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The nascent recovery in risk sentiment has entered a more mature phase on the back of the fresh easing measures by the ECB and the indications of additional stimulus at the National People’s Congress, China’s legislature...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 12 March 2016, 11:05 #forex
USD/JPY could be fairly volatile ahead of the BoJ and FOMC meetings, says BTMU. "The Fed may not raise the policy rate, and Chair Janet Yellen may also offer hints about the next policy move...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 12 March 2016, 11:03 #usd/jpy
The euro is paring the recovery that began in the middle of the ECB's press conference yesterday. The markets had reacted as one intuitively would expected to broad easing of interest rates and credit conditions...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 12 March 2016, 08:32
The market reaction to Draghi's indication, once again, that interest rate policy has run its course, will be debated for some time. Draghi delivered the goods that many investors said was lacking last December. The ECB policy was more than anyone expected. All the boxes were checked...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 12 March 2016, 08:06
USD/JPY Within Familar Range Stuck Around 20 DMA USD/JPY has been better bid for the past number of sessions, although the 20 dma has not been an easy task for the bulls, at 113.32 today while the pair has made highs of 113.92 on dollar weakness to close the week down...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 12 March 2016, 04:28
GBP/USD: Consolidation Now, at 1.47 by Year-End Analysts from FX Strategy at Lloyds Bank expect GBP/USD to trade around 1.47 by year-end. Key Quotes: “GBP/USD has had mixed fortunes over the past month. The currency pair fell below 1...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 12 March 2016, 04:24
USD/CHF Drops to Fresh 4-Week Lows USD/CHF had a short-lived recovery during the European session and resumed the decline on American hours. Recently fell to 0.9802, hitting the lowest level since February 15. The pair is about to end the week slightly above 0...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 12 March 2016, 04:21 #usdchf
Here are the three big surprises on yet another notable day for central banks and markets, and what they may imply for the future: • The European Central Bank went beyond expectations by deploying a full range of policy instruments, including a more negative deposit rate and increased asset purch...
Market News
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Francis Dogbe, 11 March 2016, 23:06
The strong dollar is no longer an excuse not to raise rates. Shortly before the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in December, Fed governor Lael Brainard gave a speech about why it should proceed cautiously...
Market News
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Francis Dogbe, 11 March 2016, 23:04 #Fed
The following are the latest technical setups for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, EUR/CHF, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and USD/CAD as provided by the technical strategy team at Barclays Capital. EUR/USD: The rally and close above 1.1045 on increased volumes has forced us to abandon our expectation of further weakness...
Based on Fed speakers since the January meeting, we expect the FOMC to remain on hold this month as they assess spillovers from the recent tightening of financial conditions and debate the cross-currents in the inflation outlook...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 11 March 2016, 19:16 #Fed
NZD/USD Trims Weekly Losses NZD/USD surged after the beginning of the American session and climbed from below 0.6600 to 0.6756, reaching the highest level since the Reserve Bank of New Zeland rate cut surprise. The pair is holding near the highs, currently trading at 0.6742/46, up 1...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 11 March 2016, 19:08 #nzdusd
EUR/USD Attempts a Recovery to 1.1150 The offered tone in the greenback seems to have returned, now allowing EUR/USD to rebound to the 1.1150 area. EUR/USD still in red, upside capped at 1.1220 The pair has managed to gather some traction and stage a strong rebound after bottoming out in the 1...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 11 March 2016, 19:05
The ECB made an interesting policy shift at its policy meeting yesterday...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 11 March 2016, 18:08 #ECB
Despite the large drop from the NZD after a surprise decrease in interest rates, the NZD/USD has regained a large majority of those losses today as the USD opens weak. The NZD/USD has been trading within an inclining channel since the start of February...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Daniel Bancans, 11 March 2016, 17:03 #nzdusd, forex
President Mario Draghi's remark during the ECB press conference yesterday that the bank is done cutting rates for now sent EUR soaring and European stocks and bonds tumbling, completely undoing the impact of the aggressive easing measures announced earlier...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 11 March 2016, 16:55 #ECB
The following are UBS' latest short-term (mostly intraday) trading strategies for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and USD/CHF. EUR/USD: went up 400 pips from the lows Thursday, likely on positioning...
It has long been argued that the strength or weakness of the U.S Dollar depends largely on the Interest rate cycle that the FED is operating on. The theory being: • A rate lowering cycle drives down interest cost to borrow the Dollar...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 11 March 2016, 15:29 #FOMC, Fed
We take a look at where the NZ dollar stands in the wake of the surprise decision by the RBNZ to cut interest rates. If you were the governor of a central bank and you wanted the most ‘bang for your buck’ you will have to catch markets by surprise...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 11 March 2016, 15:13
The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) has downgraded its growth forecast for the UK economy, blaming "global headwinds and uncertainty". It now expects the UK's economy to grow by 2.2% this year, down from a previous estimate of 2.5%. The BCC also cut its growth forecast for 2017 to 2.3% from 2...
Market News
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Francis Dogbe, 11 March 2016, 14:57