寻找“合适的盈亏比和成功率”是一种理科思维。
理科思维认为万事万物的变化都有规律，都可以用一个函数（或者一组函数）来描述。上上下下的K线到底是什么？
是市场的变化。
而“技术分析”方法，就是试图用“市场的变化”作为自变量（或者因变量），来寻找市场变化的规律。
可见，这在逻辑上是可疑的。至少是不完备的。
也就是说，在逻辑上无法证实“技术分析”的方法能够描述市场变化的规律。
我曾经花费大量时间来研究短线交易。都只能阶段性获利。
很久之后才明白，这是种理科思维。
上上下下的K线到底是什么？
是市场的变化。
而“技术分析”方法，就是试图用“市场的变化”作为自变量（或者因变量），来寻找市场变化的规律。
可见，这在逻辑上是可疑的。至少是不完备的。
也就是说，在逻辑上无法证实“技术分析”的方法能够描述市场变化的规律。
我曾经花费大量时间来研究短线交易。都只能阶段性获利。
很久之后才明白，这是种理科思维。
如果没有成功率和技术分析，那么就不会有那么多交易者，因为交易已经变成随机了，不具有可操作性，只能通过坐庄，靠羊群效应去赚散户的钱
2018.09.09 19:43
“Let your profits run”，从6月份被套单到现在，其间有两次本平附近逃脱的机会，思路决定了做单的方向，信号提供商判断AUDUSD震荡上行，而未选择平本脱逃平仓。现在，已积重难返。
“Snowballing”，从8月份某批单子开仓开始，任由小赔变大赔，描述中写道：此信号的策略是“宁愿小赔也要大赚”，实际执行的策略却与之大相径庭。
“Let your profits run”和“Snowballing”，除非这两个信号账户都追加保证金，但是追加保证金，仅能拯救信号提供商他自己的账户，而未同等比例追加保证金的订阅者则成了炮灰。这次，估计在劫难逃，包括这两个信号。
"Let your profits run", from June to the present, there are two escape opportunities near floating loss was zero, the mentality determines the direction of the order, the signal provider judges AUDUSD upstream shock, and did not choose to open the flat. Now, it is hard to return.
"Snowballing", starting with the opening of a batch of lists in August and allowing small losses to become large ones, the description says that the signal's strategy is "to make a big profit rather than a small loss", but the actual implementation of the strategy is quite different.
"Let your profits run" and "Snowballing", unless both signaling accounts are margined, the margin can only save the signaling provider's own account, and subscribers who do not have the same margin are cannon fodder. This time, estimates are doomed, including these two signals.
2018.10.03补充：
9月21日和9月26日AUDUSD的价格0.730附近，中等偏小幅度亏损平仓的机会给了，但信号提供商依然没有平仓。
信号提供商不盈利不平仓的策略，基本宣布信号“Let your profits run”的毁灭只是时间的问题。
“Let your profits run”应更名为“Let your losses run”才更合适。
还是那句话，“Let your profits run”和“Snowballing”，除非这两个信号账户都追加保证金，但是追加保证金，仅能拯救信号提供商他自己的账户，而未同等比例追加保证金的订阅者则将沦为炮灰。在劫难逃，包括这两个信号。
2018.10.03 supplement:
AUDUSD prices around 0.730 on Sept. 21 and Sept. 26 offered a chance to liquidate a medium to small loss, but signal providers still had no liquidation.
It is only a matter of time before signalling providers are basically announcing the destruction of the "Let your profits run" strategy of unprofitable positions.
"Let your profits run" should be renamed "Let your losses run".
Still, let your profits run and Snowballing, unless both signal accounts are margined, can only save the signal provider's own account, and subscribers who don't get the same margin will be reduced to cannon fodder. The two signals are inevitable.
“Let your profits run”，从6月份被套单到现在，其间有两次本平附近逃脱的机会，思路决定了做单的方向，信号提供商判断AUDUSD震荡上行，而未选择平本脱逃平仓。现在，已积重难返。
“Snowballing”，从8月份某批单子开仓开始，任由小赔变大赔，描述中写道：此信号的策略是“宁愿小赔也要大赚”，实际执行的策略却与之大相径庭。
“Let your profits run”和“Snowballing”，除非这两个信号账户都追加保证金，但是追加保证金，仅能拯救信号提供商他自己的账户，而未同等比例追加保证金的订阅者则成了炮灰。这次，估计在劫难逃，包括这两个信号。
"Let your profits run", from June to the present, there are two escape opportunities near floating loss was zero, the mentality determines the direction of the order, the signal provider judges AUDUSD upstream shock, and did not choose to open the flat. Now, it is hard to return.
"Snowballing", starting with the opening of a batch of lists in August and allowing small losses to become large ones, the description says that the signal's strategy is "to make a big profit rather than a small loss", but the actual implementation of the strategy is quite different.
"Let your profits run" and "Snowballing", unless both signaling accounts are margined, the margin can only save the signaling provider's own account, and subscribers who do not have the same margin are cannon fodder. This time, estimates are doomed, including these two signals.
2018.10.03补充：
9月21日和9月26日AUDUSD的价格0.730附近，中等偏小幅度亏损平仓的机会给了，但信号提供商依然没有平仓。
信号提供商不盈利不平仓的策略，基本宣布信号“Let your profits run”的毁灭只是时间的问题。
“Let your profits run”应更名为“Let your losses run”才更合适。
还是那句话，“Let your profits run”和“Snowballing”，除非这两个信号账户都追加保证金，但是追加保证金，仅能拯救信号提供商他自己的账户，而未同等比例追加保证金的订阅者则将沦为炮灰。在劫难逃，包括这两个信号。
2018.10.03 supplement:
AUDUSD prices around 0.730 on Sept. 21 and Sept. 26 offered a chance to liquidate a medium to small loss, but signal providers still had no liquidation.
It is only a matter of time before signalling providers are basically announcing the destruction of the "Let your profits run" strategy of unprofitable positions.
"Let your profits run" should be renamed "Let your losses run".
Still, let your profits run and Snowballing, unless both signal accounts are margined, can only save the signal provider's own account, and subscribers who don't get the same margin will be reduced to cannon fodder. The two signals are inevitable.
