks will form until the
preset limit is achieved.
Find the Trend Direction
Renko charts can incorporate many of the usual technical indicators like
stochastics, MACD, and moving averages. Today’s strategy will marry up
Forex Renko charts with a 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to find
trend direction. Very simply, if price is trading above its 200 EMA,
then the trend is up. If price is trading below its 200 EMA, then the
trend is down.
This filter will give us a directional bias much like a compass or GPS.
We will look to only take long trades when the Renko bricks are trending
above the 200 EMA. On the other hand, in a downtrend, if the Renko
bricks are trending below the 200 EMA, then the trend down. Forex
traders will only look to short the market. One of the biggest mistakes
swing traders make is entering trades that go counter to the dominant
When to Get In
After the dominant trend direction is determined, traders can use the
simplicity of Renko charts with a single 13 period EMA as a ‘trigger’ to
signal an entry in the direction of the major trend. First, wait for at
least two green bricks to appear above the 13 EMA. Then enter long on
the appearance of the second green brick above the 13 EMA.
Exiting for Profit and for Loss
Once a trader is “triggered” into the trade, a protective stop can be
set one-brick size below the 13 EMA. As long as the bricks remain above
the 13 EMA, we look to stay with the trend. Just as the 13 EMA can get
you in a new trade, the same EMA can be used to stop out a winning trade
locking in profits.
Traders will need to manually move the stop one brick-size below 13 EMA
and the current price brick. You can see in the example above how the
combination of Renko and the 13 EMA helps traders stay with the trend a
Trading News Events: U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing (adapted from the article)
is on bullish ranging above 200-day SMA (200 SMA) and 100-day SMA (100 SMA) for the primary bullish trend to be resumed or for the bearish reversal to be started.
(all images/charts were made using Metatrader 5 software and free indicators from MQL5 CodeBase)
Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD and USD/CAD: U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI2016-10-05 13:45 GMT | [USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)
[USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry.
EUR/USD M5: 27 pips price movement by ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news events
USD/CAD M5: 43 pips range price movement by ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news events
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australian Trade Balance and 7 pips price movement
2016-10-06 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Trade Balance]
[AUD - Trade Balance] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month.
AUD/USD M5: 7 pips price movement by Australian Trade Balance news event
Technical Targets for EUR/USD by United Overseas Bank (based on the article)
H4 price is on bearish breakdown located below 100 SMA/200 SMA area. The price is breaking 1.1183 support level to below for the primary bearish trend to be continuing.
price. United Overseas Bank is expecting for this pair the ranging trend to be continuing:
"EUR spent another day going nowhere and at this stage, there is no
pre-indication that the current neutral phase is about to end soon. In
other words, the expected sideway trading range of 1.1120/1.1290 that
was first highlighted about 2 weeks ago is still intact."
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