FORECAST ruble USDRUB, REFLECTIONS

FORECAST ruble USDRUB, REFLECTIONS

27 November 2014, 13:18
Vasilii Apostolidi
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The official exchange rate of the dollar against the ruble rose today by another 1.23 rubles. and for the first time since November 20 rose above the psychologically important level of 47 rubles. On 28 November 2014 the dollar exchange rate is set at the level of the Central Bank of 47.6629 rubles. / US $.



All this would not have happened if the Russian government, or rather the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of the Russian Federation carry out a competent economic and financial policies.


Even I, an ecologist by training, I can see their mistakes.


And what? The first is that the government and the president did not think about the possible geopolitical risks. Lived in a "fairy tale" and thought of all your friends. Although already seriously think they needed after the armed conflict in South Ossetia (2008).


The second is that they delayed the introduction of a floating exchange rate. Floating exchange rate could was introduced much earlier in 2012 or 2013. Talked about this and wrote Kudrin.


Medvedev personal mistake, even the future president, I believe Kudrin dismissal. Sometimes you need to listen to the views of others.


Around the current government and the Central Bank are very lucky that they have huge resources to eliminate their mistakes. If they did not have such a powerful airbags, there would almost smell the resignation of the entire government.


Okay, digress from thinking and move on to the prediction of the course.


I think, as I wrote earlier, the dollar will reach 50 rubles to the dollar, then there will be a correction. Further information on the chart:

 

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