Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 9 - 13, 2016)

8 May 2016, 23:05
1246536 Ernest G.
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Here’s the market outlook for this week:: Content courtesy of Tallinex Limited https://www.tallinex.com

 


EURUSD
Dominant bias: Neutral
EURUSD trended upwards on Monday and Tuesday - topping out at 1.1615 before sliding over 200 pips to close the week at 1.1403. Although the bullish gains have been erased, the market bias will not turn bearish until price moves below the support line at 1.1300 (which is expected this week): The outlook on EUR is bearish, and there could be a Bearish Confirmation Pattern by Friday.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
Monday and Tuesday saw price dip to the support level at 0.9450, but further decline was rejected as price assumed a clean northwards direction, closing Friday above the support level at 0.9700 – a move of over 280 pips! The first market area to be attacked this week will be the resistance level at 0.9750, after which bulls will continue battling towards the resistance levels at 0.9800 and 0.9850, so outright bullishness should become more conspicuous by the end of this week.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bullish
Bulls managed to push price towards the distribution territory at 1.4750, at which point they were overpowered by bears. Price has since dropped 320 pips to close the week below the distribution territory at 1.4450. What next? Since the outlook on USD is bright for this week, GBPUSD might have some difficulties going upwards (though not an impossibility). Importantly, GBP will be strong in its own right, and it may be observed gaining against other currencies such as EUR, AUD and NZD.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
Price simply consolidated last week (though in the context of a downtrend), so direction is ambiguous for this week. We might see bears pushing the pair further downward; but that could equally be frustrated by expected USD strength. The monthly outlook on JPY pairs should remain bearish until around the end of May.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
Market action was very similar to USDJPY last week - there were fleeting up- and down-swings, while the bias remained bearish. This week, further bearish movement is possible and might take price below the demand zones at 121.50 and 121.00. With the current JPY outlook being bearish and the expected weakness of the Euro, EURJPY should decline further.

I’d like to conclude this forecast with the following quote:

I was born in San Juan City, Argentina. It is very close to the Andes Mountains. I have a degree in Business Administration. I've always been interested in trading, but what really forced my hand, and made me absolutely need to become a full-time trader, was a conversation I once had with a professor. When he learned I was experimenting with different automated trading algorithms, he laughed and told me I was a fool to think I could beat the market. Challenge accepted! From that moment, I became a trader!” - Maximiliano Lepez (Source: Collective2.com)


Azeez Mustapha
Currency Analyst
Tallinex Limited
The Jaycees Building, Stoney Ground
PO Box 362, Kingstown, VC0100
St Vincent and the Grenadines
https://www.tallinex.com


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