📊 Technical Overview – Major FX, Gold & BTC
📅 October 13, 2025
🟩🟥⚪ Color Legend
🟩 = Bullish (Uptrend) 🟥 = Bearish (Downtrend) ⚪ = Neutral (Range / Correction)
💱 Multi-Timeframe Analysis
| Pair / Asset | 5-min | 15-min | 1-hr | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| USD/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| GBP/USD | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| AUD/USD | 🟥 Sell | ⚪ Neutral | ⚪ Neutral | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| USD/CAD | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| USD/CHF | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| USD/NZD | ⚪ Neutral | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| EUR/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| GBP/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| AUD/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| CAD/JPY | 🟥 Sell | 🟥 Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| CHF/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| XAU/USD (Gold) | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| NZD/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| EUR/GBP | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Sell |
| EUR/AUD | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Sell | 🟥 Sell |
| NZD/CAD | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| BTC/USD | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Sell | ⚪ Neutral | ⚪ Neutral |
⚙️ Trend Summary
📉 Bearish Bias – Expanding Risk-Off Sentiment
-
Broad weakness in the euro, pound, and commodity currencies.
→ EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD continue lower across all timeframes.
→ Global growth concerns and renewed dollar buying drive capital outflows from risk assets. -
Cross-yen pairs show short-term pullbacks (yen rebound).
→ EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY remain bullish on the daily chart, but short-term corrections are underway amid intervention caution.
📈 Bullish Bias – Dollar-Led Structure
-
Dollar strength reignites, led by USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/NZD, all bullish across every timeframe.
→ Supported by solid U.S. data and expectations of steady interest rates. -
Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm around $4,070, showing strong dip-buying interest even after brief corrections.
💎 Key Highlights
| Category | Pairs / Assets | Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| ✅ Uptrend Continuation | USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/NZD, XAU/USD | Driven by dollar strength and safe-haven demand. |
| ⚠️ Correction Phase | USD/JPY, Cross-yen pairs (EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY) | Temporary yen rebound amid intervention vigilance. |
| 🚨 Bearish Momentum | EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/CAD | Risk-off selling pressure persists. |
| 💡 Neutral / Indecisive | BTC/USD | Moves independently of gold and dollar trends; momentum fading. |
🌍 Market Themes (October 2025)
| Theme | Current Situation |
|---|---|
| 💵 Dollar Strength Persists | Supported by strong U.S. economy and high-rate outlook. |
| 💴 Yen Rebound | Political uncertainty and intervention speculation fuel temporary yen buying. |
| 💰 Gold, Oil & BTC Mixed | Gold stays high; BTC softens; commodities reflect risk-off tone. |
| 🇪🇺 European Weakness | Growth slowdown and ECB’s dovish bias weigh on euro bloc. |
🔍 Top 3 Pairs to Watch
-
USD/CAD – Holding above 1.40, maintaining a firm uptrend supported by soft Canadian data.
-
XAU/USD (Gold) – Above $4,000 with consistent dip-buying; bullish bias intact.
-
USD/JPY – Short-term weakness but long-term uptrend intact while above ¥152.
⚠️ Downside Risks / Sell-on-Rally Setups
-
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD: Favor sell-on-rally strategies.
-
NZD/CAD, EUR/AUD: Could extend declines in further risk-off waves.
📌 Summary Comment
The market structure shows broad dollar strength, weakness in euro and AUD, and a temporary yen rebound.
Cross-yen pairs are correcting but remain bullish on the daily horizon.
Dollar strength, firm gold, and risk-off sentiment define the second half of October.
Among majors, USD/CAD and XAU/USD continue to serve as key directional indicators for overall market tone.
