SuperTrader Daily Market Update

17 February 2016, 14:27
Mohammed Abdulwadud Soubra
0
112
17 February 2016, Time of Writing: 09:00 am

SuperTrader Daily Market Update

  
Major Calendar News
Time (GMT)NameCountryVol.Prev.        Cons.        Sentiment
09:30Average Earnings Index 3m/yGBPHigh1.9%2.0%Negative
09:30Claimant Count ChangeGBPHigh-4.3K-2.9KNeutral
09:30Unemployment RateGBPMed.5.1%5.0%Positive
13:30Building PermitsUSDHigh1.20M1.21MNeutral
13:30PPI m/mUSDHigh-0.2%-0.2%Neutral
13:30Core PPI m/mUSDMed.0.1%0.1%Neutral
13:30Housing StartsUSDMed.1.15M1.16MNegative
13:30Foreign Securities PurchasesCADMed.2.58B-6.05BNeutral
14:15Capacity Utilization RateUSDMed.76.5%76.7%Negative
14:15Industrial Production m/mUSDMed.-0.4%0.3%Negative
19:00FOMC Meeting MinutesUSDHigh--Dovish
21:45PPI Input q/qNZDHigh1.6%-Neutral
23:00FOMC Member Bullard SpeechUSDMed.--Hawkish
00:30 (18/02)Employment ChangeAUDHigh-1.0K12.9KPositive
00:30 (18/02)Unemployment RateAUDHigh5.8%5.8%Neutral
01:30 (17/02)Chinese CPI y/yAUDMed.1.6%1.9%Neutral
01:30 (17/02)Chinese PPI y/yAUDMed.-5.9%-5.5%Neutral
Vol.: Volatility; Prev.: Previous; Cons.: Consensus
Key Support/Resistance Levels
H4R2R1PivotS1S2
EURUSD1.12221.11821.11521.11131.1084
GBPUSD1.46031.44521.43641.42141.4123
USDJPY115.45114.80114.19113.51112.92
AUDUSD0.72260.71700.71260.70700.7026
USDCAD1.40281.39441.38241.37401.3619
Latest News

Yesterday’s meeting regarding the stabilization of oil prices between ministers from Saudi Arabia, Russia, Qatar and Venezuela ended in disappointment for the markets as the nations agreed in principal to freeze output at January levels instead of cutting oil production. Oil prices were up nearly 6% as the meeting was announced, though ended the day 1.4% lower spurring USDCAD to initially fall 1%, yet finish the day marginally higher. Elsewhere, the Pound was the biggest loser amongst the majors yesterday, as inflation data came in as expected while the housing price index, core CPI and retail price index all came in below expectations, causing GBPUSD to fall by 1.3% from its highs.

The busy economic calendar continues today with the UK expected to release employment and earnings data. The UK’s economy continues to produce jobs at a remarkable rate, evidenced by the falling unemployment rate, though earnings remain a laggard. During the North American session, the US is expected to announce building permits, producer price index and industrial production figures. Also on the agenda will be the release of the FOMC meeting minutes from the FED’s last meeting, which is expected to show a more cautionary sentiment amongst FOMC members. Lastly, during the overnight session, Australia is expected to publish employment data.

Daily Technical Analysis
 Summary:Trend:Momentum:Daily Target:Volatility (14D):
EURUSDBUYSIDEWAYSBUY1.1225111 Pips
GBPUSDSELLSELLSELL1.4205151 Pips
USDJPYSELLSELLSELL112.50161 Pips
AUDUSDSELLSIDEWAYSSELL0.702594 Pips
USDCADBUYSIDEWAYSBUY1.3950149 Pips
Daily Technical Analysis is conducted using proprietary technology based on advanced methods of time-series analysis and custom build technical indicators. Detailed quantitative analysis of the market state on different timeframes let us accurately evaluate current Trend and Momentum. Going further we deduce the daily target from the multiple factors such as long and short term momentum, different volatility measures, mode of market behaviour and other characteristics. For a ranged market we will show a range instead of a single number.
Daily Forecasts
 Spot Price*Last Update1 Day1 Week1 Month
EURUSD1.116817/02/20161.12251.111.10
GBPUSD1.429117/02/20161.42051.431.43
USDJPY113.7017/02/2016112.50115115
AUDUSD0.708917/02/20160.70250.690.69
USDCAD1.387217/02/20161.39501.401.40

*spot prices as of 07:00GMT

Daily Forecasts consists of both technical and fundamental analysis as well as a review of open sources from major FX contributors

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