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Francis Dogbe
Francis Dogbe
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Francis Dogbe
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How Daylight Saving Time Affects Your Health and Productivity

13 марта 2016, 07:41
Turning clocks back is supposed to save energy and improve efficiency. Here’s the reality. The annual ritual of losing an hour of sleep to Daylight Saving Time (DST) is about to happen on March 13, the second Sunday of March and annual date for the change. The spring forward happens at 2 a.m...
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Francis Dogbe
Trading Ideas

Trade Ideas: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF - UBS

12 марта 2016, 22:56
The following are UBS' latest short-term (mostly intraday) trading strategies for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and USD/CHF. EUR/USD: went up 400 pips from the lows Thursday, likely on positioning...
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Francis Dogbe
Analytics & Forecasts

Forex Weekly Outlook March 14-18

12 марта 2016, 22:53
The ECB's massive policy announcement did not receive the desired fall in the euro, and the US dollar lost ground in an exciting week. Rate decisions in Japan the US, the UK and Switzerland, Employment data from the UK, the US and Australia, US inflation, manufacturing and sentiment figures...
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Francis Dogbe
Analytics & Forecasts

Week Ahead: Beware The Ides Of March: Or Will Yellen Scupper The Rally?

12 марта 2016, 15:55
The nascent recovery in risk sentiment has entered a more mature phase on the back of the fresh easing measures by the ECB and the indications of additional stimulus at the National People’s Congress, China’s legislature...
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Francis Dogbe
Опубликовал пост 5 Things to Watch on the Economic Calendar
1 Retail Resurgence? Consumer spending will come into focus Tuesday with the release of February’s retail spending report from the Commerce Department. January spending surged after a lackluster finish to 2015...
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Francis Dogbe
Analytics & Forecasts

Dollar Recovers Against the Euro and Yen

12 марта 2016, 08:32
The euro is paring the recovery that began in the middle of the ECB's press conference yesterday. The markets had reacted as one intuitively would expected to broad easing of interest rates and credit conditions...
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Francis Dogbe
Analytics & Forecasts

A Few Thoughts Ahead of the Weekend

12 марта 2016, 08:06
The market reaction to Draghi's indication, once again, that interest rate policy has run its course, will be debated for some time. Draghi delivered the goods that many investors said was lacking last December. The ECB policy was more than anyone expected. All the boxes were checked...
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Francis Dogbe
Market News

More Central Bank Surprises

11 марта 2016, 23:06
Here are the three big surprises on yet another notable day for central banks and markets, and what they may imply for the future: • The European Central Bank went beyond expectations by deploying a full range of policy instruments, including a more negative deposit rate and increased asset purch...
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Francis Dogbe
Market News

The dollar is no longer an excuse for the Fed not to raise rates

11 марта 2016, 23:04
The strong dollar is no longer an excuse not to raise rates. Shortly before the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in December, Fed governor Lael Brainard gave a speech about why it should proceed cautiously...
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Francis Dogbe
Опубликовал пост The shocking truth about Fed's interest rate policy and Dollar's value
It has long been argued that the strength or weakness of the U.S Dollar depends largely on the Interest rate cycle that the FED is operating on. The theory being: • A rate lowering cycle drives down interest cost to borrow the Dollar...
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Francis Dogbe
Market News

UK economic growth forecast cut by BCC

11 марта 2016, 14:57
The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) has downgraded its growth forecast for the UK economy, blaming "global headwinds and uncertainty". It now expects the UK's economy to grow by 2.2% this year, down from a previous estimate of 2.5%. The BCC also cut its growth forecast for 2017 to 2.3% from 2...
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Francis Dogbe
Francis Dogbe
Market Overview...
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Francis Dogbe
Francis Dogbe
The driver of the EUR/USD rally is clearly the move higher in shorter-dated European rates, with the 1y/1y rate up by a bit more than Bund yields. Can the ECB now engineer a fall back in 1y/1y rates to their lows (-25bp)? Can it engineer a move down in 10-year Bund yields, in absolute terms and relative to Treasuries? I think the answer to the first question may be ’No’ but the answer to the second is: ‘Probably, but only slowly and only with the FOMC’s help’
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Francis Dogbe
Опубликовал пост How a hacker’s typo helped stop a billion dollar bank heist
A spelling mistake in an online bank transfer instruction helped prevent a nearly $1 billion heist last month involving the Bangladesh central bank and the New York Fed, banking officials said...
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Francis Dogbe
Analytics & Forecasts

Euro Pops Higher After Post ECB Tumble; What's Next?

11 марта 2016, 06:19
In a near replay of the tumble, then rally, seen in December, the euro Thursday moved first sharply lower and then sharply higher in response to European Central Bank policy actions. On Dec. 3, the euro rallied 4.3%, from a $1.0524 trough to a $1...
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Francis Dogbe
Market News

What today’s ECB meeting means for FX markets

10 марта 2016, 22:07
The main event today is of course the ECB meeting. I wrote an extensive piece (available in the Special Reports section of the FXPRIMUS website) that I presented as a webinar (also available on the web...
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Francis Dogbe
Опубликовал пост Meanwhile over in the GBPUSD circus tent...
What did the GBPUSD do during the Main Event in the EURUSD tent? The Main Event was over in the EURUSD circus tent and surely the performance there was amazing. But, what about in the other circus tents? What is happening with the GBPUSD...
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Francis Dogbe
Market News

ECB cuts rates, increases assets buys more than expected

10 марта 2016, 17:39
The European Central Bank cut all three of its interest rates and expanded its asset-buying program on Thursday, delivering a bigger-than-expected cocktail of actions to boost the economy and stop ultra low inflation becoming entrenched...
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Francis Dogbe
Market News

ECB pulls out all the stops, cuts rates and expands QE

10 марта 2016, 17:27
The European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a surprise package of measures to kickstart Europe's economy on Thursday, cutting its main interest rates and expanding its massive bond-buying program...
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Francis Dogbe
Analytics & Forecasts

EUR/USD: Doji Formation; USD/CHF: H&S Formation - SocGen

10 марта 2016, 06:25
EUR/USD: After probing a multi month descending trend and early February lows of 1.08, EUR/USD embarked on a rebound. The recovery seems to be running out of steam as the pair has faced resistance at graphical level of 1.1060/1...
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