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Data released by the statistical office Turkstat on Friday showed that Turkey Q2 GDP growth significantly disappointed with GDP increasing by only 0.3 percent q/q, missing expectations for 0.5 percent and compared to 0.7 percent in Q1. On a year-over-year basis gross domestic product rose 3...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 01:56 #GDP
USD/CAD has rose on Monday as rising risk aversion and lower oil prices weighed on the risk-sensitive Canadian dollar. Oil fell after speculators delivered hefty cuts to their bullish bets last week and U.S. crude drillers added more rigs for a tenth week running...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 01:55
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) warned on Monday that the supply outside OPEC would rise into the next year and revised the group’s forecast of the supply outside and if the cartel, whose production is also rising this year, even maintains the current level of production we w...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 01:42
Metal pack is down today. Performance this week at a glance in chart & table - Gold: Gold is down despite risk aversion in the market. Today’s range $1322-1330.5 We expect gold to reach $1520 Gold is currently trading at $1325/troy ounce...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 01:26
One of a handful of currencies where we do not mind earning the fat vol carry on offer is BRL. Front-end USDBRL vols have popped higher over the past two weeks alongside a bounce in the spot, and are once again packing in a sizeable 4-5 % pts. of premium in comparison with trailing realized vols...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 01:02
Energy pack is mixed in today’s trading. Weekly performance at a glance in chart & table. Oil (WTI) – WTI is down as the market got hit by risk aversion. Today’s range $44.7-45.7 WTI is currently trading at $45/barrel. Immediate support lies at $42 area and resistance at $50.2 area...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 00:59
Dollar index trading at 95.29 (+0.02%) Strength meter (today so far) – Aussie -0.16%, Kiwi -0.08%, Loonie -0.62% Strength meter (since last week) – Aussie -0.16%, Kiwi -0.08%, Loonie -0.62% AUD/USD – Trading at 0.752...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 00:54
Market Roundup USD/JPY -0.65%, EUR/USD -0.12%, GBP/USD -0.15% DXY +0.13%, DAX -1.97%, Brent -1.5%, Iron -1.97% Asian stocks fall after WST drop and Europe follows China state-owned bks selling USD to support CNY-Traders...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 00:52
Market Roundup USD/JPY -0.65%, EUR/USD -0.12%, GBP/USD -0.15% DXY +0.13%, DAX -1.97%, Brent -1.5%, Iron -1.97% Asian stocks fall after WST drop and Europe follows China state-owned bks selling USD to support CNY-Traders...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 00:51
The Canadian government bonds continued to trade lower Monday after the Bank of Canada maintained its key interest rate on hold at 0.5 percent as the central bank continues to anticipate a sound economic growth in the second half of 2016...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 00:49
The rebound in Turkey’s core-inflation continues to be gradual, therefore accelerated rate cuts would not underpin the Turkish lira. Unsecure politics would contribute to the volatility in the currency. However, since the U.S...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 00:46
Dollar index trading at 95.28 (+0.00%) Strength meter (today so far) – Euro -0.06%, Franc +0.07%, Yen +0.61%, GBP +0.17% Strength meter (since last week) – Euro -0.06%, Franc +0.07%, Yen +0.61%, GBP +0.17% EUR/USD – Trading at 1.122...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 00:44
The 10-year US Treasury yield broke above its August high of 1.63 percent by several basis points Monday, following Fed official Rosengrens speech that suggested that he favours a prompt rate hike. Also, we foresee that it will break June high of 1.74 percent on Fed rate hike expectations...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 00:43
In correlation space, around 20% (see above chart), with USDJPY vols having taken off since early June in anticipation of the September BoJ meeting even as EURUSD and EURJPY vols have floundered...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 00:42
Major support- 1.118 (90- day EMA). Major resistance – 1.12650 EUR/USD has declined sharply after making a 1.12637 at the time of writing. It is currently trading around 1.2232. On the higher side, any break above 1.12650 will take the pair till 1.1300/1.13270/1.1360...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Eko Rediantoro, 13 September 2016, 00:37 #EUR/USD
USD/CAD posted small gains over the week, despite some strong movement in both directions. The pair closed the week at 1.3032. This week’s highlight is Manufacturing Sales. Here is an outlook on the major market-movers and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Raphael Johnson, 13 September 2016, 00:13
The Japanese yen rebounded last week, as USD/JPY dropped 140 points. The pair closed at 102.51. There are only three events this week. Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for USD/JPY...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Raphael Johnson, 13 September 2016, 00:09
The New Zealand dollar reached new levels last seen in 2015 but could not reach the promised land of 0.75. The GDP release is the main event for the upcoming week. Here is an analysis of fundamentals and an updated technical analysis for NZD/USD...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Raphael Johnson, 13 September 2016, 00:05
AUD/USD jumped above the 0.77 line last week, but was unable to consolidate at these levels. The pair ended the week with small losses, closing at 0.7539. This week’s key event is Employment Change. Here is an outlook on the major market-movers and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Raphael Johnson, 13 September 2016, 00:03
GBP/USD climbed to 9-week highs but was unable to consolidate and posted small losses last week. The pair closed the week at 1.3262. There are nine events this week. Here is an outlook on the major market-movers and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Raphael Johnson, 12 September 2016, 23:57