Eurusd/gbpusd - page 1525

 

Someone is testing the 1.38 level. Either it is a normal psychological level, or algos are waiting for stop losses to be clustered and then to be pushed them when they hit some of those clusters

 
nbtrading:
Someone is testing the 1.38 level. Either it is a normal psychological level, or algos are waiting for stop losses to be clustered and then to be pushed them when they hit some of those clusters

No liquidity enough for a significant change

NY session might change it, but I don't think so - to many market makers already moved to separate FX trading and are not part of this FX net that we are trying to trade on

 

Considering that it is still holiday, 25 pip range is even good

But it makes more and more difficult to trade EURUSD - no way to recover in some situations

 

In these last 10 days we had a short term trend change (ECB talking Euro down combined with Yellen's explanation that interest rates are not going not be raised for a long time) made this short term change.

What is more worrisome is that market makers are leaving the usual FX market and are going to be isolated in their own net used only for their needs. Without market makers liquidity the volatility is going to be unbearable for small traders and are likely to be victims of HFT traders. Long term trading in a market with low liquidity can be very dangerous. The rest of the year will show us what will happen, but the odds that we are going to see the golden days of FX again are slim

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Currently short term bearish trend with support already formed. We might see more bearish attempts, but without decisive ECB action, it will remain just a short time trend

Files:
eurusd_4.gif  38 kb
 

GU is falling down today

 

Back to normal

During the holidays range was bigger in the Asian session than today - 7 pips - again a new record. It really looks more and more like EURCHF and not like EURUSD

 

Daily average true range for EURSD since Jun 2013 if 80 pips (and falling all the time - currently it is 52 pips 14 day average). It used to be 100-110 pips. It is a disaster

 
eurofreek:
Daily average true range for EURSD since Jun 2013 if 80 pips (and falling all the time - currently it is 52 pips 14 day average). It used to be 100-110 pips. It is a disaster

It is similar with all

In average almost all ranges are cut in half. Compared to 3-4 years ago they are 3 to 4 times smaller

 
eurofreek:
Daily average true range for EURSD since Jun 2013 if 80 pips (and falling all the time - currently it is 52 pips 14 day average). It used to be 100-110 pips. It is a disaster

Not really, basically that means that shorten your P/L targets and trade on lower TF's. With a HFT ruled market, we may never see an ATR higher than this

 

eur/usd weekly,,, be careful

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