Experiment - page 232

 
Yousufkhodja Sultonov #:

Closures and openings are not frequent processes to be blamed on. What surprises me is the very possibility of creating a situation where almost all pairs went "the wrong way" in an avalanche-like fashion, which does not follow any laws of logic. Of course, the possibility of the opposite is not excluded. This means that there is a possibility of coincidence of currency trajectories in the market. Currency avalanches are a very peculiar pattern. It is a very powerful movement, destructive as well as constructive.

a very cool topic, open and forgotten, which explains a lot!

https://www.mql5.com/ru/forum/375928

Показатель Херста. Помощь по формулЕ.
Показатель Херста. Помощь по формулЕ.
  • 2021.08.19
  • www.mql5.com
Нужна помощь для чайника (т.е. меня) Нужно посчитать показатель Херста. С формулой самого показателя понятно, S - среднеквадрат. откл. тоже понятно...
 
Marat Zeidaliyev #:

There is no weirdness!

The strange thing is that if all the pairs had gone in your direction giving profit,

you'd say it's logical, that's how it should be, it's the NSE, Vivat King Vivat!

It means that psychologically you are not yet ready for the harsh realities of the market,

and some movements do have both destructive and constructive power,

you're right, but you have to react to both sides in a completely neutral way.

The key is to remain always without emotions, only cold and correct calculations, and this will lead to the desired success!

I am completely calm, I think both scenarios are equally likely. In the worst case I will lose less than 100 dollars, although, not all is lost yet and maybe a reversal, which I will not be very happy about. You're right to point out - emotions will only hinder the mind. I should not have tripled the lot and left it at 0.01, but then the payoff would be minimal and less than the refinancing rate.

 
Yousufkhodja Sultonov #:

I am completely calm, I consider both scenarios equally likely. Worst case scenario, I will lose less than $100, though, not all is lost yet and there may be a reversal, which I will not be very happy about. You're right to point out - emotions will only hinder the mind. I should not have trie the lot and leave it at 0.01, but then the payoff would be minimal and less than the refinancing rate.

i agree about the lots

i.e. it is relative to the capital and the refinancing rate has nothing to do with it.

Russian Finance Ministry says 0.5% yield per year is a staggering return
 
Renat Akhtyamov #:

I agree about the lots

and the return depends on the capital, i.e. relative to the capital and the refinancing rate has nothing to do with it at all

The RF Ministry of Finance considers a return of 0.5% per annum to be a terrific return

for the benefit of the public it does, rightly so )

 
Yousufkhodja Sultonov #:

Account status:

