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Equity markets in Europe are rallying while US futures are pointing higher. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is clawing back some of last week's losses. Which way is risk heading? The truth is, equity markets around the globe are offering different perspectives, depending upon where you look...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 4 April 2016, 15:39
Global Macro Overview for 04/04/2016 Global macro overview for 04/04/2016: (Crude Oil) Oil has been in decline once again overnight as on Friday, traders continue responding to reports that Saudi Arabia may not be willing to take part in the price freeze without all other major producers, both OP...
Crude Oil
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Roberto Jacobs, 4 April 2016, 15:36
Historically, the first trading session after a U.S jobs report tends to be the quietest trading session of the month. Yet, watching intraday asset price moves for 2016, no one could speculate with confidence that any trading session would be relatively tame...
Market News
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Francis Dogbe, 4 April 2016, 15:34
Treasury prices in the US advanced, pushing the yields lower on account of wobbly oil prices and caution ahead of the Fed minutes release. At the time of writing, the 10-yr yield was down almost two basis points at 1.77...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 4 April 2016, 15:32
When it comes to the EUR, more patience may be needed. With ECB Governing council member Makuch a majority of central bank members now more or less confirmed that cutting the deposit rate as a tool to stimulate the economy is largely exhausted...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 4 April 2016, 15:30 #EUR/USD
Europe Roundup: Sterling Hits 2-Year Low Against Trade-weighted Basket; Dollar Hovers Near 5-1/2-Mth Low Vs Euro Market Roundup Donald Trump predicts massive recession, economists puzzled – Washington Post, BoJ Tankan corporate price expectations weak, CPI +0.8% exp in year, +1...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 4 April 2016, 15:28
* Deutsche Bank — the largest by number of employees and total assets of German financial services company. The Board of the Bank is located in Frankfurt am main. Deutsche Bank — universal, one of the 29 major multinational banks according to the financial stability Board...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 4 April 2016, 15:22
GBP/JPY Trade Idea Minor resistance 158.60 (trend line joining 159.56 and 158.83) Major support -158 The pair has recovered after making a low of 158.16 at the time of writing. It is currently trading around 158.83. Intraday trend is slightly bullish as long as support 158 holds...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 4 April 2016, 15:20
Analysts at BBH have ruled out further action by the Polish central bank at its meeting on Wednesday. “National Bank of Poland meets Wednesday and is expected to keep rates steady at 1.50%”. “CPI came in at -0.9% y/y in March, and so deflation risks are persistent”...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 4 April 2016, 15:19
FXWIREPRO: Optimize AUD/CHF Vols With Vega Instrument to Hedge Downside Risks The current implied volatilities of ATM puts of AUDCHF are spiking at 18.42% and at 12.85% for 1 week tenors...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 4 April 2016, 15:17
Here’s why Governor Elvira Nabiullina is in no haste to resume foreign-currency purchases after an eight-month pause: gold’s biggest quarterly surge since 1986 has all but erased losses the Bank of Russia suffered by mounting a rescue of the ruble more than a year ago...
Currency
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Francis Dogbe, 4 April 2016, 15:15 #gold
GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar” GBPUSD, Time Frame H4. Indicator signals: Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen intersected above Kumo Cloud and formed “Dead Cross” (1). Ichimoku Cloud is heading up so far (2), Chinkou Lagging Span is on the chart, and the price is on W Tenkan-Sen, inside Kumo...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 4 April 2016, 15:15 #GBP/USD, gold
GBP/USD April Fooled Bears GBP/USD is back above 1.43 handle and is showing no signs of exhaustion, indicating Friday’s fall was an April fool’s day move that trapped bears. Will it last? Today’s move lacks any fundamental trigger, but so did the move on Friday...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 4 April 2016, 15:15
Research Team at BBH, suggests that strains within the Eurozone will intensify after the leak of some IMF comments on Greece. “The leaked comments suggest some IMF officials discussed pressuring Germany to give Greece more debt relief by threatening to withdraw from the bailout program...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 4 April 2016, 15:13 #IMF
The research team at UOB Group argued the Aussie dollar could find strong support in the 0.7600 area. “The RBA policy decision is on Tuesday. The OCR should be left steady at 2...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 4 April 2016, 15:11
USD Longs Cut Again, CAD Shorts Fall – Nomura David Wagner, Research Analyst at Nomura, suggests that according to the IMM data for the week ended March 29, non-commercial accounts continued to sell USD to the tune of -$1.5bn, bringing positioning in USD to $7.4bn...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 4 April 2016, 15:11
In opinion of Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, the pair could grind lower towards 110.67. “USD/JPY spent much of last week under pressure following its failure at the top of a 6 week channel at 113.90 and has now also erased its mid point”...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 4 April 2016, 15:10 #usd/jpy
EUR/USD Trims Daily Losses, Approaches 1.1400 EUR/USD fell to test fresh daily lows during the European session but found support at the 1.1360/55 area and bounced, trimming intraday losses...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 4 April 2016, 15:09
This Thursday we get the “accounts” of the March European Central Bank meeting and Bank of America Merrill Lynch warn that the strengthening euro could be targeted. The topic of central banks fighting their rising currencies has picked up as we head into the second quarter...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 4 April 2016, 14:56
The short position in #GPBUSD we have opened on the fractal breakthrough downwards at 1.4323 is in the market. Among additional signals we have «red zone» bars, as well as a «zero crossing» on the АО. Find out more by checking out the Source Link...