Silver Dives to Weekly Lows on NFP Data

10 July 2016, 03:18
Mirza Baig

Talking Points

Silver prices declined early Friday morning, in reaction to a surging US Dollar. This move was predicated on the US Dollar rallying on better than expected NFP numbers. After its initial move lower, Silver prices have rebounded after printing a new weekly low at $19.20. However, despite this bounce in price, silver has yet to retest the weekly high at $21.11. Going into next week’s trading, traders should continue to monitor these values to help determine Silvers next direction

Silver 1Hour Chart



 In the event that Silver prices decline next week, a breakout below $19.20 should be considered significant. A move through this point of support would expose the next key value of support at $17.99. This area is represented by the May 2016 high, and a move under this value would suggest that the daily bull trend for Silver has at least temporarily suspended and open the metal up to further declines.

Alternatively, if Silver continues to rally from current levels, traders should look for next resistance near $20.48. A move through this point would suggest that today’s decline is nothing more than a retracement. In which point, traders may look for silver to trade back up to monthly highs at $21.11.


 Sentiment for Silver (Ticker: XAG/USD) remains extreme with SSI (speculative sentiment index) reading at +2.06. With 67% of positioning long, SSI suggests that the metal may be setting up for further declines. Alternatively, if Silver breaks higher next week, traders may look for SSI to decline away from its current extremes.

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