Weekly Trading Forecast: Are the Dollar, Yen and Pound’s Trends Turning?
The Dollar and Yen experienced sharp change in trend this past week motivated by event risk. Will these trends find momentum, and will key UK and Australian event risk ahead motivate the same for the Pound and Aussie?
US Dollar Forecast – USDollar Losing Haven and Yield High Ground, NFPs and Risk Critical
The USDollar dropped every day this past week resulting in a 1.4 percent slide and the longest series of daily losses in 15 months. That said, despite the steady tumble – punctuated by Friday’s sharp drop – the Greenback’s fundamentals still confer it a considerable air of authority.
Japanese Yen Forecast – USD/JPY Downside Targets in Focus Ahead of U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls
USD/JPY may continue to give back the rebound from the June low (98.78) amid waning expectations for a 2016 Fed rate-hike, while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continues to endorse a wait-and-see approach for monetary policy.
Chinese Yuan Forecast – Yuan to Retrace on Currency Basket Re-Balancing
The onshore Yuan (USD/CNY) strengthened against the US Dollar for all five trading days this week, rising by +0.76% during that span of time.
Australian Dollar Forecast – Australian CPI at 17-Year Lows Further Opens Door for RBA Cuts
Last week we discussed the move-lower in the Australian Dollar after RBA minutes were released from the meeting in earlier July; showing that the bank may be more amenable to cutting rates should data continue to flag signs of weakness in the Australian economy.
Canadian Dollar Forecast - Canadian Industrial Production Boosts Loonie Despite Weak GDP
The price of USD/CAD fell back toward the Weekly Pivot Support near 1.31/3000 on Friday when Canada released Support Raw Material Prices, but underwhelming May GDP.
Gold Forecast – Gold Prices at Resistance into August Open- NFPs In Focus
Gold prices snapped a two-week losing streak with the previous metal rallying more than 1.7% to trade at 1346 ahead of the New York close on Friday.