Sergey Ershov / Blog
Last week was risk-off, but investors did not seek protection in gold. Stress around AI-infrastructure financing hit technology stocks and Treasury yields, escalation around Iran supported oil, while metals were sold off...
Last week reversed the dollar mood. US CPI failed to give the dollar fresh momentum: after EUR/USD hit a new yearly low, the pair recovered sharply. Brent broke above its previous range, gold rebounded from local lows, while Bitcoin remained under pressure...
📊 TOP 5 pairs by probability of reaching +100 points by 25 October 2026 P (TP) – probability of reaching Take Profit +100 points P (SL) – probability of reaching Stop Loss -100 points 1. AUD/USD Current price: 0.697 Direction: SHORT 📈 P (TP): 71.2% 📉 P (SL): 28.8% 2. EUR/USD Current price: 1...
Last week showed that weak NFP was not enough to reverse the dollar trend. The dollar kept the advantage amid high US Treasury yields and European risks, although markets became more sensitive to macro data. Volatility also increased in Bitcoin, gold and oil...
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Last week strengthened the dollar scenario. EUR/USD continued falling towards its lowest levels since spring 2025, but Friday’s weak NFP slightly changed the balance. The US economy added only 29,000 jobs in September versus 90,000 expected, unemployment rose to 4.2%, and wage growth slowed...
The BOJ did what markets expected: on September 18, it raised the rate from 1.00% to 1.25%, the highest level in 31 years. In theory, this should have supported the yen. Instead, USD/JPY continued to rise...
Last week strengthened the dollar story: after the Fed raised rates to 4.00%, the US currency reached eight-week highs...
📊 TOP 5 pairs by probability of reaching +100 points by 1 October 2026 P (TP) – probability of reaching Take Profit +100 points P (SL) – probability of reaching Stop Loss -100 points 1. EUR/USD Current price: 1.1461 Direction: SELL 📈 P (TP): 71.0% 📉 P (SL): 29.0% 2. GBP/USD Current price: 1...