YY NgenAI NightGoldRush MT5

「Please read this page carefully in its entirety before making a purchase.」


■ Time-Based Patterns Hidden in the GOLD Market, Discovered by Next-Generation AI

This EA was developed using a next-generation AI model to comprehensively scan over 5 million M1 bars of GOLD (XAUUSD) data.

Rather than starting from a human hypothesis of "there should be a pattern like this," the AI statistically analyzed all time slots, all days of the week, and all conditions without look-ahead bias — entering positions only during time slots where a reproducible edge was confirmed across 14 years.

What this EA targets is the "directional price tendency during specific time slots" that repeatedly occurs in the GOLD market every week. The underlying market mechanisms are supported by multiple economic factors — this is not mere over-optimization to historical data.


■ Basic Specifications

Item Details
Instrument GOLD (XAUUSD / GOLD#)
Recommended Broker XM (MT5 compatible)
Recommended Timeframe M1 (1-minute chart)
Max Simultaneous Positions Always 1 position only
Martingale None
Averaging Down None
Stop Loss Enabled (default $10)
Take Profit Enabled (default $20)
Broker GMT Manual setting required (XM: winter = 2 / summer = 3)
Average Holding Time Approx. 2 hours (short-term)
Trade Frequency Approx. 3 times/week (Tue, Wed, Thu)
Minimum Recommended Margin $3,000+ (for 0.1 lot operation)


■ Backtest Results (2016–2026)

Metric Value
Test Period 2016–2026 (10+ years)
Initial Deposit / Lot Size $10,000 USD / 0.2 lot
Net Profit +$7,508.60 (+75.1%)
Profit Factor 1.26
Recovery Factor 2.04
Sharpe Ratio 3.55
Max Balance Drawdown $3,475 (26.54%)
Max Equity Drawdown $3,686 (27.77%)
Win Rate 48.50%
Total Trades (10 years) 1,604 trades (avg. approx. 160/year ≈ 3 times/week)
Avg. Profit / Trade +$47.08 (winning trades)
Avg. Loss / Trade -$35.26 (losing trades)
Win/Loss Ratio 1.33×
Important: The years 2020–2022 (COVID impact period) resulted in negative returns. Please refer to the Disadvantages section for details.


■ Advantages

1. Stable Trade Frequency of Approx. 3 Times/Week

Unlike EAs that only trade a few times per month, this EA enters trades regularly every week on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. The high number of trading opportunities means capital efficiency is high and the pace of profit accumulation is consistent.

2. Ultra Short-Term Holding (Avg. Approx. 2 Hours) Limits Risk

Positions are always closed within the same day at the latest. Unexpected sudden-move risk from long-term holding is minimized, eliminating the anxiety of "can't sleep at night" position management.

3. Efficient Win/Loss Ratio (1.33×)

Average winning trade: +$47.08; average losing trade: -$35.26. Winning trades are 1.33 times larger than losing trades, creating a well-balanced design that remains profitable in total even when the win rate is below 50%.

4. Sharpe Ratio 3.55 — Excellent Risk-Adjusted Return

The Sharpe Ratio — which measures return efficiency per unit of risk — stands at 3.55. While a value above 1.0 is generally considered excellent, this EA achieves more than 3 times that benchmark, delivering returns commensurate with its risk.

5. Zero Martingale or Averaging Down

No dangerous techniques such as doubling positions to recover losses are used whatsoever. The lot size per trade is always constant, eliminating the risk of sudden account ruin.

6. Objective Edge Through AI Statistical Analysis

Supported by AI statistical analysis (t-statistic, PF, multi-year stability cross-validation) on over 5 million M1 bars — not by intuition or chart patterns.


■ Disadvantages and Mitigation

We will share this EA's biggest disadvantage without holding anything back. We believe that honest disclosure is what leads to long-term trust and sound operational decisions.


Disadvantage ①: Three Consecutive Negative Years from 2020–2022 (COVID Economic Shock)

Reality:
In the backtest results, the years 2020, 2021, and 2022 all resulted in losses for three consecutive years.

