IMF cuts US growth forecast for 2016

22 June 2016, 15:49
Sherif Hasan
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IMF urges Fed to let inflation overshoot

The forecast for growth this year was cut to 2.2% from 2.4%. The 2017 forecast was left unchanged at 2.5%. The latest Fed forecasts are for 2.0% in 2016 and 2017.

"The path for policy rates should accept some modest, temporary overshooting of the Fed's inflation goal to allow inflation to approach the Fed's 2 percent medium-term target from above," the IMF writes.

On the US dollar, they said it was overvalued by 10-20% with forecasts to show the current-account deficit will rise above 4% of GDP by 2020.

 As for recommendations, here's the quick list:

  • Infrastructure spending
  • Boost the earned-income tax credit
  • Boost minimum wage
  • Improve labor market participation
  • Eliminate corporate tax loopholes
  • Cut the overall corporate tax rate

"The near-term U.S. growth prospects are good despite the recent temporary setbacks," Lagarde said in a statement.

The IMF has consistently argued the Fed should be more dovish and the report says hikes should be "very gradual."
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