The Week Ahead - Feb 09 2015

8 February 2015, 23:14
Andrius Kulvinskas
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MONDAY, FEB 09AUD ::: RBA's Governor Glenn Stevens Speech

EUR ::: Trade Balance s.a. (Dec)

AUDUSD traders will get some clues regarding future monetary policy from Governor Glenn Speech on Monday. Currently AUDUSD built support at 0.7620 & during the last 3 days the price is above 0.770 showing a potential correction, yet on monthly chart AUDUSD might reach 0.698 the buying zone formed above the support from 2008 at the level 0.6000

Europe Trade Balance as the difference in value between imported & exported goods during Dec is expected to increase showing that more goods were exported than imported & it might give some strength for EURUSD. Last support for EURUSD was 1.1100 and EURUSD managed to correct to 1.153 to collapse again, currently at 1.13. A green Trade Balance on Monday might help the price to hold from falling fast.

TUESDAY, FEB 10

CNY ::: Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Jan)

CNY ::: Consumer Price Index (MoM) (Jan)

CNY ::: Producer Price Index (YoY) (Jan)

Market is expecting a red number from China. Inflation usually lead to a respond from the central bank by raising interest rates, & this news event might have a strong impact on AUDUSD chart due to the high level of import & export between Australia & China. 

WEDNESDAY, FEB 11

GBP ::: Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report 

AUD ::: Home Loans (Dec)

Bank Of England quarterly report regarding inflation and economic analysis might show some stability, & GBPUSD might benefit from that to correct more up during that report. On the other hand if that report showed a negative aspect regarding  UK economic health then GBPUSD might collapse & retest 1.500 supp level. Currently GBPUSD is above 1.52 & fail to correct above 1.535 & 1.50 support level still in range in case GBPUSD want to fall again.

THURSDAY, FEB 12

AUD ::: Employment Change s.a. (Jan)

AUD ::: Unemployment Rate s.a. (Jan)

GBP ::: BOE's Governor Carney speech 

USD ::: Retail Sales (MoM) (Jan)

AUD ::: RBA's Governor Glenn Stevens Speech

Market is expecting a green number for Change in total value of sales at the retail level in the US, a release which might give strength for US Dollar & let the market fall again retesting important supports.

FRIDAY, FEB 13

EUR ::: Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) (Q4)Prelimin

Eurostat Gross Domestic Product report which measure total value of all goods and services produced by the Eur-ozone,  reflecting the economic health in Europe & the market is expecting a stable number... yet in case the number came in red then EURUSD might collapse on Friday & reach new support levels. 

Happy Trading,

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