MACD v
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Oluwatosin Michael Akinyemi
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🧭 MACD-V — Volatility-Normalized Momentum Indicator
Inspired by award-winning quantitative trader Alex Spiroglou,
the MACD-V is a powerful evolution of the classic MACD — delivering a volatility-normalized momentum framework that produces consistent, actionable signals across all securities and timeframes.
While the traditional MACD measures the difference between two EMAs, the MACD-V goes a step further by dividing this difference by the market’s volatility (ATR).
This normalization makes the indicator:
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✅ Comparable across timeframes
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✅ Comparable across instruments and markets
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✅ Objective — with universal overbought and oversold levels
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✅ More precise in signal timing and accuracy
⚙️ Formula
M A C D - V = ( E M A 12 − E M A 26 ) A T R 26 × 100 MACD\text{-}V = \frac{(EMA_{12} - EMA_{26})}{ATR_{26}} \times 100This creates a volatility-adjusted momentum value expressed as a percentage, allowing traders to interpret strength and exhaustion with greater clarity.
📈 Momentum Lifecycle Roadmap
| MACD-V Value | Market Condition |
|---|---|
| greater than +150 | Overbought - momentum peak |
| +50 to +150 | Strong Buying Momentum |
| +50 to -50 | Low momentum /Range - avoid signals |
| -50 to -150 | Strong Selling Momentum |
| less than -150 | Oversold - momentum exhaustion |
Tips:
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Avoid signals in ranging conditions where whipsaws dominate.
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Anticipate timing challenges near overbought/oversold levels.
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Focus on high-probability setups in strong momentum conditions.
📊 Range-Regime Rules (with 200 EMA)
Bullish Regime
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Price above 200 EMA
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Overbought readings: > +150
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Buying opportunities: between -50 and -150
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Rare, deep buying zones: < -100
Bearish Regime
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Price below 200 EMA
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Oversold readings: < -150
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Selling opportunities: between +50 and +150
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Rare selling zones: > +100
⚡ Spiroglou’s Simple Momentum System (DAX Futures 1991–2021)
System Rules:
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Enter long when MACD-V > +70 (strong upward momentum)
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Exit at +2.85% Take Profit, or after 15 days if still profitable
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Maximum holding period: 77 days
Results:
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201 profitable trades over 30 years
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77.23% hit their take-profit target
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Consistent performance across multiple market cycles
📊 MACD-V Histogram (MACD-VH)
A volatility-normalized histogram providing short-term momentum readings with extreme levels at +40 and -40.
Unlike the classic MACD histogram that compares relative bar heights, MACD-VH delivers absolute, normalized levels that are universally interpretable.
💡 Key Benefits
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📈 Universal Momentum Levels — eliminates guesswork and subjectivity
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🔍 Reliable Backtesting — consistent values across timeframes and assets
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💹 Cross-Market Application — works equally well on Forex, Stocks, Crypto, and Indices
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🧠 Objective Risk Management — range rules guide position sizing, stop placement, and profit targets
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🧮 Systematic Trading Framework — transforms subjective MACD interpretation into a quantified, repeatable strategy
⚠️ Usage Notes
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Works best on H1 and higher timeframes.
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Avoid low-volatility periods where ATR normalization may exaggerate readings.
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Combine with price structure and trend confirmation tools for optimal accuracy.
