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Monday, April 9th
The EUR/USD pair struggles to find a direction this Monday, trading within the range of 1.2265-85, while failing to benefit from the decline of the US dollar. The broad sell-off of the US dollar is mostly explained by Friday’s NFP numbers, which came below market expectations. Moreover, subsequent speech of J.Powell also failed to provide the dollar with any support, as the head of the Bank reiterated all the same that we heard before. On the other hand, easing concerns over a US-China trade war give some respite to markets today, thus boosting risk appetite among investors, which negatively affects the common currency. The next risky event for the pair will be the release of the FOMC minutes, which is scheduled for Wednesday, but today the economic calendar won’t bring us anything important, leaving the pair at the mercy of broad market sentiment and the US dollar price dynamics.
The GBP/USD pair remains positive today, having refreshed its 8-day highs above the level of 1.4100, on the back of several bullish factors. First, ongoing sell-off of the US dollar, triggered by weaker-then-expected US NFP numbers and unemployment rate, continues to dominate the market this Monday, thus accelerating pair’s upside rally. Moreover, improved risk-on sentiment on the back of easing market speculations regarding a potential US-China trade war also supports the higher-yielding pound at the beginning of this trading week. In the day ahead, nothing important is scheduled in the data calendar for this Monday, so broad market trend will remain the key determinant during this trading session.
The NZD/USD pair remains the top gainer of this Asia, having broken through the level of 0.7300. The main reason of pair’s recent upside rally could be called broad weakness of the US dollar, following disappointing NFP numbers, released at the end of the last week. Adding to this, returned risk appetite amid lack of any important data releases this session ahead is another factor, which drives the pair in the northward direction. However, further improvement of risk-on sentiment could be limited, as investors are still awaiting for Chinese respond on the latest D.Trump’s tariffs. Looking ahead, today the pair will continue to follow broad market trend, backed by the US dollar price dynamics, as economic calendar won’t offer us anything noteworthy.
The USD/JPY pair trades with a mild bullish bias at the start of this trading week, getting closer to the level of 107, despite broad sell-off of the US dollar. It seems that interest for risky assets has returned to the market on the back of easing concerns over a US-China trade war, thus lending some pressure on the safe-haven yen. However, further bullish dynamics of the pair looks limited, as broad weakness of the US dollar, caused by weak Friday’s data from the US labor market, remains one of the key driving factors across the market. Today widespread trend and the US dollar price dynamics will continue to determine pair’s further direction, as the US hasn’t prepared anything important for this Monday.
Major events of the day:
Support and resistance levels for the major currency pairs:
EURUSD S. 1.2185 R. 1.2337
USDJPY S. 106.36 R. 107.72
GBPUSD S. 1.3935 R. 1.4181
USDCHF S. 0.9534 R. 0.9676
AUDUSD S. 0.7634 R. 0.7718
NZDUSD S. 0.7222 R. 0.7306
USDCAD S. 1.2701 R. 1.2833
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