BoE: Expect No Fireworks – TDS Research Team at TDS, notes that the BoE has said that it will be firmly on hold until the EU Referendum is out of the way, so the broad consensus of no change in policy. Key Quotes “The accompanying Inflation Report and Press Conference will be where to focus...
Key Events Coming Up: BoE is the Highlight - Westpac Analysts at Westpac noted the key events taking place today. Key Quotes: "The Bank of England should keep rates at 0.5%, with policy firmly on hold ahead of the UK EU exit vote...
BoE: Losing Momentum - Rabobank Jane Foley, Senior FX Strategist at Rabobank, suggests that the publication of the Bank of England’s May Quarterly Inflation Report comes just over a month before the UK goes to the polls to determine whether the country will remain within or leave the EU...
How US Politics will Impact FX – Deutsche Bank Alan Ruskin, Macro strategist at Deutsche Bank, suggests that the channels through which the coming election will influence the USD are complex and sometimes contradictory - which will probably mute the response to some degree...
BoE Preview: Silence is Golden - ING James Knightley, Senior Economist at ING, suggests that BoE’s dovish tilt in its forthcoming meet may unleash pent-up GBP weakness. Key Quotes “Loss of UK economic momentum has been sizeable...
JPY: Intervention Threat Not a Sustainable Driver for a Weaker Currency - MUFG Lee Hardman, Currency Analyst at MUFG, notes that the yen has strengthened in the Asian trading session partially reversing weakness from early this week...
UK Rates: The Fall and Rise of Brexit Premia - TDS Renuka Fernandez, Senior Rates Strategist at TD Securities, suggests that a couple of weeks back they noted that markets had significantly priced lower Brexit premia and saw risks of a sharp re-pricing on UK rates...
USD Value, Shifts in Crude Oil Prices to Shape Value of Mexican Peso Investor confidence for emerging markets continues to mainly drive capital flows to Mexico. High volatility in Q1 has impacted the Mexican currency...
ECB Likely to Cut Rate in June, More Stimulus Likely in September The European Central Bank is expected to adopt further policy easing in June, with more stimulus measures likely in September, after it had cut rates in March this year...
Osborne Beats the Bremain Drum - Investec Research Team at Investec, notes that the UK Chancellor George Osborne continued yesterday to run his economic impact campaign, highlighting his perceived risks in the event of a Brexit at next month's EU vote...
JPY: Finance Minister Aso Continues to Talk Up Intervention Threat - MUFG Lee Hardman, Currency Analyst at MUFG, notes that the yen has continued to weaken in the Asian trading session leaving USD/JPY on course to increase for the sixth trading day out of the last seven as initial sharp yen gains...
Long Live FXRreturns - Deutsche Bank George Saravelos, Strategist at Deutsche Bank, notes that the international press is replete with stories of poor investor returns and discretionary fund closures this year...
The USD remains a bullish currency in the longer-term, however the lack of a confirmed rise in core inflation and a cautiously neutral Fed have induced bearish sentiment on the USD in the short term. Dollar weakness is likely to continue until we get some solid tier one US data...
Norges Bank to Leave Rates Unchanged – Danske Bank Research Team at Danske Bank, expects the NB to leave the sight deposit rate unchanged at 0.50% and to re-iterate its dovish bias from the March meeting...
Korea: BOK to Stay on Hold for Now - Nomura Young Sun Kwon, Research Analyst at Nomura, suggests that although their Bank of Korea (BOK) Signal Index suggests a high likelihood of a rate cut this Friday, they maintain their call that the BOK will stay on hold as we believe policy easing will come...
Yen May Not Stop at 105 Even in Short Term Last week has been filled with speculation that Bank of Japan (BOJ) may extend its monetary stimulus on Thursday, especially after negative rates loan rumor, but they didn’t...
EUR Fundamentals Remain a Mixed Bag - TDS Research Team at TDS, suggests that the ECB hopes it delivered its last bout of easing in March, and will be content to sit on the sidelines for an extended period of time (rising oil prices will help...
US: Personal Income Rises 0.4% in March; PCE in Line with Expectations The Bureau of Economic Analysis informed that during March personal income increased 0.4%, above the 0.3% gain expected by market consensus; personal spending rose 0.1%, below expectations of a 0.2% increase...
JPY: All-Japan Core Inflation Rate Lower than Consensus – Nomura Research Team at Nomura, notes that in March the all-Japan core CPI (general index excluding fresh food) fell 0.3% y-y, below the consensus of -0.2% (Bloomberg survey median) and down from 0.0% in February...
