Francis Dogbe / Profile
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Francis Dogbe
Every three months, the U.S. Federal Reserve publishes a chart -- known as the "dot plot" -- showing where various officials think the central bank's interest-rate target should be over the next few years. And every three months, investors and the media consistently misinterpret it...
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Francis Dogbe
Tom Hayes, a former star trader serving an 11-year jail sentence for manipulating Libor interest rates, was on Wednesday ordered to pay 878,806 pounds ($1.25 million) by a judge or face further time in prison...
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Francis Dogbe
The UK referendum is three months away. Three-month options are a common benchmark for various market segments; from speculators, to fund managers to corporations. Events over the past week have raised the risks that the UK votes to leave the EU...
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Francis Dogbe
The decidedly hawkish tone embraced by Federal Reserve officials so far this week is forcing investors to rethink the likelihood of an interest rate hike at the central bank’s April meeting...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post There may be a case to be made for an April move says Bullard
Once he starts, he doesn't stop • All FOMC's are live • All FOMC's should have press conferences • Thinks Fed will overshoot on inflation • Doesn't have a problem with overshooting...
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Francis Dogbe
Many will think that it may be odd to contemplate the consequences of interest rates rising when all we hear points towards further procrastination by central banks, with some going even further and dipping their toes into the unorthodox water of negative interest rates...
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Francis Dogbe
Bitcoin is the most popular virtual currency yet developed. Proponents assert that bitcoin can remove frictions involved in payment and settlement systems by eliminating the need for the financial intermediaries that exist in traditional currencies...
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Francis Dogbe
Almost one year ago to the day the chief economist at the Bank of England, Andrew Haldane, gave a speech about the persistent weakness in underlying inflation and the implications for monetary policy...
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Francis Dogbe
EURAUD continues to tread water above trend line support that extends off the April 2015 low. I mentioned this level a few days before the ECB rate decision that took place on March 10th...
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Francis Dogbe
The U.S. central bank has become so cautious about raising interest rates at even a moderate pace that the once-fringe preference of one of its most dovish policymakers for super-slow interest-rate increases has gone mainstream...
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Francis Dogbe
Credit Suisse Group AG founded a venture with Silicon Valley’s Palantir Technologies Inc. that aims to catch rogue employees before they can harm the bank, employing the expertise of a firm seed-funded by the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency that’s better known for identifying terrorists...
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Francis Dogbe
Price action and candlesticks are a powerful trading concept and even research has confirmed that some candlestick patterns have a high predictive value and can produce positive returns...
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Francis Dogbe
Major indexes drifted higher yesterday in a quiet trading session, as investors seemed to shy away from making any ‘big’ bets at the start of this holiday-shortened trading week...
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Francis Dogbe
An ill-conceived strategy undermined by mismanagement and bad fortune is increasing the risks that the UK votes to leave the EU in June. Nearly everything that could, has gone wrong for UK Prime Minister Cameron...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post Brussels attacks underpin gold on safe haven demand
News of the explosions in Brussels has unnerved investors today with the major European indices all trading lower and safe haven gold higher, though both assets are off their daily extremes. Indeed, the precious metal has so far only found moderate support from this source...
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Francis Dogbe
Mario Draghi's latest batch of measures to boost the euro-area economy comes with a sting in the tail for companies and anyone hoping to retire comfortably one day.Extending quantitative easing to include non-bank corporate bonds is poised to make life even tougher for company pension plans...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post The Current Oil Price Rally Is Reaching Its Limits
Oil prices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase. U.S...
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Francis Dogbe
The economic costs of the UK leaving the European Union would outweigh the potential benefits and would have credit implications for a range of bond issuers, including the UK government, banks, insurers and non-financial companies, Moody's Investors Service said in a report published today...
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Francis Dogbe
A fairly uneventful session has left AUDJPY coiling even tighter following the 650-pip rally that commenced on March 1st. I commented on the pair shortly after it began its ascent, noting the two channels I was keeping an eye on at the time. You can read that commentary here...
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