Week Ahead: Central Banks, PMIs and Inflation in Focus (Sep 22–26)

Week Ahead: Central Banks, PMIs and Inflation in Focus (Sep 22–26)

21 September 2025, 11:00
Luca Enrico Mattei
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📌 Mon, Sep 22

  • 🇦🇺 RBA Governor Bullock speaks on policy outlook.

  • 🇨🇳 Loan Prime Rates expected unchanged at 1Y 3.0%, 5Y 3.5%.

  • 🇬🇧 BoE Governor Bailey speech in the evening.

📌 Tue, Sep 23

  • 🇪🇺 Flash PMIs across France, Germany, and the euro area: manufacturing below 50, services near neutral.

  • 🇬🇧 UK Flash PMIs: weak manufacturing (47.0) vs resilient services (54.2).

  • 🇺🇸 US Flash PMIs: manufacturing 53.0, services 54.5; Richmond Fed index -7.

📌 Wed, Sep 24

  • 🇦🇺 Australia CPI y/y 2.8%.

  • 🇩🇪 Germany ifo Business Climate 89.0.

  • 🇺🇸 US New Home Sales 652K.

📌 Thu, Sep 25

  • 🇨🇭 SNB policy meeting: rate expected to stay at 0.00%.

  • 🇺🇸 US data pack: Final GDP q/q 3.3%, durable goods (core +1.0%, headline -2.8%), jobless claims, existing home sales, GDP price index 2.0%.

  • 🇯🇵 Tokyo CPI y/y 2.5%.

📌 Fri, Sep 26

  • 🇨🇦 Canada GDP m/m -0.1%.

  • 🇺🇸 US Core PCE (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) +0.3% m/m, UoM sentiment 55.4.

Focus of the Week

Markets are set for a data-heavy stretch.

  • Central banks: the SNB and RBA speakers may confirm a cautious stance, while BoE and Fed remarks will be parsed for any dovish hints.

  • Activity data: Flash PMIs across Europe and the US will give the first read on September’s momentum.

  • Inflation prints: Australia’s CPI and Japan’s Tokyo CPI could shape expectations for Asia-Pacific monetary policy.

  • US macro: GDP revision, durable goods, and Core PCE will be pivotal for the Fed’s path, while housing data will test household resilience.

Overall, the week ahead combines policy signals and growth/inflation checks — a mix that could spark volatility across FX, bonds and commodities if surprises emerge.


📢 This update is part of Global Markets Pulse, your daily source for macro insights and trading context.

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