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凭借超过16年的金融市场实战经验,我专注于为MT4/MT5开发高性能外汇交易策略、技术指标及自动化智能交易系统(Expert Advisors)。我的工作涵盖精密设计的交易系统,注重准确性、稳定性和实际可操作性。

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Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#EURJPY: Important Breakout

EURJPY finally broke and closed above a major horizontal resistance cluster on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a key support now.

I will expect a bullish continuation to 145.0 / 146.3 levels.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#EURUSD: Waiting For a Breakout

After a strong bearish movement, the pair is consolidating within a narrow horizontal trading range.
1.065 - 1.068 is its support.
I am waiting for its breakout (daily candle close below) to be short.

The pair will most likely drop then.
The goal will be 1.053
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
MarketBreakdown | Dollar Index, GBPUSD, USDCAD, EURNZD

Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watchlist.

1️⃣ Dollar Index (#DXY) daily time frame
The market is consolidating within a narrow horizontal trading range.
Taking into consideration that the index is very bullish from the beginning of February,
I believe that a bullish rally will continue.

Wait for a bullish breakout of the resistance of the range,
daily candle close above that will most likely trigger a bullish continuation.

2️⃣ #GBPUSD daily time frame
The pair was rejected heavily from a key daily structure resistance.
A rejection candle with a long wick was formed.
It indicates an intense bearish pressure.

I believe that the pair will most likely keep falling.

3️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame
The market is trading within a wide horizontal trading range.
Its support was reached yesterday, and the market was rejected from that.
Probabilities are high that a resistance of the range will be reached soon.

4️⃣ #EURNZD daily time frame
The price is forming a substantial ascending triangle formation.
A bullish breakout of its resistance will initiate a solid bullish wave.
Wait for a daily candle close above the neckline as a confirmation.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#USDJPY: Will We Go Higher?

Update for USDJPY.

Earlier, we spotted a confirmed breakout of a falling parallel channel on a daily.
The price has nicely respected the underlined blue zone we considered the buy zone.

The price bounced from that and set a new local higher-high higher close.

I will expect a further bullish continuation.
Next resistance - 134.5
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
GOLD (#XAUUSD): Detailed Structure Analysis

Here are the important key levels to watch on Gold.

Resistance 1: Major broken trend line
Resistance 2: 1897 - 1904 area
Resistance 3: 1946 - 1959 area

Support 1: 1817 - 1832 area
Support 2: 1765 - 1777 area

The market remains relatively weak.
It looks like the market may retest the broken trend line.
Watch carefully!
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Here is my latest structure analysis for ⚠️NZDUSD.

Resistance 1: 0.6412 - 0.644 area
Resistance 2: 0.6505 - 0.6538 area

Support 1: 0.619 - 0.6226 area
Support 2: 0.6155 - 0.6165 area
Support 3: 0.606 - 0.6095 area

Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
GBPCAD is taking off from a key horizontal support.
The price has formed a bullish engulfing candle on 4h, approaching that structure.
A double bottom on an hourly time frame was formed.

I expect a pullback to: 1.618 / 1.622
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
USDCAD is trading within a wide horizontal trading range on a daily.

Approaching its resistance, the price formed a double-top pattern.

Its neckline was broken on Friday.



I expect a bearish move to 1.328 now
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#GBPNZD: Bearish Move From Key Level

🔻GBPNZD reached an important supply cluster last week.
The price formed a double top pattern on an hourly time frame approaching that.

I expect a bearish continuation to 1.903
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Gold (#XAUUSD): Bearish Outlook For This Week Explained

An important thing happened on 🔻Gold this week.
After a strong bearish movement, the price reached a major rising trend line.
The price was coiling on that since Monday.
On Thursday, it was broken, though.

The price closed below that, forming a bearish engulfing candle.

I believe that the market may keep falling next week.
Next support on focus is 1817 - 1833 area.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
EURUSD is moving into a correction phase. The price is resting against the conditional support at 1.065 and forming a bearish flag . This pattern shows us the potential to revive the fall further.

The price is testing the support zone of 1.07116 in a bearish flag format. Breakdown of the support of the local range may lead to the liquidation of the buying liquidity and activation of the momentum for a strong bearish impulse.

However I expect in the near term an exit of the price from the range downwards, breakdown of the support of 1.07116 and price movement towards 1.065, and then to 1.0430
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
#AUDCAD: Bearish Outlook Explained

🔻AUDCAD looks very bearish:
the price has broken 2 rising trend lines on a daily,
formed a double top and broke its neckline as well.

The price is retesting the confluence zone based on the broken structures.

Probabilities are high that the pair will drop soon.
Goals: 0.924 / 0.916
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Gold (#XAUUSD): That Was a Breakout 🟡

So it turned out that 🔻Gold broke a major rising trend line yesterday.
The market has successfully closed below that on a daily engulfing the last 3 bullish candles.

That violation may push the price lower.
Next support: 1833
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
Here is my latest structure analysis for WTI Crude Oil.

Support 1: 72.3 - 73.2 area

Support 2: 70.0 - 71.4 area

Resistance 1: 81.7 - 85.2 wide supply area

Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
USDJPY is testing a key horizontal demand zone on 4H.
The price formed a double bottom pattern on that and broke its neckline then.

I expect a bullish movement to 132.7
Kestutis Balciunas
Kestutis Balciunas
EURJPY dropped nicely from a key daily structure resistance.
I think that the pair can go even lower.

I expect a bearish move to 140.14
Kestutis Balciunas
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