Analysis of the cause:
These three years coincided with an extraordinary period marked by the unprecedented blow to the global economy from the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • March 2020: COVID shock — abnormal GOLD volatility (normal market mechanisms broke down)
  • 2020–2021: Unprecedented quantitative easing and zero-interest-rate policies by central banks worldwide caused wild swings in the GOLD market
  • 2022: The Fed's historically rapid rate hikes (0.75% per month) → sharp dollar surge → GOLD remained under persistent structural selling pressure

These were external shocks of a magnitude described as "a once-in-a-century economic crisis," and the price action GOLD exhibited during this period was fundamentally different from historically normal patterns.

Mitigation / Avoidance:

"When a major event that severely impacts the global economy occurs, pausing the EA can significantly avoid losses."

Specifically, we recommend reviewing EA operation when the following signals appear:
  • Stock markets are continuing to fall sharply by 10–20% or more over several weeks. In other words, this EA is highly vulnerable in bear markets.
  • Geopolitical risks (large-scale conflict, pandemic, etc.) are causing persistent market panic


On the flip side:
Despite having such a severe three-year consecutive losing period, the EA still achieved a net profit of +$7,508.60 over the full 10-year period. Excluding the once-in-world-history anomaly of the COVID pandemic, this EA recorded positive returns in virtually every year, demonstrating its high underlying potential.
If you had paused the EA when the COVID shock hit in March 2020 and restarted it after the Fed rate hike cycle settled at the end of 2022, it is estimated that the majority of losses could have been avoided.


Disadvantage ②: Win Rate Below 50% (48.50%)

Reality:
This EA's win rate is 48.50% — a design where more than 1 in 2 trades results in a loss.

Why a Profit Factor of 1.30 is still achieved:
Because the average winning trade (+$47.08) exceeds the average losing trade (-$35.26) by 1.33 times, the long-term result converges to positive. However, 3–4 consecutive losing streaks over short periods can and do occur.

Mitigation:

  • Switch to monthly or quarterly performance evaluation, and avoid overreacting to short-term wins and losses
  • Set lot size so that risk stays within 5–10% of the account balance, maintaining enough buffer to keep the EA running even through a losing streak


■ Recommended For

  • Those interested in automated GOLD (gold) trading
  • Those aiming for stable returns from approximately 3 trades per week
  • Those who want to manage risk through ultra short-term holding of an average of 2 hours
  • Those who dislike martingale and averaging down
  • Those who want to incorporate it as part of a long-term asset management strategy
  • Those who are able to manually manage the EA during major news events


■ May Not Be Suitable For

  • Those who must win every single day (those who cannot tolerate consecutive daily losses)
  • Those who want to run the EA completely unattended without checking any parameters
  • Those who want to keep the EA running even when major global events occur
  • Those who want to multiply their capital several times in a short period


■ Recommended Parameter Settings

Parameter Recommended Value Description
InpFixedLot 0.10 $3,000+ (10,000 units)
InpSLDollar 10.0 SL $10 (recommended to leave at default)
InpTPDollar 20.0 TP $20 (maintains RR 2:1)
InpBEDollar 5.0 Breakeven triggered at $5 unrealized profit
InpBrokerGMTOffset 2 (winter) / 3 (summer) Must be changed according to your broker.
InpSkipMonday true Recommended ON to avoid weekend gap risk
InpSkipFriday true Avoids pre-weekend position liquidation risk

Always verify operation on a demo account before live trading.
In particular, be sure to confirm the InpBrokerGMTOffset setting. Incorrect summer/winter time configuration will prevent trades from executing correctly.


■ Disclaimer

  • Backtest results are based on historical data and do not guarantee future profits.
  • Forex and GOLD trading involves price movement risk, and losses may exceed the initial investment.
  • Operating with surplus funds is strongly recommended.
  • The developer assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred through the use of this EA.
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