Directional Efficiency

# Directional Efficiency - Net path versus gross path

*Category: Trend | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1*

## Short description

> Signed ratio between the net distance travelled by price and the gross path actually covered. It separates straight trends from disorderly advances that burn capital.

### Overview

Two markets can rise by the same amount over twenty bars and yet be operationally opposite. In the first, price rises almost in a straight line and a reasonable stop is never touched. In the second, price rises while swinging constantly, covering four times the useful distance: the same stop is hit three times before the target is reached. Directional Efficiency measures exactly that difference. It divides the net distance between today price and the price N bars ago by the sum of all absolute bar by bar changes, keeping the sign of the move. A value of +0.90 describes an almost straight advance, +0.20 a laboured one, values near zero a market moving a lot while going nowhere.

### How the calculation works

1. For each bar the gross path is measured, that is the absolute change of the applied price versus the previous bar.
2. With InpUseTrueRange enabled the gross path becomes the True Range, thereby including gaps and the intra-bar excursion.
3. The net path is simply the difference between the current price and the price InpPeriod bars earlier, with its own sign.
4. Efficiency is the ratio of the two. Since the gross path is always at least as large as the net one, the result naturally stays between -1 and +1.
5. With True Range the ratio can exceed one when gaps occur: it is therefore clamped to keep the scale readable.
6. The histogram is coloured beyond the InpCleanLevel threshold and accompanied by a signal average.

### How to use it

- Use it to decide whether a move is worth chasing: below the efficiency threshold the trend exists but costs too much in stops.
- Size the stop by efficiency: low efficiency means more room is needed, hence a smaller position for the same risk.
- A high value beginning to fall while price keeps rising indicates the move is becoming disorderly: a fatigue warning.
- Comparing efficiency across several instruments in the same session helps choose where to trade: always prefer the more efficient market.
- Enable True Range on markets with frequent gaps, such as cash equities and indices, where ignoring them would distort the measure.

### Who it is for and on which timeframes

It is useful to anyone choosing between instruments or deciding how much to risk on a single trade, hence to discretionary traders and to portfolio-of-systems managers alike. It works well from M15 to D1. On lower timeframes the gross path is dominated by spread and microstructure moves, and efficiency tends to stay low by construction, which makes the measure less discriminating. No statistical background is needed: the ratio between distance covered and useful distance is intuitive.

### Practical example of reading a signal

A trader compares two candidates for the day. On EURUSD H1 efficiency reads +0.15: price rose forty pips while covering over two hundred, and indeed the chart is a sequence of rebounds. On XAUUSD H1 efficiency reads +0.72: price rose almost linearly. For the same directional expectation the second trade needs a far tighter stop to be protected and has a much lower chance of being closed by noise. The choice falls on XAUUSD, while on EURUSD one may switch to range logic instead of trend logic.

## Input parameters

| Parameter | Default | Description |
|---|---|---|
| `InpPeriod` | 20 | Number of bars the ratio is measured over. Short windows make efficiency very variable, long windows flatten it towards average values. |
| `InpSignalPeriod` | 9 | Period of the signal average overlaid on the histogram. |
| `InpCleanLevel` | 0.40 | Symmetric threshold beyond which the move is deemed orderly and the histogram is coloured. On very noisy instruments lowering it to 0.30 is advisable. |
| `InpUseTrueRange` | false | With true the gross path includes gaps and intra-bar excursion. Recommended on equities, cash indices and markets with trading interruptions. |
| `InpAppliedPrice` | PRICE_CLOSE | Price on which net and gross paths are measured. |

## Advantages / strengths

- It measures a market dimension, the quality of the move, that no momentum oscillator captures.
- Fixed scale between -1 and +1 on any instrument and timeframe: values are immediately comparable with no calibration.
- It has a direct use in risk sizing, not just in analysis.
- Light computation, no repaint, no external dependency.

## Limitations and warnings

- It does not tell when to enter: it only says whether the type of move favours a directional strategy.
- On very low timeframes the spread inflates the gross path and systematically pushes efficiency towards zero.
- A high value can also be produced by a single violent burst followed by stillness: efficiency does not distinguish a continuous move from one concentrated in a single bar.
- The value depends sensitively on InpPeriod: changing the window can produce very different readings on the same chart.

