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It is Friday and the US dollar is going up. The greenback has been going on a roller coaster over the past five days as the immediate outlook is quite opaque. In the US, the dollar has been able to hold ground so far, thanks to buoyed optimism regarding Trump tax reform...
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Jiming Huang, 20 October 2017, 13:28
The deadline for Catalonia to provide clarity on independence declarations has come and gone. In the eyes of Madrid the lack of a response was the same as maintained Catalonia demand for independence. Rajoy and the Spanish government have been unwilling to take their feet off the petal...
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Jiming Huang, 19 October 2017, 14:01
The New Zealand dollar took a hit on Thursday, falling more than 1.70% against the US dollar as investors reacted to the outcome of the coalition government. The Kiwi started to tumble around mid-day local time following rumours that the Labour Party was about to form a coalition government...
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Jiming Huang, 19 October 2017, 14:00
If markets need further evidence they should fade everything US president Trump say in public we got the semi-annual Treasury report. The most glaring omission was the US treasury against declined to label China a currency manipulator despite very public tough attitude...
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Jiming Huang, 18 October 2017, 13:32
Crude oil prices extended gains on Tuesday with the WTI and Brent rising 0.50% and 0.80%, respectively, amid mounting geopolitical tensions and shrinking oil inventories...
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Jiming Huang, 18 October 2017, 13:31
Today will be released the US industrial production and is expected to increase to 0.3%m/m from a month earlier at -0.9%m/m. The greenback which has largely weakened since the start of the year is now facing upside pressures since European political worries are accelerating...
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Jiming Huang, 17 October 2017, 13:27
The minutes of the last RBA meeting were released early this morning...
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Jiming Huang, 17 October 2017, 13:25
The single currency decreased after the market opening against the dollar. The Austrian Legislative Election brought new uncertainties...
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Jiming Huang, 16 October 2017, 13:58
The US dollar experienced another broad-based sell-off last Friday amid disappointing inflation and retail sales data. Commodities currencies benefited the most of this renewed USD weakness as investors discounted an aggressive Fed rate path. The single currency rose 0.58% to 1...
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Jiming Huang, 16 October 2017, 13:57
The sharp rise in crypto-currency valuations in recent months is a speculative bubble, says UBS Chief Investment Office (CIO). Over the last 25 years, more central banks have become politically independent. Over the past 25 years, inflation has been brought under control...
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Jiming Huang, 15 October 2017, 04:03
Why is inflation low? The best argument is that independent central banks (run by economists) are good at their job. Over the last 25 years, more central banks have become politically independent. Over the past 25 years, inflation has been brought under control...
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Jiming Huang, 15 October 2017, 04:01
The Ottawa round of NAFTA negotiation have turned nasty. The first causality has been the driving ethos of globalizations and cooperation, replaced with strong protectionist bias. In this negative environment, missteps were bound to occur...
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Jiming Huang, 13 October 2017, 14:17
Brexit Negotiations are back into centre stage. The EU 27 Leaders are meeting today in Brussels to discuss about the further trade agreement with the UK. This promises to be intense as 27 Countries that must agree seems like a very difficult task...
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Jiming Huang, 13 October 2017, 14:16
The US dollar has reversed gains as investors’ confidence in Trump’s tax reform fell again. After sliding as much as 1.50% since the beginning of the week, the dollar index consolidated slightly above 93 on Friday morning...
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Jiming Huang, 13 October 2017, 14:15
There is scant chance that the Euro will breach CHF 1.20 before the European Central Bank meeting on monetary policy of 14 December, but after that? A crawl-back to 1.20 – which the Swiss National Bank held as a floor until in early 2015 it let the franc float – could be on the cards...
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Jiming Huang, 12 October 2017, 13:28 #eurchf
Oil-exporters’ cartel OPEC has released its outlook for crude to trade at US$55 per barrel in 2018, about 4% higher than its current ‘reference basket’ price. We are not so sure...
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Jiming Huang, 12 October 2017, 13:26
What was expected to have been a bold declaration of independence turned out to be a weak statement. Catalan’s President Puigdemont held back from a total declaration of independence merely stated that he had the right to do so...
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Jiming Huang, 11 October 2017, 13:39
The week has been pretty light in term of economic data so far. Today is different as the minutes of the September FOMC meeting are due for release later today...
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Jiming Huang, 11 October 2017, 13:37
Silver has strongly bounced back since the start of October and is back above 17$. The precious metal has been very volatile lately. The price of precious metals such as Gold and Silver have been weighed down by the number of “paper” contracts banks have used and abused over the last decade...
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Jiming Huang, 10 October 2017, 13:29 #silver
We suspect the markets is underestimating the risk involved with the Catalonia independence movements. EURUSD 1 month implied volatility continue to decline despite potential event risk. Markets generally price the most obviously path of events...
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Jiming Huang, 10 October 2017, 13:27