Adaptive Kernel Smoother

Adaptive Kernel Smoother NIKAQuant Indicator

Adaptive Kernel Smoother NIKAQuant is a non-parametric machine-learning trend tool built around Nadaraya–Watson kernel regression. Instead of a rigid moving average, every bar is estimated from a Gaussian-weighted lookback window, giving a smooth, data-driven trend line that flexes with price structure.

🔬 How it Works

The core is a Gaussian kernel regression that scores each historical bar by how close it is in the lookback space. Optional ATR-scaled bandwidth widens the kernel in volatile regimes and tightens it in quiet ones, so the line stays responsive without whipsawing.

📊 Residual Sigma Bands

Rolling standard deviation of the price-to-kernel residual builds a dynamic band around the midline. Close breaking above the upper band = bull state. Close breaking below the lower band = bear state. State persists until the opposite band is broken — no neutral noise.

🎨 Three Visual Modes

• Bands: midline with upper/lower channel and fill
• Single Line: clean midline only, colored by state
• Trail: only the opposite band shows as a trailing stop (lower in bulls, upper in bears)

🎨 Seven Themes

Classic, Cyber Aqua, Crimson Pulse, Royal Purple, Emerald Night, Minimal Mono, Classic Emerald — match any chart style.

⚠️ Non-Repainting

All state decisions use confirmed bars only. No future leakage, no lookahead, no strategy-level repaint.

🖥️ Built-in Dashboard

On-chart panel shows current signal, kernel MA value, both bands, realized sigma, and the active bandwidth — updated every tick.

Settings Overview

• Kernel Regression: lookback window, base bandwidth h, adaptive ATR scaling, output smoothing
• Residual Bands: multiplier (σ), lookback, smoothing
• Visuals: mode, theme, fill toggle, dashboard toggle, arrow codes, label offset
• Alerts: bull / bear break alerts with popup, push, and sound

How to Use

• Attach to any chart — FX, indices, metals, crypto
• Pick a visual mode and theme
• Longer lookback = smoother, more strategic signals. Shorter = more active
• Adaptive bandwidth on by default — recommended for mixed-volatility markets
• Use bull/bear state as trend filter, or the band break as a timing signal

FAQ

Does it repaint?
No. State updates only on confirmed bars, never on the forming bar.

Does it work on any symbol?
Yes — the kernel is price-only and symbol-agnostic.

Can an EA read the signal?
Yes — attach via iCustom and read buffer 10 (state: +1, 0, −1).

What about lower timeframes?
Works, but raise the bandwidth to compensate for noise.

Adaptive Kernel Smoother NIKAQuant Indicator | Copyright 2026