**No repaint:** values printed on a closed bar are never modified afterwards.

**Disclaimer.** This product is a technical analysis tool, not an automated trading system, and it offers no profit guarantee whatsoever. Financial markets carry the risk of total loss of the invested capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Every signal must be confirmed with your own analysis, a money management plan and prior testing on a demo account. The author is not responsible for trading decisions taken on the basis of this indicator.

## Suggested tags / keywords for MQL5

`efficiency`, `trend quality`, `noise`, `risk sizing`, `trend filter`, `oscillator`, `no repaint`, `market selection`
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# Adaptive Slope Ribbon - ATR-normalised regression slope ribbon *Category: Trend | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Five linear regression slopes over growing horizons, normalised in ATR units and comparable across instruments. The histogram shows the mean slope coloured by the level of agreement between time scales. ## Fu
# Fractal Trend Channel - Structural channel from confirmed swings *Category: Trend | Difficulty: beginner | Window: chart window (overlaid on price) | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Step channel built from the last confirmed fractal swings, with a midline coloured by market structure: higher highs and lows, lower highs and lows, or mixed structure. ### Overview Reading structure through
# Volatility Adaptive MA - Variable speed moving average *Category: Trend | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: chart window (overlaid on price) | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M5, M15, M30, H1, H4* ## Short description > A moving average whose smoothing factor is driven by the ratio between short and long term volatility: it accelerates during breakouts and slows down in compressed phases, cutting false crossovers. ### Overview Eve
# Trend Persistence Index - Persistence versus randomness *Category: Trend | Difficulty: advanced | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Compares the direction changes actually observed with those expected from a purely random series. Above zero the market persists in one direction, below zero it keeps flipping. ### Overview In a random walk the sign of the
# Kalman Trend Filter - Level and velocity Kalman filter *Category: Trend | Difficulty: advanced | Window: chart window (overlaid on price) | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > A two state Kalman filter that simultaneously estimates price level and velocity. The gain self-adjusts: it trusts the model when data are consistent and re-adapts immediately to shocks. ### Overview The Kalman filter
# Multi Scale Trend Agreement - Consensus across eight horizons *Category: Trend | Difficulty: beginner | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M5, M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Checks price position against its own average on eight geometrically spaced scales and condenses the result into a single score from -100 to +100. ### Overview A trend worth the name is recognised from whatev
# Trend Age Counter - Regime age versus typical duration *Category: Trend | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Counts how many bars the current regime has lasted and compares it with the average duration of all past regimes on the same instrument. It measures trend maturity, not strength. ### Overview Every trend indicator answer
# Regression Confidence Baseline - Bands on residual error *Category: Trend | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: chart window (overlaid on price) | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Linear regression baseline with bands built on the residual standard error instead of the price standard deviation. Bands widen when the move loses order, not when price runs. ### Overview Classic volatility band
# Trend Exhaustion Meter - Composite exhaustion score *Category: Trend | Difficulty: advanced | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > A 0 to 100 score combining stretch from the mean, directional saturation and momentum fade. It measures the continuation risk of a move, not its reversal. ### Overview No single symptom says a trend is about to end, but when se
# Normalized Momentum Z - Momentum in standard scores *Category: Momentum | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Standardises momentum against its own recent historical distribution and returns a z score. A value of +2 marks a thrust stronger than roughly 97 per cent of the instrument recent moves. ### Overview Raw momentum ha
# Momentum Curvature - Acceleration versus velocity *Category: Momentum | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Measures price acceleration, the second derivative of the smoothed series, and compares it with velocity. It detects loss of thrust before direction changes. ### Overview Anyone who drives knows the brake pedal acts o
# Rate Of Change Spectrum - Which horizon is driving *Category: Momentum | Difficulty: advanced | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Standardises the rate of change over six horizons and identifies which one is driving the move. It shows the dominant scale score and its rank. ### Overview Knowing the market is rising tells you little. Knowing whether it ri
# Impulse Strength Gauge - Movement weighted by volume *Category: Momentum | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M5, M15, M30, H1, H4* ## Short description > Weights every bar by combining body size in ATR units with volume relative to its average, then accumulates the contributions. It separates wide but empty bars from genuinely supported impulses. ### Overview A wide
# Dual Horizon Momentum Delta - Short versus long, time corrected *Category: Momentum | Difficulty: advanced | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Compares momentum on two horizons after normalising them by the square root of time, a correction without which the long horizon would always look larger by pure