2021.08.09 02:00 Sell 0.06 AUDCAD 0.9215 0.9323 -51.73
2021.08.09 01:57 Sell 0.06 AUDCHF 0.6709 0.6824 -75.48
2021.08.09 01:57 Sell 0.06 AUDJPY 80.85 81.71 -47.03
2021.08.09 01:59 Sell 0.06 AUDNZD 1.0478 1.0467 4.72
2021.08.09 02:06 Sell 0.06 AUDUSD 0.7329 0.7463 -80.40
2021.08.09 01:59 Buy 0.06 CADCHF 0.7292 0.7288 -2.63
2021.05.27 17:51 Buy 0.03 CADJPY 91.03 87.54 -95.45
2021.08.19 04:04 Buy 0.06 CHFJPY 119.82 120.07 13.67
2021.08.09 01:57 Buy 0.06 EURAUD 1.6021 1.5921 -44.76
2021.05.12 16:14 Sell 0.03 EURCAD 1.4580 1.4893 -74.97
2021.08.09 02:06 Sell 0.06 EURCHF 1.0754 1.0865 -72.90
2021.08.09 02:00 Sell 0.06 EURGBP 0.8470 0.8577 -89.06
2021.08.10 00:00 Sell 0.06 EURJPY 129.49 130.32 -45.39
2021.08.20 00:00 Buy 0.06 EURNZD 1.7118 1.6589 -227.03
2021.08.09 02:00 Sell 0.06 EURSGD 1.5916 1.5951 -15.65
2021.08.09 02:01 Sell 0.06 EURUSD 1.1746 1.1886 -84.00
2021.08.09 01:58 Buy 0.06 GBPAUD 1.8910 1.8609 -134.53
2021.08.20 00:00 Buy 0.06 GBPCAD 1.7500 1.7376 -59.40
2021.08.09 02:00 Buy 0.06 GBPCHF 1.2707 1.2658 -32.17
2021.05.27 19:41 Buy 0.03 GBPJPY 155.94 152.15 -103.64
2021.08.19 04:49 Buy 0.06 GBPNZD 2.0030 1.9360 -287.80
2021.08.23 00:02 Sell 0.06 GBPSGD 1.8539 1.8614 -33.54
2021.08.11 00:01 Sell 0.06 GBPUSD 1.3838 1.3873 -21.00
2021.08.09 02:01 Sell 0.06 GOLD 1 717.69 1 830.74 -678.30
2021.09.03 00:00 Buy 0.06 NZDCAD 0.8936 0.8961 11.97
2021.08.19 04:41 Sell 0.06 NZDCHF 0.6299 0.6550 -164.75
2021.08.19 04:20 Sell 0.06 NZDJPY 75.44 78.19 -150.39
2021.08.19 04:21 Sell 0.06 NZDUSD 0.6851 0.7163 -187.20
2021.08.09 01:59 Sell 0.06 SILVER 23.59 24.66 -321.00
2021.08.10 00:00 Buy 0.06 USDCAD 1.2580 1.2522 -27.79
2021.08.12 18:56 Buy 0.06 USDCHF 0.9233 0.9133 -65.70
2021.08.09 01:59 Buy 0.06 USDJPY 110.27 109.71 -30.63
2021.08.09 02:00 Buy 0.06 USDSGD 1.3570 1.3405 -73.85
-3 347.81
A strange situation has developed, when 90% of the instruments are moving against the NSP. We will wait for this situation to be resolved.

This is strange, the market is dominated by pronounced trends, and your NDP, which supposedly should detect these trends, is losing.

The conclusion is inevitable.

 
Renat Akhtyamov #:

I agree about the lots

The payoff depends on the capital, i.e. it is relative to the capital and the refinancing rate has nothing to do with it.

MoF believes that a return of 0.5% per annum is a terrific return

On the other hand, with all its negative features, this same robot with the same settings worked for more than seven years on the same cent account without losing or risking losing on UPU and EURUSD, raising deposit from $1 to $10 without refinancing with 0,01 lot, where we started this experiment from, adding $88 to deposit. Apparently, the failure is due to the mutual influence of pair movements.

 
CHINGIZ MUSTAFAEV #:

It's strange, the market is dominated by pronounced trends and your NDP, which is supposed to detect these trends, is losing money.

the conclusion is obvious.

The NSP detects any pattern, as long as it is present in a number of numbers. We have to state that, in our case, PNB did not detect any meaningful pattern in forex. I will donate $100 more to test the robot on TF M1 and I will leave it for the descendants to solve this problem.

To say it is "losing" is at least not entirely accurate. The NBP is now losing money without touching the balance and does not consider the current trends to be global, so, they do not close the positions. We will wait and see.

 
Yousufkhodja Sultonov #:

PNB reveals any pattern, as long as it is present in a series of numbers.

You have no shortage of modesty.

Another theory, another method, another failure - the commonplace of financial markets, what can I say.

 
Take a leaky barrel and fill it up with water and say - 'as long as there's water in the barrel, it doesn't spill'.
 
CHINGIZ MUSTAFAEV #:

You have no shortage of modesty.

Another theory, another method, another failure - the commonplace of the financial markets, what can I say.

It is a proven fact. As an example, I will say that they predicted a strange volatility of tangent in the future with an absolutely monotonic growth of its values and a return to monotony when entering the tangent values to the PNB input. If you wish, you can check this fact yourself by calculating the tangent using his formula. No one can explain this phenomenon.

About modesty - PNB will be appreciated only by descendants. When they will understand that PNB are functions describing any process of natural and technogenic processes. They are unable to describe random processes.

Reason: