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Francis Dogbe

Central banks have reduced official interest rates to historically lows, either near zero (known as ZIRP or Zero Interest Rate Policy). Long term bond rates are also at historically low levels...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post GBPUSD is finding some good levels to play with
The pound is on the rise today and has just run to a new high of 1.4140. It did virtually nothing after the retail sales so we can't finger that as a reason. The mid-1.40's has developed into decent looking support. I had 1.4040/45 pegged but we've it slightly higher at 1.4050. 1...
Francis Dogbe

Another interest rate hike ‘may not be far off,’ Fed’s Bullard says
24 March 2016, 16:17
Another interest rate increase “may not be far off” with the U.S. economy performing much as expected in 2016, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Thursday...
Francis Dogbe
Published post GBP/USD Technical Analysis: ’Brexit’ Pricing Pushes Pound Lower
Today is a special day for those who follow implied volatility. Specifically, the GBPUSD 3M ATM implied volatility is now pricing in the date of the British referendum. Implied volatility is the estimated volatility of a market or in this case, the currency pair’s price...
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Francis Dogbe

The dollar remains the currency market’s standout performer for the second straight day, gaining value against each of its major rivals after this morning’s as-expected New Home Sales report...
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Francis Dogbe

Fourteen years ago, the author of a series of popular personal-finance books predicted that 2016 would bring about the worst market crash in history, damaging the financial dreams of millions of baby boomers just as they started to depend on that money to fund retirement. Broader U.S...
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Francis Dogbe

Every three months, the U.S. Federal Reserve publishes a chart -- known as the "dot plot" -- showing where various officials think the central bank's interest-rate target should be over the next few years. And every three months, investors and the media consistently misinterpret it...
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Francis Dogbe

Tom Hayes, a former star trader serving an 11-year jail sentence for manipulating Libor interest rates, was on Wednesday ordered to pay 878,806 pounds ($1.25 million) by a judge or face further time in prison...
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Francis Dogbe

The UK referendum is three months away. Three-month options are a common benchmark for various market segments; from speculators, to fund managers to corporations. Events over the past week have raised the risks that the UK votes to leave the EU...
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Francis Dogbe

The decidedly hawkish tone embraced by Federal Reserve officials so far this week is forcing investors to rethink the likelihood of an interest rate hike at the central bank’s April meeting...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post There may be a case to be made for an April move says Bullard
Once he starts, he doesn't stop • All FOMC's are live • All FOMC's should have press conferences • Thinks Fed will overshoot on inflation • Doesn't have a problem with overshooting...
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Francis Dogbe

Many will think that it may be odd to contemplate the consequences of interest rates rising when all we hear points towards further procrastination by central banks, with some going even further and dipping their toes into the unorthodox water of negative interest rates...
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Francis Dogbe

Bitcoin is the most popular virtual currency yet developed. Proponents assert that bitcoin can remove frictions involved in payment and settlement systems by eliminating the need for the financial intermediaries that exist in traditional currencies...
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Francis Dogbe

Almost one year ago to the day the chief economist at the Bank of England, Andrew Haldane, gave a speech about the persistent weakness in underlying inflation and the implications for monetary policy...
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Francis Dogbe

EURAUD continues to tread water above trend line support that extends off the April 2015 low. I mentioned this level a few days before the ECB rate decision that took place on March 10th...
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Francis Dogbe

The U.S. central bank has become so cautious about raising interest rates at even a moderate pace that the once-fringe preference of one of its most dovish policymakers for super-slow interest-rate increases has gone mainstream...
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Francis Dogbe

Credit Suisse Group AG founded a venture with Silicon Valley’s Palantir Technologies Inc. that aims to catch rogue employees before they can harm the bank, employing the expertise of a firm seed-funded by the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency that’s better known for identifying terrorists...
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Francis Dogbe

Price action and candlesticks are a powerful trading concept and even research has confirmed that some candlestick patterns have a high predictive value and can produce positive returns...
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Francis Dogbe

Major indexes drifted higher yesterday in a quiet trading session, as investors seemed to shy away from making any ‘big’ bets at the start of this holiday-shortened trading week...
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Francis Dogbe

An ill-conceived strategy undermined by mismanagement and bad fortune is increasing the risks that the UK votes to leave the EU in June. Nearly everything that could, has gone wrong for UK Prime Minister Cameron...
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