Bushido
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Bushido
A USDJPY Portfolio EA Built on Nearly 20 Years of Market Data
Bushido is a USDJPY-exclusive portfolio Expert Advisor developed by Origin-U Project.
It combines four independent strategies with different market characteristics into a single EA:
- Medium-Term Trend Following
- Tokyo Range Breakout
- Tokyo Fix (9:55) Fade
- NY Session Breakout Continuation
Bushido was developed through extensive testing using nearly 20 years of real tick data and repeated out-of-sample validation.
Rather than pursuing short-term, high-risk profits, it is designed for long-term, stable capital growth.
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Why Combine Four Independent Strategies?
Market conditions are constantly changing.
Trending markets, ranging markets, the Tokyo session, and the New York session all have different characteristics and different market participants.
A single trading strategy may perform well under favorable conditions but can suffer significant performance deterioration when market conditions change.
Bushido combines four independent strategies:
- Medium-Term Trend Following
- Tokyo Range Breakout
- Tokyo Fix (9:55) Fade
- NY Session Breakout Continuation
By combining strategies with different market characteristics, Bushido reduces dependence on any single market environment and aims for greater long-term stability.
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Why Doesn't Bushido Use Martingale?
Bushido does not use betting systems such as Martingale, averaging down, or grid trading.
This is not simply a design philosophy.
During development, these methods were thoroughly tested as potential components of the system.
However, long-term testing consistently showed increased drawdowns and higher risk of account failure.
As a result, Bushido prioritizes long-term survivability over maximizing short-term returns, and these techniques were intentionally excluded.
Position sizes are never increased after a losing trade.
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Risk Management Comes First
Profits only matter if your capital survives.
Bushido includes built-in risk management features designed to protect your account from excessive losses.
- Automatic position sizing based on account balance
- Trading suspension after a 6% daily loss
- Permanent stop after an 18% account drawdown
- Startup self-diagnostics (server time offset and symbol verification)
- Optional operational status notifications
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No Black Box Logic
Many EAs simply claim to be profitable.
Bushido takes a different approach.
For each strategy, the user guide explains:
- The underlying market structure
- Why the strategy was adopted
- Market conditions where it performs best
- Market conditions where it is likely to underperform
Instead of only explaining why the strategies can win, Bushido also explains the conditions under which they are more likely to lose, helping users better understand how the system operates.
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Backtest Results Covering Nearly 20 Years
(2007-2025 / Real Tick Data / Trading Costs Included / 98% History Quality / Default Settings / USD Account)
- Positive annual returns in all 19 calendar years
- Average annual return: approximately 12.2%
- CAGR: approximately 12.6%
- Maximum drawdown: approximately 5%
Under compound growth,
$4,000 -> approximately $38,000
$10,000 -> approximately $95,600
Past simulation results do not guarantee future performance.
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Risk and Return Can Be Adjusted with Just One Setting
Risk and return can be adjusted using only the INPUT parameter "Anchor equity in ACCOUNT CURRENCY".
Lowering the anchor increases the position size.
Guideline figures for each setting are shown below.
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Simulation Results by Risk Setting
(Monte Carlo Simulation - 20,000 Paths)
Recommended (Anchor: $4,000)
- Annual return: approximately 12.6%
- Median maximum drawdown: approximately 10.4%
- Probability of reaching the 18% permanent stop: approximately 1.35%
Aggressive (Anchor: $3,200)
- Annual return: approximately 15.8%
- Median maximum drawdown: approximately 12.8%
- Probability of reaching the 18% permanent stop: approximately 7.75%
High Risk (Anchor: $2,800)
- Annual return: approximately 17.9%
- Median maximum drawdown: approximately 14.6%
- Probability of reaching the 18% permanent stop: approximately 17.9%
Excessive Risk (Anchor: $2,400)
- Annual return: approximately 19.8%
- Median maximum drawdown: approximately 16.8%
- Probability of reaching the 18% permanent stop: approximately 38.2%
The 18% permanent stop probability represents the probability of reaching the built-in 18% permanent stop threshold at least once over a 19-year period.
The 95th percentile maximum drawdown ranged from approximately 15.5% under the Recommended setting to approximately 24.8% under the Excessive Risk setting.
In addition, historical testing from 2007 to 2025 shows that both the High Risk and Excessive Risk settings reached the built-in 18% permanent stop during the strong JPY appreciation in 2010.
For this reason, only the Recommended and Aggressive settings are recommended.
These results are based on historical data and Monte Carlo simulations and do not guarantee future performance.
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Pricing Will Increase as Live Performance Builds
Bushido will be repriced in stages as verified live trading results accumulate.
Since the EA is currently in the forward testing stage, it is available at its lowest planned price.
- Forward Testing (Current): $79
- 1-3 Months of Live Results: $129
- 4-12 Months of Live Results: $199
- 12+ Months of Live Results (Final Price): $290
The current price is approximately 73% lower than the planned final price.
This is not a limited-time discount. Prices will increase according to the planned pricing roadmap as live performance accumulates.
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System Requirements
- USDJPY
- NY Close server (GMT+2 / GMT+3 with U.S. Daylight Saving Time support)
- Typical Tokyo session spread of 1 pip or less
- VPS recommended
- Hedging account required (U.S. FIFO-regulated retail accounts are not supported)
- Minimum lot size: 0.01
- Leverage: 25:1 or higher (validated throughout the full backtest period)
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Recommended Settings
The default settings are recommended for most users.
Only if you wish to adjust the risk and return profile should you modify the INPUT parameter "Anchor equity in ACCOUNT CURRENCY" according to your account currency.
- USD Account: 4,000
- JPY Account: 500,000 (default setting)
Please refer to the User Guide for further details.
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Final Notes
Bushido is not designed to pursue quick, high-risk profits.
It was built by studying market structure, combining four independent strategies, and prioritizing robust risk management to achieve long-term stability.
Rather than chasing spectacular returns, Bushido is designed with the philosophy of staying in the market over the long run.
If you share this philosophy, we hope Bushido will serve you well for many years.
Developed by Origin-U Project