construction. ### Overview Directly comparing
# Impulse Retrace Ratio - Impulse size versus retracement size *Category: Momentum | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Groups consecutive same sign changes into runs and compares the average size of bullish runs with that of bearish ones. It measures whether impulses are larger, not more numerous. ### Overview A healthy upt
# Momentum Thrust Counter - Counting thrusts beyond threshold *Category: Momentum | Difficulty: beginner | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Counts bars moving beyond an ATR multiple and reports the net balance. The total line separates calm from battle, both of which show a balance near zero. ### Overview Most bars on a chart carry no information: t
# Momentum Divergence Scanner - Divergences without repaint *Category: Momentum | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: chart window (overlaid on price) | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Flags price to momentum divergences using confirmed swings only. The arrow appears on confirmation and is never withdrawn, unlike almost every other divergence indicator. ### Overview Almost every divergence
# Elastic Momentum Band - Momentum driven asymmetric channel *Category: Momentum | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: chart window (overlaid on price) | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4* ## Short description > A channel deforming with momentum: the band favouring the move draws closer to the average, the opposite one moves away. It makes breaks in direction easier and counter breaks more selective. ### Overview A symm
# Momentum Entropy Filter - Order versus randomness in thrusts *Category: Momentum | Difficulty: advanced | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Computes the Shannon entropy of the recent momentum distribution and converts it into an order score from 0 to 100. It separates markets with recurring structure from those without regularity. ### Overview Shannon e
# Realized Volatility Cone - Historical volatility percentiles *Category: Volatility | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Draws realized volatility together with the percentiles of its own historical distribution. It tells whether the current level is high or low for that specific instrument. ### Overview Knowing that realized vo
# Volatility Forecast EWMA - Forecasting the next bar *Category: Volatility | Difficulty: advanced | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Estimates next bar volatility with an EWMA model on variance, the same scheme used in portfolio risk management, alongside the volatility actually observed. ### Overview Every volatility indicator looks backwards and
# Volatility Regime Classifier - Classification with hysteresis *Category: Volatility | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Classifies volatility into four regimes using a hysteresis state machine, eliminating the constant flipping typical of fixed thresholds. The active threshold is drawn. ### Overview Classifying volatility
# Garman Klass Volatility - An estimator using the whole OHLC *Category: Volatility | Difficulty: advanced | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > A volatility estimator using open, high, low and close instead of closes only. Its ratio to the classic estimate separates intra-bar movement from close-to-close movement. ### Overview The standard deviation o
# Overnight Gap Risk - The risk stops cannot cover *Category: Volatility | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Stocks | Suggested timeframes: H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Splits each bar change into gap and intra-bar movement, and reports the share of risk attributable to gaps, the part no stop can protect against. ### Overview The risk of a position held past the close is not the same as that of the same position closed intraday, and the dif
# Volatility Breakout Projection - Levels projected from the open *Category: Volatility | Difficulty: beginner | Window: chart window (overlaid on price) | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M5, M15, M30, H1* ## Short description > Anchors a reference to each session open and projects two pairs of levels computed as fractions of the average daily range. Levels stay fixed for the whole session. ### Overview If an instrument covers on ave
# Compression Expansion Detector - Squeeze and release *Category: Volatility | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M15, M30, H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Measures how far short term volatility has narrowed relative to the reference, counts how many bars the compression has lasted and highlights the bars following the release. ### Overview Volatility is not stable:
# Intraday Volatility Seasonality - Hourly volatility profile *Category: Volatility | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: M5, M15, M30, H1* ## Short description > Builds the instrument average hourly volatility profile and compares it with the actual range of the current bar. It separates normally quiet hours from genuine anomalies. ### Overview Intraday volatility is n
# Downside Upside Vol Ratio - Risk asymmetry *Category: Volatility | Difficulty: intermediate | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Computes two separate semi-deviations, one on negative returns only and one on positive ones, and reports their proportion. It measures an asymmetry standard deviation conceals. ### Overview Standard deviation treats an upward and a
# Volatility Shock Decay - Half-life of post-shock recovery *Category: Volatility | Difficulty: advanced | Window: separate window below the chart | Markets: Universal (Forex, indices, commodities, crypto, stocks) | Suggested timeframes: H1, H4, D1* ## Short description > Estimates the persistence coefficient of volatility and derives its half-life, how many bars a deviation from normal needs to halve. It also shows the size of the current shock. ### Overview When volatility explodes, the
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