KEC Gold Engine

Trading de tendencia em ouro, baseado em regras e automatizado

O KEC Gold Engine analisa a estrutura diaria do XAUUSD e opera apenas na direcao da tendencia dominante do timeframe superior. Realiza uma ou duas operacoes seletivas por dia, protege cada uma com um stop-loss fixo baseado na volatilidade diaria real, move as vencedoras para o ponto de equilibrio, acompanha-as com trailing stop e fecha todas as posicoes antes do encerramento diario e antes do fim de semana.

Sem martingale, sem grid, sem media para baixo, sem hedge, sem modo de recuperacao. Um processo claro, todos os dias.

Como foi desenvolvido

O motor foi desenvolvido com 241 milhoes de ticks reais de XAUUSD de janeiro de 2022 a setembro de 2026, cobrindo tanto o mercado lateral de 2022-2023 quanto a forte tendencia de alta de 2024-2026. Mais de vinte hipoteses foram testadas: reversao a media, varreduras de liquidez, faixas de sessao, numeros redondos, filtros de momentum e outros. A maioria foi descartada.

Todos os parametros foram selecionados apenas com dados de 2022-2024 e verificados sem alteracoes em 2025-2026. Tudo que funcionou bem na primeira metade e falhou na segunda foi removido. Todos os numeros publicados vem do Strategy Tester do MetaTrader 5 no modo every tick based on real ticks, qualidade do historico 100%, com spread e comissao reais.

Resultados do Strategy Tester

XAUUSD, 02.01.2022 a 18.09.2026, 241 milhoes de ticks reais, qualidade 100%, inicio com 10.000 USD, risco 1.5% por operacao, juros compostos.

Lucro liquido +23,981 USD (+239.8%)
Profit factor 1.47
Drawdown relativo maximo 13.6% balanco / 15.6% equity
Sharpe ratio 3.01
Recovery factor 9.87
Operacoes 1.221 (cerca de 22 por mes)
Operacoes vencedoras 55.5%
Configuracao conservadora (1.0% risco) +115.3%, profit factor 1.43, drawdown 9.0%

Cada ano civil no teste fechou positivo:

2022 +19.2% PF 1.20 DD 9.7%
2023 +16.4% PF 1.18 DD 11.8%
2024 +41.9% PF 1.56 DD 11.0%
2025 +40.9% PF 1.82 DD 6.9%
2026 ate setembro +13.2% PF 1.47 DD 3.4%

Configuracao

Simbolo e timeframe XAUUSD (ouro), M1, um grafico
Tipo de conta Hedging, ECN ou Raw Spread, VPS em funcionamento continuo
Balanco minimo 7.000 USD conta padrao ou 500 USD conta cent
Risco por operacao 1.0% a 1.5%

Em negociacao real, o offset GMT do broker e detectado automaticamente. Para backtesting, defina Backtest GMT offset com o offset UTC do seu broker em horas: 0 para UTC, 2 ou 3 para a maioria dos brokers europeus. Use o modelo Every tick based on real ticks.

Parametros

Lot sizing — percentual de risco do balanco (padrao) ou lote fixo.

Risk per trade — percentual do balanco arriscado em cada posicao. Padrao 1.5%.

Fixed lot — usado quando o calculo de risco esta desativado.

Prop-firm mode — apenas uma operacao aberta por vez, para limites rigorosos de drawdown.

Close mode — fechamento diario (padrao e testado), semanal, ou apenas por stop-loss e trailing.

Engine ID — numero magico, separa as operacoes deste motor das demais.

Backtest GMT offset — offset UTC do seu broker em horas, apenas para o Strategy Tester. Em conta real e detectado automaticamente.

Break-even — lucro no qual a operacao e assegurada, em unidades de volatilidade diaria.

Trailing stop distance — distancia do trailing stop em unidades de volatilidade diaria.

Dashboard — mostrar ou ocultar o painel no grafico.

O que esperar

O periodo mais fraco foi o mercado lateral de 2022-2023. A sequencia de perdas mais longa no teste foi de 11 operacoes consecutivas. Um mes pode fechar negativo. Configuracoes de risco mais altas escalam lucro e drawdown proporcionalmente, mas nao alteram a vantagem da estrategia.

Estes sao resultados do Strategy Tester em dados historicos com ticks reais e spread real. Desempenho passado nao garante resultados futuros.

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