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Francis Dogbe
Why traders lose: The ultimate performance killer for traders
26 March 2016, 08:34
I see so many traders fail unnecessarily. It hurts so much seeing them sabotage themselves over and over and over again and they don’t even notice it. One of the main reasons traders keep themselves from success is my favorite psychological concept called ‘cognitive dissonance...
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Francis Dogbe
German Bond Yields Headed for Lows as ECB Fuels Euro-Debt Rally
26 March 2016, 08:29
With just four days packed with economic data and the European Central Bank set to begin its expanded debt purchases, German government bonds look to extend their advance next week...
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Francis Dogbe
1 Jobs, Jobs, Jobs The highlight of the week is the Labor Department’s March jobs report, due out Friday. Hiring remained robust through the turn of the year, with nonfarm payrolls growth averaging 228,000 over the past three months. The unemployment rate has hovered at 4.9% since January...
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Francis Dogbe
The US dollar managed to claw back some of its previous losses on the week leading to Easter. US CB Consumer Confidence, Janet Yellen's speech, and the buildup to the all-important Non-Farm Payrolls report all stand out. These are the important events on forex calendar...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post EUR/USD still unwinding last week’s gains…what’s next?
Many traders are already looking ahead to the holiday weekend, so it’s difficult to expect much volatility from the remainder of this week’s trade, but there’s one key technical formation to keep an eye on both tomorrow and heading into next week...
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Francis Dogbe
The holiday shutters most markets today. Several Asian markets were open, and equities were narrowly mixed, with Japan and China posting small gains. Most of the other local markets, including Australia, Korea and Taiwan slipped...
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Francis Dogbe
China's yuan will come under renewed downward pressure if the U.S. dollar rises significantly in coming months, a policy adviser to the People's Bank of China said on Friday...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post Why the ECB Could Get Some Junk With Its Bond-Buying Program
In times of crisis lend freely against good collateral, Walter Bagehot suggested back in 1873. Almost 150 years later, the influential essayist's dictum may prove to be easier said than done for the world's policymakers...
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Francis Dogbe
The Fed has done its best to propagate confusion recently, first surprisingly markets on the highly dovish side in March – cutting the near-term real rate well into highly expansionary territory, prompting inflation overshooting speculation as well as discussions about a new Shanghai accord...
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Francis Dogbe
Easter comes early this year, and U.S. financial markets will be closed on Good Friday, which falls on March 25, while U.K. and some continental markets will be closed for Easter Monday as well. Good Friday isn't a federal holiday in the U.S...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post Investors have bet more than £11 billion on Brexit crushing the pound
Investors are putting billions of pounds worth of bets on the pound crashing should Britain vote to leave the European Union in June. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, investors have piled up more than £11 billion ($15...
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Francis Dogbe
A few short hours stand in the way of the long holiday weekend for many. The capital markets are retracing the recent moves. This means equities and commodities are lower. It means bonds are firmer and the dollar stronger...
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Francis Dogbe
Watch for key inflation updates from Japan, US this Easter
24 March 2016, 22:26
•The Japan inflation figure will tell us if the BoJ will go deeper into the red on rates •Japan’s government bond yield curve continues to flatten out •The Fed’s interest rate flight path is an aspiration, not a forecast •US inflation data will reveal if the Fed's flight path is credible •The odd...
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Francis Dogbe
Central banks have reduced official interest rates to historically lows, either near zero (known as ZIRP or Zero Interest Rate Policy). Long term bond rates are also at historically low levels...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post GBPUSD is finding some good levels to play with
The pound is on the rise today and has just run to a new high of 1.4140. It did virtually nothing after the retail sales so we can't finger that as a reason. The mid-1.40's has developed into decent looking support. I had 1.4040/45 pegged but we've it slightly higher at 1.4050. 1...
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Francis Dogbe
Another interest rate hike ‘may not be far off,’ Fed’s Bullard says
24 March 2016, 16:17
Another interest rate increase “may not be far off” with the U.S. economy performing much as expected in 2016, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Thursday...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post GBP/USD Technical Analysis: ’Brexit’ Pricing Pushes Pound Lower
Today is a special day for those who follow implied volatility. Specifically, the GBPUSD 3M ATM implied volatility is now pricing in the date of the British referendum. Implied volatility is the estimated volatility of a market or in this case, the currency pair’s price...
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Francis Dogbe
The dollar remains the currency market’s standout performer for the second straight day, gaining value against each of its major rivals after this morning’s as-expected New Home Sales report...
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Francis Dogbe
Fourteen years ago, the author of a series of popular personal-finance books predicted that 2016 would bring about the worst market crash in history, damaging the financial dreams of millions of baby boomers just as they started to depend on that money to fund retirement. Broader U.S...
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