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With Iran refusing to play ball on cuts to oil production, Saudi Arabia is tightening its regime of economic austerity. Annual tax revenues will go up by £70bn and previously free services such as health care will be privatised...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 5 April 2016, 17:31
Why the Australian dollar should be considered overvalued and why the future of copper prices matter. Australia produces almost a million metric tons of copper annually, and contains the world’s sixth largest resource of economically viable copper reserves...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 5 April 2016, 17:25 #forex
Oil prices keep some pressure on the commodity currencies and that’s one reason why the AUD got no lasting help from an unchanged RBA. The policy statement seemed pretty neutral but did reference the threat of further AUD appreciation. AUD/USD may have bounced as much as it can...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 5 April 2016, 16:11 #forex
U.S Treasury Climbs ahead of March FOMC Minutes, Weak Oil Prices U...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:47
Risk sentiment will remain driven by Fed rate expectations and conditions in China. From that angle this week’s main focus will be on Wednesday’s release of the March FOMC meeting minutes and Caixin PMIs in China...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 5 April 2016, 15:46 #forex
GDT Price Index Preview: What to Expect of NZD/USD? Global Dairy Trade (GDT) will release its dairy price index, which is published every two weeks and uses a weighted-average of the percentage changes in dairy prices sold at auction...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:44
BoE ‘On Hold’ Until Early 2017 – Rabobank Analyst at Rabobank Carlijn Prins believes the BoE could hike rates in February 2017. Key Quotes “BoE Governor Carney recently admitted that Brexit was the greatest domestic financial risk to the UK...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:41
Gold Stays Near Daily Highs ahead of US Data Gold is trading slightly below its daily high of $1236.85 levels ahead of the data release in the US, which could show an improvement in the service sector output...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:36 #gold
USD/CHF Sinks to Lows Near 0.9570 The ongoing risk aversion is prompting USD/CHF to retrace the earlier spike just above the 0.9600 handle and return to daily lows in the 0.9570 area...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:33 #usdchf
RBA Acknowledges Stronger AUD but Not Overly Concerned Yet - MUFG Lee Hardman, Currency Analyst at MUFG, notes that the Australian dollar has weakened modestly in the Asian trading session undermined early this week by renewed weakness in commodity prices...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:28
US: ISM Nonmanufacturing Index to Rise Only Marginally - TDS Millan Mulraine, Deputy Head US Macro Strategy at TDS, suggests that the US economic growth momentum has slowed, and while the headwinds to the manufacturing sector appear to have abated the fallout in the service sector should continue...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:26
EUR/JPY – Sell Off Continues, Eyes 125.00 Handle JPY bulls are in no mood to relax amid fresh oil-driven risk-off in the equities and are now eyeing psychological level of 125.00 in the EUR/JPY cross...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:24
AUD/USD Door Open for Further Downside – Commerzbank Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, noted the relevance of the key support at 0.7477. Key Quotes “AUD/USD held sideways and has started to erode the accelerated uptrend at...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:20
AUD/JPY Attacks 83 Handle, at Fresh Monthly Lows The AUD/JPY cross extends its bearish run into a fourth day this Tuesday, with the bears relentless on the back of persistent risk-off market profile. AUD/JPY tests 83.00 The AUD/JPY pair now drops -1.80% to 83...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:18
The dollar edged lower on Monday on contradictory views of prospects for an increase in U.S. interest rates, while oil prices stayed under pressure on skepticism producers would be able to freeze output to stem a global glut. A usually dovish U.S...
Market News
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Francis Dogbe, 5 April 2016, 15:14
US Dollar keeps Highs Near 94.80 The greenback, tracked by the US Dollar Index, has recovered the smile on Tuesday and is managing well to keep the trade in the upper end of the range near 94.80...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:14
What are the economic consequences of leaving the EU? This question is at the heart of the Brexit debate. Some studies address this question by analysing how countries fared after joining the EU (see Campos et al. 2014 or the survey by Crafts 2016). In recent work (Dhingra et al...
Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 5 April 2016, 15:12
EUR/USD Trims Daily Losses after US Trade Data EUR/USD edged slightly higher and continued to move off daily lows following the release of disappointing US trade data. US trade deficit widened in February by 2.6% to a 6-month high of 47.06 billion, from 45...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:10
GBP/USD Tests 50% Fibo Support Cable managed to cut through bids around 1.42 and fell to 1.4175 (50% of 1.3835-1.4515) levels as traders continue to ignore slight improvement in the UK services PMI report...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 15:04
Can WTI End Its Biggest Consecutive Daily Decline Since 2009? North American benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up today and trying to end its biggest consecutive daily decline since 2009...
Crude Oil
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Roberto Jacobs, 5 April 2016, 14:58